--- title: "AMG case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "AMG ($6,832.49) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/amg rendered: 2026-11-11T19:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [AMG](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/amg) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · AMG A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/amg?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/amg?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/amg) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/amg?window=all) Price · $6,832.49 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $6,115.08 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 12.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 37 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/amg?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/amg?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/amg) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/amg?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Mercedes AMG GT 63 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mercedes-amg-gt-63) | 1 in 2,000 | $248K | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2022 Mercedes-Benz S 580 BRABUS other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2022-mercedes-benz-s-580-brabus) | 1 in 1,250 | $240K | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Mercedes Benz G Class other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mercedes-benz-g-class) | 1 in 1,000 | $237K | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2022 Mercedes-Benz GLS 63 AMG other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2022-mercedes-benz-gls-63-amg) | 1 in 500 | $177K | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2023 Mercedes-Benz SL 43 AMG other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2023-mercedes-benz-sl-43-amg) | 1 in 400 | $160K | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2021 Mercedes-Benz E 63 AMG other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2021-mercedes-benz-e-63-amg) | 1 in 200 | $124K | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2015 Mercedes-Benz S 63 AMG MANSORY other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2015-mercedes-benz-s-63-amg-mansory) | 1 in 200 | $111K | 9.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2019 Mercedes-Benz AMG GT 53 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2019-mercedes-benz-amg-gt-53) | 1 in 200 | $106K | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2023 Mercedes-Benz E 220 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2023-mercedes-benz-e-220) | 1 in 200 | $103K | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2019 Mercedes-Benz C 63 AMG other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2019-mercedes-benz-c-63-amg) | 1 in 133 | $82.6K | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Mercedes A45 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mercedes-a45) | 1 in 133 | $74.8K | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2021 Mercedes-Benz A 200 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2021-mercedes-benz-a-200) | 1 in 100 | $41.3K | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2016 Mercedes-Benz C-Class C 300 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2016-mercedes-benz-c-class-c-300) | 1 in 20 | $17.9K | 14.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AMG In-ear Wireless Headphones MW08 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amg-in-ear-wireless-headphones-mw08) | 10.0% | $480 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AMG Private Lounge Scarf other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amg-private-lounge-scarf) | 15.0% | $156 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AMG Licence Plate Brackets Chrome (Swiss) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amg-licence-plate-brackets-chrome-swiss) | 17.5% | $80.00 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AMG Private Lounge Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amg-private-lounge-gloves) | 20.0% | $60.00 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Mercedes-AMG GT Magnet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mercedes-amg-gt-magnet) | 27.3% | $12.00 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=amg) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $6,832 | 89.50% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. 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