---
title: "Audiophile case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Audiophile ($92.85) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 20 items with odds, observed 79.31% over 240 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/audiophile
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:34Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Audiophile](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/audiophile)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Audiophile

A box on Cases.gg (Headphones), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/audiophile?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/audiophile?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/audiophile) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/audiophile?window=all)

Price · $92.85

Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $83.10 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 79.31% · 240 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 4 openings · below min

7 days · 79.06% ±25.72 234 openings

30 days · 79.31% ±25.39 240 openings

since tracking started · 79.31% ±25.39 240 openings

-0.5% 130.0% 260.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/audiophile?window=24h) | 4 | 63.27% ±196.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/audiophile?window=7d) | 234 | 79.06% ±25.7 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/audiophile) | 240 | 79.31% ±25.4 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/audiophile?window=all) | 240 | 79.31% ±25.4 | −0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 240 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sennheiser HD 800 S Over-the-Ear Audiophile Reference Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sennheiser-hd-800-s-over-the-ear-audiophile-reference-headphones) | 1 in 400 | $2,400 | 7.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Focal Clear MG Open-Back High-Fidelity Over-Ear Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/focal-clear-mg-open-back-high-fidelity-over-ear-headphones) | 1 in 400 | $1,649 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [beyerdynamic T1 High-end Tesla Headphones (3rd Generation) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/beyerdynamic-t1-high-end-tesla-headphones-3rd-generation) | 1 in 400 | $855 | 2.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Apple AirPods Max Wireless Over-Ear Headphones - Space Gray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-airpods-max-wireless-over-ear-headphones-space-gray) | 1 in 400 | $604 | 1.8% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Bose QuietComfort Ultra Wireless Noise Cancelling Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bose-quietcomfort-ultra-wireless-noise-cancelling-headphones) | 1 in 200 | $535 | 3.2% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Sony WH-1000XM5 Noise Canceling Headphones, Midnight Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-wh-1000xm5-noise-canceling-headphones-midnight-blue) | 1 in 200 | $480 | 2.9% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Beats Studio Pro - Wireless Bluetooth Noise Cancelling Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/beats-studio-pro-wireless-bluetooth-noise-cancelling-headphones) | 1 in 100 | $430 | 5.2% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× |
| [Sennheiser Momentum 4 Wireless Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sennheiser-momentum-4-wireless-headphones) | 1 in 100 | $387 | 4.7% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.67× |
| [Bose QuietComfort Ultra Wireless Noise Cancelling Earbuds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bose-quietcomfort-ultra-wireless-noise-cancelling-earbuds) | 1 in 100 | $360 | 4.3% | 6 | 2.4 | 2.50× |
| [Apple AirPods Pro (2nd Generation) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-airpods-pro-2nd-generation) | 1 in 50 | $345 | 8.3% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.63× |
| [Sennheiser Consumer Audio HD 599 SE Around Ear Open Back Headphone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sennheiser-consumer-audio-hd-599-se-around-ear-open-back-headphone) | 1 in 50 | $290 | 7.0% | 2 | 4.8 | 0.42× |
| [Apple AirPods (3rd Generation) Wireless Ear Buds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-airpods-3rd-generation-wireless-ear-buds) | 1 in 33 | $250 | 9.0% | 5 | 7.2 | 0.69× |
| [Sony WH-CH720N Noise Canceling Wireless Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-wh-ch720n-noise-canceling-wireless-headphones) | 1 in 33 | $225 | 8.1% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.11× |
| [Apple AirPods (2nd Generation) Wireless Ear Buds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-airpods-2nd-generation-wireless-ear-buds) | 1 in 20 | $175 | 10.5% | 18 | 12.0 | 1.50× |
| [JBL Tune Buds - True wireless Noise Cancelling Earbuds (Blue) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jbl-tune-buds-true-wireless-noise-cancelling-earbuds-blue) | 1 in 20 | $135 | 8.1% | 12 | 12.0 | 1.00× |
| [Edifier W820NB Plus Hybrid Active Noise Cancelling Headphones, Gray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/edifier-w820nb-plus-hybrid-active-noise-cancelling-headphones-gray) | 1 in 20 | $98.00 | 5.9% | 10 | 12.0 | 0.83× |
| [JLab Go Air Pop True Wireless Bluetooth Earbuds, Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jlab-go-air-pop-true-wireless-bluetooth-earbuds-black) | 10.0% | $27.37 | 3.3% | 24 | 24.0 | 1.00× |
| [Sony ZX Series Wired On-Ear Headphones, Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-zx-series-wired-on-ear-headphones-black) | 10.0% | $9.99 | 1.2% | 22 | 24.0 | 0.92× |
| [Skullcandy Jib In-Ear Wired Earbuds, White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/skullcandy-jib-in-ear-wired-earbuds-white) | 10.0% | $9.99 | 1.2% | 26 | 24.0 | 1.08× |
| [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) | 40.0% | $1.00 | 0.5% | 96 | 96.0 | 1.00× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[beyerdynamic T1 High-end Tesla Headphones (3rd Generation) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/beyerdynamic-t1-high-end-tesla-headphones-3rd-generation) Hidden $92.85 $855 9.21x 2026-11-06 23:18 UTC

[Apple AirPods Max Wireless Over-Ear Headphones - Space Gray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-airpods-max-wireless-over-ear-headphones-space-gray) Hidden $92.85 $604 6.51x 2026-11-05 16:25 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=audiophile)

[Edifier W820NB Plus Hybrid Active Noise Cancelling Headphones, Gray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/edifier-w820nb-plus-hybrid-active-noise-cancelling-headphones-gray) Hidden $92.85 $98.00 1.06x 2026-11-11 07:00 UTC

[$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $92.85 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:00 UTC

[JBL Tune Buds - True wireless Noise Cancelling Earbuds (Blue) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jbl-tune-buds-true-wireless-noise-cancelling-earbuds-blue) Hidden $92.85 $135 1.45x 2026-11-11 07:00 UTC

[$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) [Friendly Chipmunk](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Friendly%20Chipmunk) $92.85 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:00 UTC

[$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $92.85 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-10 06:03 UTC

[Skullcandy Jib In-Ear Wired Earbuds, White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/skullcandy-jib-in-ear-wired-earbuds-white) Hidden $92.85 $9.99 0.11x 2026-11-10 06:03 UTC

[Apple AirPods (3rd Generation) Wireless Ear Buds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-airpods-3rd-generation-wireless-ear-buds) Hidden $92.85 $250 2.69x 2026-11-10 06:03 UTC

[$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $92.85 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-10 06:03 UTC

[Sony ZX Series Wired On-Ear Headphones, Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-zx-series-wired-on-ear-headphones-black) Hidden $92.85 $9.99 0.11x 2026-11-10 06:03 UTC

[$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) [Nie](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Nie) $92.85 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-10 06:03 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $92.85 | 89.50% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $855 (9.21x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt