---
title: "Beauty Basics case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Beauty Basics ($20.66) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.47% from 18 items with odds, observed 75.28% over 422 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/beauty-basics
rendered: 2026-11-12T01:36Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Beauty Basics](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/beauty-basics)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Beauty Basics

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/beauty-basics?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/beauty-basics?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/beauty-basics) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/beauty-basics?window=all)

Price · $20.66

Advertised RTP · 89.47% · EV $18.48 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 75.28% · 422 openings, odds method

Variance · 8.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 27 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 33 openings · below min

7 days · 86.78% ±34.51 270 openings

30 days · 75.28% ±27.60 422 openings

since tracking started · 75.28% ±27.60 422 openings

2.0% 101.5% 201.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/beauty-basics?window=24h) | 33 | 101.39% ±98.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/beauty-basics?window=7d) | 270 | 86.78% ±34.5 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/beauty-basics) | 422 | 75.28% ±27.6 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/beauty-basics?window=all) | 422 | 75.28% ±27.6 | −1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 422 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Dyson Supersonic™ Hair Dryer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dyson-supersonic-hair-dryer) | 1 in 200 | $516 | 14.0% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.42× |
| [LA MER \| Creme de La Mer, Moisturizing cream 2OZ , white other](https://gambatracker.com/items/la-mer-creme-de-la-mer-moisturizing-cream-2oz-white) | 1 in 200 | $432 | 11.7% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× |
| [NuFACE MINI Starter Kit White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nuface-mini-starter-kit-white) | 1 in 133 | $280 | 11.4% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.95× |
| [Coco Mademoiselle by Chanel for Women, Eau De Toilette Spray, 3.4 Ounce other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coco-mademoiselle-by-chanel-for-women-eau-de-toilette-spray-3-4-ounce) | 1 in 100 | $225 | 12.2% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.71× |
| [T3 SinglePass StyleMax Professional 1" Ceramic Flat Iron with Custom Heat Automation other](https://gambatracker.com/items/t3-singlepass-stylemax-professional-1-ceramic-flat-iron-with-custom-heat-automation) | 1 in 100 | $200 | 10.8% | 1 | 4.2 | 0.24× |
| [Prada Monochrome Hyper Matte Lipstick Rubino other](https://gambatracker.com/items/prada-monochrome-hyper-matte-lipstick-rubino) | 1 in 40 | $50.00 | 6.8% | 6 | 10.6 | 0.57× |
| [Dior Diorshow Iconic Overcurl Spectacular 24H Volume & Curl Mascara #090 Black, 0.21 Ounce other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-diorshow-iconic-overcurl-spectacular-24h-volume-and-curl-mascara-090-black-0-21-ounce) | 1 in 33 | $35.00 | 5.7% | 11 | 12.7 | 0.87× |
| [Fenty Beauty by Rihanna Snap Shadows Mix & Match Eyeshadow Palette 1 True Neutrals other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fenty-beauty-by-rihanna-snap-shadows-mix-and-match-eyeshadow-palette-1-true-neutrals) | 1 in 20 | $20.00 | 5.4% | 18 | 21.1 | 0.85× |
| [Victoria's Secret Bombshell Seduction Eau de Parfum Rollerball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/victorias-secret-bombshell-seduction-eau-de-parfum-rollerball) | 1 in 20 | $14.90 | 4.0% | 23 | 21.1 | 1.09× |
| [Anastasia Beverly Hills - Mini Lash Brag Volumizing Mascara other](https://gambatracker.com/items/anastasia-beverly-hills-mini-lash-brag-volumizing-mascara) | 1 in 20 | $12.60 | 3.4% | 9 | 21.1 | 0.43× |
| [CeraVe Therapeutic Hand Cream for Dry Cracked Hands With Hyaluronic Acid and Niacinamide other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cerave-therapeutic-hand-cream-for-dry-cracked-hands-with-hyaluronic-acid-and-niacinamide) | 1 in 20 | $11.00 | 3.0% | 29 | 21.1 | 1.37× |
| [La Roche-Posay Cicaplast Lip Balm B5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/la-roche-posay-cicaplast-lip-balm-b5) | 1 in 13 | $8.00 | 3.2% | 27 | 31.6 | 0.85× |
| [Dr. Pure Under Eye Patches for Puffiness other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dr-pure-under-eye-patches-for-puffiness) | 1 in 13 | $6.70 | 2.7% | 52 | 31.6 | 1.64× |
| [Vanicream Moisturizing Skin Cream Tube for Sensitive Skin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vanicream-moisturizing-skin-cream-tube-for-sensitive-skin) | 10.0% | $5.00 | 2.7% | 49 | 42.2 | 1.16× |
| [Neutrogena Fragrance-Free Makeup Remover Wipes other](https://gambatracker.com/items/neutrogena-fragrance-free-makeup-remover-wipes) | 10.0% | $2.80 | 1.5% | 44 | 42.2 | 1.04× |
| [wet n wild Wild Shine Nail Polish, Red Burgundy Frost other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wet-n-wild-wild-shine-nail-polish-red-burgundy-frost) | 10.0% | $1.69 | 0.9% | 41 | 42.2 | 0.97× |
| [Beautyblender® \| Original Pink Beauty Blender Makeup Sponge other](https://gambatracker.com/items/beautyblender-original-pink-beauty-blender-makeup-sponge) | 10.8% | $0.75 | 0.4% | 41 | 45.4 | 0.90× |
| [Sheet Face Mask other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sheet-face-mask) | 15.0% | $0.25 | 0.2% | 61 | 63.3 | 0.96× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Dyson Supersonic™ Hair Dryer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dyson-supersonic-hair-dryer) Hidden $20.66 $516 24.98x 2026-11-11 03:47 UTC

[Dyson Supersonic™ Hair Dryer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dyson-supersonic-hair-dryer) Hidden $20.66 $516 24.98x 2026-11-08 04:39 UTC

[Dyson Supersonic™ Hair Dryer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dyson-supersonic-hair-dryer) [Henzair](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Henzair) $20.66 $516 24.98x 2026-11-06 09:26 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=beauty-basics)

[Victoria's Secret Bombshell Seduction Eau de Parfum Rollerball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/victorias-secret-bombshell-seduction-eau-de-parfum-rollerball) Hidden $20.66 $14.90 0.72x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Neutrogena Fragrance-Free Makeup Remover Wipes other](https://gambatracker.com/items/neutrogena-fragrance-free-makeup-remover-wipes) Hidden $20.66 $2.80 0.14x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[CeraVe Therapeutic Hand Cream for Dry Cracked Hands With Hyaluronic Acid and Niacinamide other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cerave-therapeutic-hand-cream-for-dry-cracked-hands-with-hyaluronic-acid-and-niacinamide) Hidden $20.66 $11.00 0.53x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[La Roche-Posay Cicaplast Lip Balm B5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/la-roche-posay-cicaplast-lip-balm-b5) Hidden $20.66 $8.00 0.39x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[La Roche-Posay Cicaplast Lip Balm B5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/la-roche-posay-cicaplast-lip-balm-b5) Hidden $20.66 $8.00 0.39x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Victoria's Secret Bombshell Seduction Eau de Parfum Rollerball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/victorias-secret-bombshell-seduction-eau-de-parfum-rollerball) [FamiChiki](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/FamiChiki) $20.66 $14.90 0.72x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Sheet Face Mask other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sheet-face-mask) Hidden $20.66 $0.25 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:42 UTC

[Sheet Face Mask other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sheet-face-mask) Hidden $20.66 $0.25 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:42 UTC

[Sheet Face Mask other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sheet-face-mask) [Shoqx](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Shoqx) $20.66 $0.25 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:42 UTC

[Dr. Pure Under Eye Patches for Puffiness other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dr-pure-under-eye-patches-for-puffiness) Hidden $20.66 $6.70 0.32x 2026-11-11 15:13 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $20.66 | 89.47% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $516 (24.98x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.47 on average: an expected loss of $10.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt