--- title: "Apples & Apples case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Apples & Apples ($52.25) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 15 items with odds, observed 54.46% over 647 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/apples-and-apples rendered: 2026-11-11T22:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Apples & Apples](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/apples-and-apples) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Apples & Apples A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/apples-and-apples?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/apples-and-apples?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/apples-and-apples) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/apples-and-apples?window=all) Price · $52.25 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $46.76 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 54.46% · 647 openings, odds method Variance · 20.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 59 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 52.41% ±43.50 409 openings 30 days · 54.46% ±34.59 647 openings since tracking started · 54.46% ±34.59 647 openings -0.5% 104.3% 209.0% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 89.50% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (19.87% – 89.04%, 647 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/apples-and-apples?window=24h) | 18 | 1.23% ±207.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/apples-and-apples?window=7d) | 409 | 52.41% ±43.5 | −1.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/apples-and-apples) | 647 | 54.46% ±34.6 | −2.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/apples-and-apples?window=all) | 647 | 54.46% ±34.6 | −2.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 647 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [iPad Pro, 13-inch, Space Black, 2TB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ipad-pro-13-inch-space-black-2tb) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,800 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Apple 2023 MacBook Pro Laptop M3 Pro chip with 12‑core CPU, 18‑core GPU: 16.2-inch Liquid Retina XDR Display, 36GB Unified Memory, 512GB SSD Storage. other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-2023-macbook-pro-laptop-m3-pro-chip-with-12-core-cpu-18-core-gpu-16-2-inch-liquid-retina-xdr-display-36gb-unified-memory-512gb-ssd-storage) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,639 | 5.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Apple 2023 iMac All-in-One Desktop Computer with M3 chip: 8-core CPU, 10-core GPU, 24-inch Retina Display, 8GB Unified Memory, 512GB SSD Storage other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-2023-imac-all-in-one-desktop-computer-with-m3-chip-8-core-cpu-10-core-gpu-24-inch-retina-display-8gb-unified-memory-512gb-ssd-storage) | 1 in 400 | $1,700 | 9.1% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× | | [Apple Watch Hermès Ultra 2 GPS + Cellular, 49mm Natural Titanium Case with Bleu Nuit En Mer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-watch-hermes-ultra-2-gps-cellular-49mm-natural-titanium-case-with-bleu-nuit-en-mer) | 1 in 400 | $1,680 | 9.0% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× | | [iPhone 16 Pro, Black Titanium, 128 GB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/iphone-16-pro-black-titanium-128-gb) | 1 in 400 | $1,500 | 8.0% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.24× | | [iPhone 16 Pro Max, Natural Titanium, 256 GB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/iphone-16-pro-max-natural-titanium-256-gb) | 1 in 400 | $1,440 | 7.7% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× | | [Apple Watch Ultra 2, Titanium Milanese Loop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-watch-ultra-2-titanium-milanese-loop) | 1 in 200 | $1,080 | 11.5% | 1 | 3.2 | 0.31× | | [iPhone 16, White, 128 GB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/iphone-16-white-128-gb) | 1 in 200 | $900 | 9.6% | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00× | | [AirPods Max, Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/airpods-max-blue) | 1 in 133 | $660 | 10.6% | 3 | 4.9 | 0.62× | | [Apple Watch Series 10, Alluminum, 42mm other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-watch-series-10-alluminum-42mm) | 1 in 100 | $480 | 10.3% | 3 | 6.5 | 0.46× | | [Apple AirPods Pro (2nd Generation) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-airpods-pro-2nd-generation) | 1 in 65 | $345 | 11.4% | 9 | 10.0 | 0.90× | | [Golden Delicious Apple other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golden-delicious-apple) | 19.5% | $0.86 | 0.4% | 129 | 126.2 | 1.02× | | [Granny Smith Apple other](https://gambatracker.com/items/granny-smith-apple) | 20.0% | $0.80 | 0.3% | 133 | 129.4 | 1.03× | | [Gala Apple other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gala-apple) | 25.0% | $0.55 | 0.3% | 158 | 161.8 | 0.98× | | [Green Apple other](https://gambatracker.com/items/green-apple) | 30.0% | $0.20 | 0.1% | 205 | 194.1 | 1.06× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Apple 2023 MacBook Pro Laptop M3 Pro chip with 12‑core CPU, 18‑core GPU: 16.2-inch Liquid Retina XDR Display, 36GB Unified Memory, 512GB SSD Storage. other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-2023-macbook-pro-laptop-m3-pro-chip-with-12-core-cpu-18-core-gpu-16-2-inch-liquid-retina-xdr-display-36gb-unified-memory-512gb-ssd-storage) [✪ DubbleuJB](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/%E2%9C%AA%20DubbleuJB) $52.25 $2,639 50.51x 2026-11-05 22:06 UTC [Apple 2023 iMac All-in-One Desktop Computer with M3 chip: 8-core CPU, 10-core GPU, 24-inch Retina Display, 8GB Unified Memory, 512GB SSD Storage other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-2023-imac-all-in-one-desktop-computer-with-m3-chip-8-core-cpu-10-core-gpu-24-inch-retina-display-8gb-unified-memory-512gb-ssd-storage) Hidden $52.25 $1,700 32.54x 2026-11-03 14:28 UTC [Apple Watch Hermès Ultra 2 GPS + Cellular, 49mm Natural Titanium Case with Bleu Nuit En Mer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-watch-hermes-ultra-2-gps-cellular-49mm-natural-titanium-case-with-bleu-nuit-en-mer) Hidden $52.25 $1,680 32.15x 2026-11-06 14:07 UTC [iPhone 16 Pro, Black Titanium, 128 GB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/iphone-16-pro-black-titanium-128-gb) Hidden $52.25 $1,500 28.71x 2026-11-06 00:18 UTC [iPhone 16 Pro, Black Titanium, 128 GB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/iphone-16-pro-black-titanium-128-gb) Hidden $52.25 $1,500 28.71x 2026-11-05 23:03 UTC [iPhone 16 Pro Max, Natural Titanium, 256 GB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/iphone-16-pro-max-natural-titanium-256-gb) Hidden $52.25 $1,440 27.56x 2026-11-03 03:26 UTC [Apple Watch Ultra 2, Titanium Milanese Loop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-watch-ultra-2-titanium-milanese-loop) Hidden $52.25 $1,080 20.67x 2026-11-03 14:27 UTC [AirPods Max, Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/airpods-max-blue) Hidden $52.25 $660 12.63x 2026-11-06 01:13 UTC [AirPods Max, Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/airpods-max-blue) [CrCaptain](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/CrCaptain) $52.25 $660 12.63x 2026-11-06 00:18 UTC [AirPods Max, Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/airpods-max-blue) Hidden $52.25 $660 12.63x 2026-11-03 15:17 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=apples-and-apples) [Green Apple other](https://gambatracker.com/items/green-apple) Hidden $52.25 $0.20 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:42 UTC [Green Apple other](https://gambatracker.com/items/green-apple) Hidden $52.25 $0.20 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:42 UTC [Golden Delicious Apple other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golden-delicious-apple) Hidden $52.25 $0.86 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:42 UTC [Green Apple other](https://gambatracker.com/items/green-apple) Hidden $52.25 $0.20 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:42 UTC [Granny Smith Apple other](https://gambatracker.com/items/granny-smith-apple) Hidden $52.25 $0.80 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:42 UTC [Gala Apple other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gala-apple) [SnupsBar](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SnupsBar) $52.25 $0.55 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:42 UTC [Granny Smith Apple other](https://gambatracker.com/items/granny-smith-apple) Hidden $52.25 $0.80 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:05 UTC [Green Apple other](https://gambatracker.com/items/green-apple) Hidden $52.25 $0.20 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:05 UTC [Granny Smith Apple other](https://gambatracker.com/items/granny-smith-apple) Hidden $52.25 $0.80 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:05 UTC [Golden Delicious Apple other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golden-delicious-apple) Hidden $52.25 $0.86 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $52.25 | 89.50% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,639 (50.51x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt