--- title: "Baby Shower case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Baby Shower ($90.46) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 67.31% over 82 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/baby-shower rendered: 2026-11-12T00:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Baby Shower](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/baby-shower) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Baby Shower A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/baby-shower?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/baby-shower?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/baby-shower) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/baby-shower?window=all) Price · $90.46 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $80.96 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 67.31% · 82 openings, odds method Variance · 5.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 82 openings · below min 30 days · 82 openings · below min since tracking started · 82 openings · below min -0.5% 99.3% 199.0% **Small sample.** 82 openings and 5.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/baby-shower?window=24h) | 10 | 50.33% ±148.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/baby-shower?window=7d) | 82 | 67.31% ±51.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/baby-shower) | 82 | 67.31% ±51.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/baby-shower?window=all) | 82 | 67.31% ±51.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 82 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Cradlewise Convertible Smart Bassinet and Crib other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cradlewise-convertible-smart-bassinet-and-crib) | 1 in 152 | $2,100 | 17.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [BOB Gear Revolution Flex 3.0 Duallie Double Jogging Stroller, Graphite Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bob-gear-revolution-flex-3-0-duallie-double-jogging-stroller-graphite-black) | 1 in 125 | $880 | 8.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Maxi-Cosi Tayla™ Max Travel System, Desert Wonder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/maxi-cosi-tayla-max-travel-system-desert-wonder) | 1 in 111 | $840 | 9.3% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Maxi-Cosi's Mico™ Luxe+ Baby Car Seat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/maxi-cosis-mico-luxe-baby-car-seat) | 1 in 100 | $400 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [Little Tikes Jump 'n Slide Inflatable Bounce House other](https://gambatracker.com/items/little-tikes-jump-n-slide-inflatable-bounce-house) | 1 in 100 | $372 | 4.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Grand Attelage Mocha Spoon other](https://gambatracker.com/items/grand-attelage-mocha-spoon) | 1 in 88 | $366 | 5.2% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [Newton Baby Crib Mattress and Toddler Bed other](https://gambatracker.com/items/newton-baby-crib-mattress-and-toddler-bed) | 1 in 100 | $360 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [Baby Brezza Bottle Washer Pro other](https://gambatracker.com/items/baby-brezza-bottle-washer-pro) | 1 in 100 | $360 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [Maxi-Cosi Cassia Baby Swings for Infants: Smart Portable Baby Swing with Music, Lightweight & Foldable Baby Swing other](https://gambatracker.com/items/maxi-cosi-cassia-baby-swings-for-infants-smart-portable-baby-swing-with-music-lightweight-and-foldable-baby-swing) | 1 in 33 | $245 | 9.1% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.22× | | [adidas Preschool Yeezy Slide Kids HQ4115 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-preschool-yeezy-slide-kids-hq4115) | 1 in 17 | $179 | 13.3% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.22× | | [Ubbi Steel Diaper Pail, Odor Locking, No Special Bag Required other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ubbi-steel-diaper-pail-odor-locking-no-special-bag-required) | 1 in 13 | $90.00 | 8.9% | 7 | 6.6 | 1.07× | | [Enfamil NeuroPro Baby Formula, Infant Formula Nutrition other](https://gambatracker.com/items/enfamil-neuropro-baby-formula-infant-formula-nutrition) | 1 in 13 | $35.00 | 3.5% | 5 | 6.6 | 0.76× | | [Hip Seat Baby Carrier other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hip-seat-baby-carrier) | 10.0% | $23.00 | 2.8% | 6 | 8.2 | 0.73× | | [Boon Lawn Countertop Baby Bottle Drying Rack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boon-lawn-countertop-baby-bottle-drying-rack) | 10.0% | $16.00 | 2.0% | 11 | 8.2 | 1.34× | | [CREVENT 30''X40'' Cute Cozy Fluffy Warm Baby Blanket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crevent-30x40-cute-cozy-fluffy-warm-baby-blanket) | 10.0% | $7.00 | 0.9% | 8 | 8.2 | 0.98× | | [PPSU Baby Bottle - 240ml Lullaby Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ppsu-baby-bottle-240ml-lullaby-blue) | 12.5% | $3.50 | 0.5% | 12 | 10.3 | 1.17× | | [Baby Teether other](https://gambatracker.com/items/baby-teether) | 12.5% | $1.25 | 0.2% | 10 | 10.3 | 0.98× | | [Fisher-Price Rattle 'n Rock Maracas other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fisher-price-rattle-n-rock-maracas) | 12.5% | $1.00 | 0.2% | 10 | 10.3 | 0.98× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Maxi-Cosi Tayla™ Max Travel System, Desert Wonder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/maxi-cosi-tayla-max-travel-system-desert-wonder) Hidden $90.46 $840 9.29x 2026-11-05 19:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=baby-shower) [Hip Seat Baby Carrier other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hip-seat-baby-carrier) Hidden $90.46 $23.00 0.25x 2026-11-11 08:59 UTC [Boon Lawn Countertop Baby Bottle Drying Rack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boon-lawn-countertop-baby-bottle-drying-rack) Hidden $90.46 $16.00 0.18x 2026-11-11 08:59 UTC [Fisher-Price Rattle 'n Rock Maracas other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fisher-price-rattle-n-rock-maracas) Hidden $90.46 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:59 UTC [adidas Preschool Yeezy Slide Kids HQ4115 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-preschool-yeezy-slide-kids-hq4115) Hidden $90.46 $179 1.98x 2026-11-11 08:59 UTC [Baby Teether other](https://gambatracker.com/items/baby-teether) Hidden $90.46 $1.25 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:59 UTC [Fisher-Price Rattle 'n Rock Maracas other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fisher-price-rattle-n-rock-maracas) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $90.46 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:59 UTC [adidas Preschool Yeezy Slide Kids HQ4115 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-preschool-yeezy-slide-kids-hq4115) Hidden $90.46 $179 1.98x 2026-11-11 07:01 UTC [Boon Lawn Countertop Baby Bottle Drying Rack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boon-lawn-countertop-baby-bottle-drying-rack) Hidden $90.46 $16.00 0.18x 2026-11-11 07:01 UTC [Hip Seat Baby Carrier other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hip-seat-baby-carrier) Hidden $90.46 $23.00 0.25x 2026-11-11 07:01 UTC [Boon Lawn Countertop Baby Bottle Drying Rack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boon-lawn-countertop-baby-bottle-drying-rack) [Friendly Chipmunk](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Friendly%20Chipmunk) $90.46 $16.00 0.18x 2026-11-11 07:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $90.46 | 89.50% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $840 (9.29x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt