--- title: "AP vs Audi case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "AP vs Audi ($1,811.19) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 19 items with odds, observed 0.79% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/ap-vs-audi rendered: 2026-11-11T18:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [AP vs Audi](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/ap-vs-audi) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · AP vs Audi A box on Cases.gg (Luxury), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/ap-vs-audi?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/ap-vs-audi?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/ap-vs-audi) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/ap-vs-audi?window=all) Price · $1,811.19 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $1,621.01 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · 0.79% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 45.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 111 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 270.3% 541.0% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/ap-vs-audi?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/ap-vs-audi?window=7d) | 6 | 0.79% ±539.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/ap-vs-audi) | 6 | 0.79% ±539.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/ap-vs-audi?window=all) | 6 | 0.79% ±539.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Audemars Piguet Royal Oak Tourbillon other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audemars-piguet-royal-oak-tourbillon) | 1 in 2,500 | $231K | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Audi RS6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-rs6) | 1 in 2,500 | $198K | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2018 Audi R8 V10 Plus Spyder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2018-audi-r8-v10-plus-spyder) | 1 in 2,500 | $185K | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Audi RS Q8 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-rs-q8) | 1 in 2,500 | $150K | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Audi RS4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-rs4) | 1 in 2,500 | $131K | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Audemars Piguet Royal Oak Chronograph 26239BC other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audemars-piguet-royal-oak-chronograph-26239bc) | 1 in 2,000 | $121K | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUDEMARS PIGUET ROYAL OAK OFFSHORE 42MM - 23.25CTW FULLY ICED OUT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audemars-piguet-royal-oak-offshore-42mm-23-25ctw-fully-iced-out) | 1 in 2,000 | $110K | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Audi S8 2020 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-s8-2020) | 1 in 2,000 | $105K | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Audemars Piguet Royal Oak other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audemars-piguet-royal-oak) | 1 in 1,000 | $101K | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Audemars Piguet Royal Oak Selfwinding 15400OR.OO.1220OR.02 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audemars-piguet-royal-oak-selfwinding-15400or-oo-1220or-02) | 1 in 1,000 | $88K | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Audi RS3 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-rs3) | 1 in 1,000 | $77.5K | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Audi Q3 2024 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-q3-2024) | 1 in 400 | $70K | 10.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Audi TT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-tt) | 1 in 400 | $61K | 9.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Audemars Piguet Royal Oak 15510ST other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audemars-piguet-royal-oak-15510st) | 1 in 250 | $53.4K | 13.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Audemars Piguet Royal Oak Chronograph other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audemars-piguet-royal-oak-chronograph) | 1 in 250 | $42.1K | 10.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Audemars Piguet Royal Oak Offshore Diver other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audemars-piguet-royal-oak-offshore-diver) | 1 in 200 | $21K | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Audi R8 Police Car other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-r8-police-car) | 30.0% | $15.99 | 0.3% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× | | [Audi Sport Quattro 1980 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-sport-quattro-1980) | 30.0% | $14.99 | 0.3% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× | | [Audi R8 Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-r8-toy) | 37.5% | $12.00 | 0.3% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.89× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=ap-vs-audi) [Audi R8 Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-r8-toy) Hidden $1,811 $12.00 0.01x 2026-11-10 00:38 UTC [Audi R8 Police Car other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-r8-police-car) Hidden $1,811 $15.99 0.01x 2026-11-10 00:38 UTC [Audi Sport Quattro 1980 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-sport-quattro-1980) Hidden $1,811 $14.99 0.01x 2026-11-10 00:38 UTC [Audi R8 Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-r8-toy) Hidden $1,811 $12.00 0.01x 2026-11-10 00:38 UTC [Audi Sport Quattro 1980 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-sport-quattro-1980) Hidden $1,811 $14.99 0.01x 2026-11-10 00:38 UTC [Audi R8 Police Car other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-r8-police-car) [Oliveira16](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Oliveira16) $1,811 $15.99 0.01x 2026-11-10 00:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,811 | 89.50% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt