--- title: "Basement Dweller case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Basement Dweller ($107.87) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 94.11% over 201 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/basement-dweller rendered: 2026-11-11T18:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Basement Dweller](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/basement-dweller) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Basement Dweller A box on Cases.gg (Tech), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/basement-dweller?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/basement-dweller?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/basement-dweller) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/basement-dweller?window=all) Price · $107.87 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $96.54 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.11% · 201 openings, odds method Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 94.11% ±19.62 201 openings 30 days · 94.11% ±19.62 201 openings since tracking started · 94.11% ±19.62 201 openings -0.5% 75.5% 151.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/basement-dweller?window=24h) | 6 | 37.31% ±113.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/basement-dweller?window=7d) | 201 | 94.11% ±19.6 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/basement-dweller) | 201 | 94.11% ±19.6 | +0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/basement-dweller?window=all) | 201 | 94.11% ±19.6 | +0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 201 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Microsoft Xbox Series X 1TB Gaming Console other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microsoft-xbox-series-x-1tb-gaming-console) | 1 in 500 | $900 | 1.9% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [PlayStation®5 Digital Edition (Slim) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-5-digital-edition-slim) | 1 in 333 | $730 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Meta Quest 3 128GB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/meta-quest-3-128gb) | 1 in 200 | $700 | 3.6% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× | | [Xbox Series S 1TB, Carbon Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-series-s-1tb-carbon-black) | 1 in 100 | $650 | 6.7% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.49× | | [Higround x Aot2 Mikasa Base 65 Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/higround-x-aot2-mikasa-base-65-keyboard) | 1 in 33 | $550 | 17.1% | 5 | 6.0 | 0.83× | | [Higround x Jujutsu Kaisen Gojo Mousepad other](https://gambatracker.com/items/higround-x-jujutsu-kaisen-gojo-mousepad) | 10.0% | $276 | 28.6% | 20 | 20.1 | 1.00× | | [RESPAWN 110 Gaming Chair other](https://gambatracker.com/items/respawn-110-gaming-chair) | 1 in 25 | $200 | 8.3% | 12 | 8.0 | 1.49× | | [Homall Gaming Chair other](https://gambatracker.com/items/homall-gaming-chair) | 11.0% | $199 | 22.7% | 22 | 22.1 | 1.00× | | [Youtooz Anya Forger 4.3" Vinyl Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/youtooz-anya-forger-4-3-vinyl-figure) | 1 in 20 | $39.00 | 2.0% | 11 | 10.1 | 1.09× | | [Youtooz Naruto Ramen 3.9" Inch Vinyl Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/youtooz-naruto-ramen-3-9-inch-vinyl-figure) | 1 in 20 | $34.00 | 1.8% | 10 | 10.1 | 1.00× | | [Naruto Shippuden Ichiraku Ramen Bowl other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-shippuden-ichiraku-ramen-bowl) | 1 in 20 | $28.00 | 1.5% | 15 | 10.1 | 1.49× | | [$20 Steam Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/20-steam-gift-card) | 1 in 20 | $20.00 | 1.0% | 10 | 10.1 | 1.00× | | [Youtooz Cowboy Bebop Last Stand Spike 5" Vinyl Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/youtooz-cowboy-bebop-last-stand-spike-5-vinyl-figure) | 1 in 20 | $15.00 | 0.8% | 10 | 10.1 | 1.00× | | [Xbox Socks Gaming Console Logo Adult Crew Socks 1 Pair other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-socks-gaming-console-logo-adult-crew-socks-1-pair) | 1 in 20 | $13.95 | 0.7% | 7 | 10.1 | 0.70× | | [Logitech Mouse Pad - Studio Series other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-mouse-pad-studio-series) | 1 in 20 | $9.66 | 0.5% | 7 | 10.1 | 0.70× | | [Pokemon Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-cards) | 10.0% | $3.00 | 0.3% | 15 | 20.1 | 0.75× | | [Thumb Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-grips) | 10.0% | $2.00 | 0.2% | 21 | 20.1 | 1.04× | | [Brick other](https://gambatracker.com/items/brick) | 15.0% | $0.50 | 0.1% | 31 | 30.1 | 1.03× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Microsoft Xbox Series X 1TB Gaming Console other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microsoft-xbox-series-x-1tb-gaming-console) [JoshuaCR](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/JoshuaCR) $108 $900 8.34x 2026-11-09 03:38 UTC [Meta Quest 3 128GB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/meta-quest-3-128gb) Hidden $108 $700 6.49x 2026-11-09 04:06 UTC [Xbox Series S 1TB, Carbon Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-series-s-1tb-carbon-black) Hidden $108 $650 6.03x 2026-11-09 03:57 UTC [Xbox Series S 1TB, Carbon Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-series-s-1tb-carbon-black) Hidden $108 $650 6.03x 2026-11-09 03:52 UTC [Xbox Series S 1TB, Carbon Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-series-s-1tb-carbon-black) [Henzair](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Henzair) $108 $650 6.03x 2026-11-06 09:33 UTC [Higround x Aot2 Mikasa Base 65 Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/higround-x-aot2-mikasa-base-65-keyboard) Hidden $108 $550 5.10x 2026-11-10 06:42 UTC [Higround x Aot2 Mikasa Base 65 Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/higround-x-aot2-mikasa-base-65-keyboard) Hidden $108 $550 5.10x 2026-11-09 04:16 UTC [Higround x Aot2 Mikasa Base 65 Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/higround-x-aot2-mikasa-base-65-keyboard) Hidden $108 $550 5.10x 2026-11-09 04:09 UTC [Higround x Aot2 Mikasa Base 65 Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/higround-x-aot2-mikasa-base-65-keyboard) Hidden $108 $550 5.10x 2026-11-09 04:07 UTC [Higround x Aot2 Mikasa Base 65 Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/higround-x-aot2-mikasa-base-65-keyboard) Hidden $108 $550 5.10x 2026-11-06 08:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=basement-dweller) [Brick other](https://gambatracker.com/items/brick) Hidden $108 $0.50 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [Homall Gaming Chair other](https://gambatracker.com/items/homall-gaming-chair) Hidden $108 $199 1.84x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [Pokemon Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-cards) Hidden $108 $3.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [Thumb Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-grips) Hidden $108 $2.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [Youtooz Naruto Ramen 3.9" Inch Vinyl Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/youtooz-naruto-ramen-3-9-inch-vinyl-figure) Hidden $108 $34.00 0.32x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [Pokemon Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-cards) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $108 $3.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [Thumb Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-grips) Hidden $108 $2.00 0.02x 2026-11-10 06:44 UTC [Naruto Shippuden Ichiraku Ramen Bowl other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-shippuden-ichiraku-ramen-bowl) Hidden $108 $28.00 0.26x 2026-11-10 06:44 UTC [Youtooz Anya Forger 4.3" Vinyl Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/youtooz-anya-forger-4-3-vinyl-figure) Hidden $108 $39.00 0.36x 2026-11-10 06:44 UTC [Brick other](https://gambatracker.com/items/brick) Hidden $108 $0.50 0.00x 2026-11-10 06:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $108 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $900 (8.34x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt