--- title: "Arctic Elegance case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Arctic Elegance ($10.43) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.42% from 7 items with odds, observed 98.48% over 359 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/arctic-elegance rendered: 2026-11-11T17:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Arctic Elegance](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/arctic-elegance) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Arctic Elegance A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/arctic-elegance?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/arctic-elegance?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/arctic-elegance) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/arctic-elegance?window=all) Price · $10.43 Advertised RTP · 89.42% · EV $9.33 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 98.48% · 359 openings, odds method Variance · 3.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 72.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 72 openings · below min 7 days · 92.17% ±19.84 303 openings 30 days · 98.48% ±18.23 359 openings since tracking started · 98.48% ±18.23 359 openings 37.5% 79.0% 120.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/arctic-elegance?window=24h) | 72 | 79.07% ±40.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/arctic-elegance?window=7d) | 303 | 92.17% ±19.8 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/arctic-elegance) | 359 | 98.48% ±18.2 | +1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/arctic-elegance?window=all) | 359 | 98.48% ±18.2 | +1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 359 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [$100 Steam Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/100-steam-gift-card) | 1 in 50 | $105 | 22.5% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.11× | | [Chemex Pour-Over Glass Coffeemaker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chemex-pour-over-glass-coffeemaker) | 1 in 33 | $62.00 | 19.9% | 14 | 10.8 | 1.30× | | [Aatrox Tee other](https://gambatracker.com/items/aatrox-tee) | 10.0% | $25.00 | 26.8% | 35 | 35.9 | 0.97× | | [Stuffed Animal other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stuffed-animal) | 13.0% | $12.99 | 18.1% | 48 | 46.7 | 1.03× | | [Classic Whoopie Cushion other](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-whoopie-cushion) | 15.0% | $5.00 | 8.0% | 63 | 53.9 | 1.17× | | [The Sims CD other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-sims-cd) | 20.0% | $2.10 | 4.5% | 78 | 71.8 | 1.09× | | [Sock with a Hole other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sock-with-a-hole) | 37.0% | $0.02 | 0.1% | 113 | 132.8 | 0.85× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=arctic-elegance) [The Sims CD other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-sims-cd) Hidden $10.43 $2.10 0.20x 2026-11-11 15:36 UTC [Sock with a Hole other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sock-with-a-hole) Hidden $10.43 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:36 UTC [Sock with a Hole other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sock-with-a-hole) Hidden $10.43 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:36 UTC [The Sims CD other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-sims-cd) [Unique Skunk](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Unique%20Skunk) $10.43 $2.10 0.20x 2026-11-11 15:36 UTC [Sock with a Hole other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sock-with-a-hole) Hidden $10.43 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:31 UTC [Classic Whoopie Cushion other](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-whoopie-cushion) Hidden $10.43 $5.00 0.48x 2026-11-11 14:31 UTC [Classic Whoopie Cushion other](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-whoopie-cushion) Hidden $10.43 $5.00 0.48x 2026-11-11 14:31 UTC [Classic Whoopie Cushion other](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-whoopie-cushion) Hidden $10.43 $5.00 0.48x 2026-11-11 14:31 UTC [Aatrox Tee other](https://gambatracker.com/items/aatrox-tee) Hidden $10.43 $25.00 2.40x 2026-11-11 14:31 UTC [The Sims CD other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-sims-cd) [FallenStar](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/FallenStar) $10.43 $2.10 0.20x 2026-11-11 14:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.43 | 89.42% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.42 on average: an expected loss of $10.58 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt