--- title: "Back 9 case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Back 9 ($53.61) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 12 items with odds, observed 115.99% over 608 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/back-9 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Back 9](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/back-9) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Back 9 A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/back-9?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/back-9?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/back-9) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/back-9?window=all) Price · $53.61 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $47.98 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 115.99% · 608 openings, odds method Variance · 127.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 200 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 21 openings · below min 7 days · 427 openings · below min 30 days · 608 openings · below min since tracking started · 608 openings · below min -0.5% 243.8% 488.0% **Small sample.** 608 openings and 3.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/back-9?window=24h) | 21 | 3.97% ±483.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/back-9?window=7d) | 427 | 111.07% ±107.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/back-9) | 608 | 115.99% ±89.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/back-9?window=all) | 608 | 115.99% ±89.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 608 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Club Car Onward 2 Passenger other](https://gambatracker.com/items/club-car-onward-2-passenger) | 1 in 500 | $11.4K | 47.5% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.47× | | [Full Swing Kit Golf Portable Outdoor & Indoor Launch Monitor - Tested & Trusted by Tiger Woods other](https://gambatracker.com/items/full-swing-kit-golf-portable-outdoor-and-indoor-launch-monitor-tested-and-trusted-by-tiger-woods) | 1 in 333 | $5,995 | 37.5% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× | | [Callaway Golf Men’s Strata Complete Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/callaway-golf-mens-strata-complete-set) | 1 in 200 | $480 | 5.0% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× | | [Callaway Golf 300 Pro Laser Rangefinder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/callaway-golf-300-pro-laser-rangefinder) | 1 in 200 | $245 | 2.6% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× | | [KVV 3 Wheel Golf Push Cart Ultra Lightweight Smallest Folding Size, New-Version Scorecard Holder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kvv-3-wheel-golf-push-cart-ultra-lightweight-smallest-folding-size-new-version-scorecard-holder) | 1 in 200 | $225 | 2.3% | 8 | 3.0 | 2.63× | | [Golf Rangefinder with Slope and Pin Lock Vibration other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golf-rangefinder-with-slope-and-pin-lock-vibration) | 1 in 100 | $71.00 | 1.5% | 4 | 6.1 | 0.66× | | [Callaway Golf Supersoft 2021 Golf Balls other](https://gambatracker.com/items/callaway-golf-supersoft-2021-golf-balls) | 1 in 100 | $30.00 | 0.6% | 7 | 6.1 | 1.15× | | [2021 TaylorMade Distance+ Golf Balls other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2021-taylormade-distance-golf-balls) | 1 in 100 | $25.00 | 0.5% | 5 | 6.1 | 0.82× | | [Callaway 4-in-1 Golf Divot Repair Tool other](https://gambatracker.com/items/callaway-4-in-1-golf-divot-repair-tool) | 1 in 50 | $18.00 | 0.8% | 26 | 12.2 | 2.14× | | [Extra Durable 4 Prongs Plastic Golf Tees -100 Pack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/extra-durable-4-prongs-plastic-golf-tees-100-pack) | 1 in 33 | $10.00 | 0.6% | 16 | 18.2 | 0.88× | | [Golf Ball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golf-ball) | 40.0% | $1.00 | 0.8% | 240 | 243.2 | 0.99× | | [Golf Tee other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golf-tee) | 50.0% | $0.25 | 0.3% | 298 | 304.0 | 0.98× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Club Car Onward 2 Passenger other](https://gambatracker.com/items/club-car-onward-2-passenger) [CODE: FREEMAN 400$ LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/CODE%3A%20FREEMAN%20400%24%20LB) $53.61 $11.4K 212.6x 2026-11-09 17:04 UTC [Club Car Onward 2 Passenger other](https://gambatracker.com/items/club-car-onward-2-passenger) Hidden $53.61 $11.4K 212.6x 2026-11-05 23:05 UTC [Club Car Onward 2 Passenger other](https://gambatracker.com/items/club-car-onward-2-passenger) [Mackay](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Mackay) $53.61 $11.4K 212.6x 2026-11-03 14:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=back-9) [Golf Ball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golf-ball) Hidden $53.61 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:17 UTC [Golf Tee other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golf-tee) Hidden $53.61 $0.25 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:17 UTC [Golf Ball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golf-ball) [ryan](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/ryan) $53.61 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:17 UTC [Golf Tee other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golf-tee) Hidden $53.61 $0.25 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:15 UTC [Golf Ball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golf-ball) Hidden $53.61 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:15 UTC [Golf Ball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golf-ball) Hidden $53.61 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:15 UTC [Golf Ball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golf-ball) Hidden $53.61 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:15 UTC [Golf Tee other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golf-tee) Hidden $53.61 $0.25 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:15 UTC [Golf Ball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golf-ball) [ryan](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/ryan) $53.61 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:15 UTC [Golf Ball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golf-ball) Hidden $53.61 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 03:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $53.61 | 89.50% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $11.4K (212.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt