---
title: "Astroworld case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Astroworld ($94.85) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 22 items with odds, observed 93.11% over 158 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/astroworld
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Astroworld](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/astroworld)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Astroworld

A box on Cases.gg (Nike), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/astroworld?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/astroworld?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/astroworld) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/astroworld?window=all)

Price · $94.85

Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $84.88 from 22 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.11% · 158 openings, odds method

Variance · 6.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 12 openings · below min

7 days · 95.07% ±39.80 152 openings

30 days · 93.11% ±39.04 158 openings

since tracking started · 93.11% ±39.04 158 openings

53.5% 208.5% 363.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/astroworld?window=24h) | 12 | 221.40% ±141.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/astroworld?window=7d) | 152 | 95.07% ±39.8 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/astroworld) | 158 | 93.11% ±39.0 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/astroworld?window=all) | 158 | 93.11% ±39.0 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 158 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Jordan 1 Retro Low OG SP Fragment x Travis Scott (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-sp-fragment-x-travis-scott-us-11) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,550 | 3.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Jordan 1 Retro Low OG SP Fragment x Travis Scott (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-sp-fragment-x-travis-scott-us-9) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,520 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Jordan 1 Retro Low OG SP Travis Scott Reverse Mocha (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-sp-travis-scott-reverse-mocha-us-11) | 1 in 500 | $2,160 | 5.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Nike SB Dunk Low Travis Scott (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-low-travis-scott-us-9) | 1 in 667 | $1,590 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Jordan 1 Retro High OG SP Travis Scott Mocha (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-sp-travis-scott-mocha-us-10) | 1 in 333 | $1,400 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Jordan 1 Retro Low OG SP Travis Scott Black Phantom (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-sp-travis-scott-black-phantom-us-9) | 1 in 200 | $1,180 | 7.0% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [Travis Scott CJ x Audemars Piguet Ashtray Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-cj-x-audemars-piguet-ashtray-brown) | 1 in 133 | $840 | 7.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× |
| [Jordan Jumpman Jack TR Travis Scott Sail (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-jumpman-jack-tr-travis-scott-sail-us-9) | 1 in 167 | $796 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Jordan Jumpman Jack TR Travis Scott University Red (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-jumpman-jack-tr-travis-scott-university-red-us-8) | 1 in 250 | $630 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Travis Scott x McDonalds Chicken Nugget Body Pillow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-chicken-nugget-body-pillow) | 1 in 125 | $546 | 5.1% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× |
| [Travis Scott x McDonald's Cj Smile Hoodie Brown (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-cj-smile-hoodie-brown-us-m) | 1 in 91 | $530 | 6.9% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.15× |
| [Travis Scott CJ x Audemars Piguet Cardholder Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-cj-x-audemars-piguet-cardholder-brown) | 1 in 111 | $500 | 5.3% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [Travis Scott x Mitchell & Ness Florida Gators Backpack Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mitchell-and-ness-florida-gators-backpack-brown) | 1 in 100 | $482 | 5.7% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× |
| [Travis Scott x McDonalds Clutch Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-clutch-bag) | 1 in 77 | $375 | 5.7% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.49× |
| [Nike Air Force 1 Low '07 White (Travis Scott Cactus Jack Utopia Edition) (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-07-white-travis-scott-cactus-jack-utopia-edition-us-10) | 1 in 67 | $165 | 2.9% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.84× |
| [Travis Scott x McDonalds Action Figure Life-Size Cutout other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-action-figure-life-size-cutout) | 1 in 59 | $155 | 3.1% | 7 | 2.7 | 2.61× |
| [Jordan x Travis Scott Pullover Hoodie Palomino (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-x-travis-scott-pullover-hoodie-palomino-us-l) | 1 in 50 | $150 | 3.5% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.95× |
| [Travis Scott x McDonald's Sesame III T-shirt Brown (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-sesame-iii-t-shirt-brown-us-m) | 1 in 53 | $125 | 2.8% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.33× |
| [Travis Scott x McDonalds All American 92' Basketball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-all-american-92-basketball) | 1 in 40 | $115 | 3.4% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.76× |
| [Travis Scott Cactus Jack Portable Hammock Olive other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-cactus-jack-portable-hammock-olive) | 1 in 56 | $78.00 | 1.7% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.76× |
| [Travis Scott x McDonald's Crew T-shirt Red (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-crew-t-shirt-red-us-m) | 1 in 19 | $51.00 | 3.2% | 10 | 8.5 | 1.17× |
| [Astroworld Flag Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/astroworld-flag-black) | 75.0% | $10.00 | 8.8% | 115 | 118.5 | 0.97× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Jordan 1 Retro Low OG SP Fragment x Travis Scott (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-sp-fragment-x-travis-scott-us-11) Hidden $94.85 $2,550 26.88x 2026-11-06 07:56 UTC

[Jordan 1 Retro Low OG SP Travis Scott Reverse Mocha (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-sp-travis-scott-reverse-mocha-us-11) Hidden $94.85 $2,160 22.77x 2026-11-11 05:17 UTC

[Jordan 1 Retro Low OG SP Travis Scott Black Phantom (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-sp-travis-scott-black-phantom-us-9) Hidden $94.85 $1,180 12.44x 2026-11-08 18:40 UTC

[Travis Scott CJ x Audemars Piguet Ashtray Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-cj-x-audemars-piguet-ashtray-brown) Hidden $94.85 $840 8.86x 2026-11-06 18:22 UTC

[Travis Scott x McDonalds Chicken Nugget Body Pillow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-chicken-nugget-body-pillow) Hidden $94.85 $546 5.76x 2026-11-07 11:39 UTC

[Travis Scott x McDonald's Cj Smile Hoodie Brown (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-cj-smile-hoodie-brown-us-m) Hidden $94.85 $530 5.59x 2026-11-09 22:29 UTC

[Travis Scott x McDonald's Cj Smile Hoodie Brown (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-cj-smile-hoodie-brown-us-m) [Code:666 800$ LB FREE](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Code%3A666%20800%24%20LB%20FREE) $94.85 $530 5.59x 2026-11-08 18:39 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=astroworld)

[Jordan 1 Retro Low OG SP Travis Scott Reverse Mocha (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-sp-travis-scott-reverse-mocha-us-11) Hidden $94.85 $2,160 22.77x 2026-11-11 05:17 UTC

[Astroworld Flag Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/astroworld-flag-black) Hidden $94.85 $10.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 05:17 UTC

[Astroworld Flag Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/astroworld-flag-black) [Ncthcfoodie code DGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Ncthcfoodie%20code%20DGN) $94.85 $10.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 05:17 UTC

[Astroworld Flag Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/astroworld-flag-black) Hidden $94.85 $10.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 05:17 UTC

[Astroworld Flag Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/astroworld-flag-black) Hidden $94.85 $10.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 05:17 UTC

[Astroworld Flag Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/astroworld-flag-black) [Ncthcfoodie code DGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Ncthcfoodie%20code%20DGN) $94.85 $10.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 05:17 UTC

[Travis Scott x McDonalds All American 92' Basketball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-all-american-92-basketball) Hidden $94.85 $115 1.21x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC

[Astroworld Flag Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/astroworld-flag-black) Hidden $94.85 $10.00 0.11x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC

[Astroworld Flag Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/astroworld-flag-black) Hidden $94.85 $10.00 0.11x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC

[Astroworld Flag Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/astroworld-flag-black) Hidden $94.85 $10.00 0.11x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $94.85 | 89.49% | 22 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $2,550 (26.88x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt