--- title: "Battle of the Planes case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Battle of the Planes ($29.89) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.48% from 18 items with odds, observed 98.71% over 113 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/battle-of-the-planes rendered: 2026-11-13T04:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Battle of the Planes](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/battle-of-the-planes) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Battle of the Planes A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/battle-of-the-planes?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/battle-of-the-planes?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/battle-of-the-planes) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/battle-of-the-planes?window=all) Price · $29.89 Advertised RTP · 89.48% · EV $26.75 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 98.71% · 113 openings, odds method Variance · 5.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 76.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 64 openings · below min 30 days · 113 openings · below min since tracking started · 113 openings · below min -0.5% 71.8% 144.0% **Small sample.** 113 openings and 4.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/battle-of-the-planes?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/battle-of-the-planes?window=7d) | 64 | 33.50% ±59.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/battle-of-the-planes) | 113 | 98.71% ±44.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/battle-of-the-planes?window=all) | 113 | 98.71% ±44.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 125 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Smothering Tithe (V.3) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smothering-tithe-v-3) | 1 in 67 | $534 | 29.9% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.60× | | [Ajani Goldmane (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ajani-goldmane-v-2) | 1 in 40 | $220 | 20.6% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.64× | | [Secret Lair Drop: Pride Across the Multiverse other](https://gambatracker.com/items/secret-lair-drop-pride-across-the-multiverse) | 1 in 29 | $64.00 | 8.4% | 2 | 4.4 | 0.46× | | [Emrakul, the Promised End other](https://gambatracker.com/items/emrakul-the-promised-end) | 1 in 29 | $43.50 | 5.7% | 4 | 4.4 | 0.91× | | [Karn, Silver Golem other](https://gambatracker.com/items/karn-silver-golem) | 1 in 25 | $40.00 | 6.0% | 6 | 5.0 | 1.20× | | [Plane of Ixalan Loyalty Dice Set (12 Dice) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/plane-of-ixalan-loyalty-dice-set-12-dice) | 1 in 25 | $40.00 | 6.0% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.80× | | [Sol'kanar the Swamp King other](https://gambatracker.com/items/solkanar-the-swamp-king) | 1 in 20 | $32.00 | 6.0% | 6 | 6.3 | 0.96× | | [Smothering Tithe other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smothering-tithe) | 1 in 20 | $28.70 | 5.4% | 6 | 6.3 | 0.96× | | [The Immortal Sun (XM20) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-immortal-sun-xm20) | 1 in 20 | $17.00 | 3.2% | 4 | 6.3 | 0.64× | | [Chandra Nalaar (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chandra-nalaar-v-2) | 1 in 20 | $12.90 | 2.4% | 5 | 6.3 | 0.80× | | [The Immortal Sun (XCMM) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-immortal-sun-xcmm) | 1 in 20 | $12.80 | 2.4% | 10 | 6.3 | 1.60× | | [Double Masters 2022: "Emrakul, the Aeons Torn" Deck Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/double-masters-2022-emrakul-the-aeons-torn-deck-box) | 1 in 17 | $6.80 | 1.5% | 7 | 7.5 | 0.93× | | [Karn, Legacy Reforged other](https://gambatracker.com/items/karn-legacy-reforged) | 1 in 17 | $5.52 | 1.2% | 8 | 7.5 | 1.07× | | [Phyrexian Arena other](https://gambatracker.com/items/phyrexian-arena) | 1 in 13 | $3.45 | 1.0% | 25 | 9.4 | 2.67× | | [Nissa Revane other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nissa-revane) | 1 in 13 | $1.00 | 0.3% | 6 | 9.4 | 0.64× | | [Phyrexian Arena other](https://gambatracker.com/items/phyrexian-arena) | 1 in 11 | $0.30 | 0.1% | 25 | 11.3 | 2.22× | | [Planar Die (Divine Convocation) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/planar-die-divine-convocation) | 10.0% | $0.10 | 0.0% | 10 | 12.5 | 0.80× | | [Sigarda's Imprisonment other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sigardas-imprisonment) | 10.0% | $0.01 | 0.0% | 17 | 12.5 | 1.36× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 13 Nov, 02:20 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Smothering Tithe (V.3) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smothering-tithe-v-3) Hidden $29.89 $534 17.85x 2026-11-06 02:45 UTC [Smothering Tithe (V.3) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smothering-tithe-v-3) Hidden $29.89 $534 17.85x 2026-11-02 22:06 UTC [Smothering Tithe (V.3) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smothering-tithe-v-3) Hidden $29.89 $534 17.85x 2026-11-02 22:04 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=battle-of-the-planes) [The Immortal Sun (XCMM) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-immortal-sun-xcmm) Hidden $29.89 $12.80 0.43x 2026-11-11 15:21 UTC [Sigarda's Imprisonment other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sigardas-imprisonment) Hidden $29.89 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:21 UTC [The Immortal Sun (XCMM) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-immortal-sun-xcmm) Hidden $29.89 $12.80 0.43x 2026-11-11 15:21 UTC [Sigarda's Imprisonment other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sigardas-imprisonment) Hidden $29.89 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:21 UTC [Phyrexian Arena other](https://gambatracker.com/items/phyrexian-arena) Hidden $29.89 $0.30 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:21 UTC [Sol'kanar the Swamp King other](https://gambatracker.com/items/solkanar-the-swamp-king) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $29.89 $32.00 1.07x 2026-11-11 15:21 UTC [Sol'kanar the Swamp King other](https://gambatracker.com/items/solkanar-the-swamp-king) Hidden $29.89 $32.00 1.07x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC [Planar Die (Divine Convocation) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/planar-die-divine-convocation) Hidden $29.89 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC [The Immortal Sun (XM20) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-immortal-sun-xm20) Hidden $29.89 $17.00 0.57x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC [Karn, Legacy Reforged other](https://gambatracker.com/items/karn-legacy-reforged) Hidden $29.89 $5.52 0.18x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $29.89 | 89.48% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $534 (17.85x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.48 on average: an expected loss of $10.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt