--- title: "BK case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "BK ($27.57) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.48% from 12 items with odds, observed 96.72% over 312 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bk rendered: 2026-11-11T14:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [BK](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bk) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · BK A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bk?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bk?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bk) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bk?window=all) Price · $27.57 Advertised RTP · 89.48% · EV $24.67 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 96.72% · 312 openings, odds method Variance · 22.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 60 openings · below min 7 days · 68.78% ±57.63 263 openings 30 days · 96.72% ±52.91 312 openings since tracking started · 96.72% ±52.91 312 openings -0.5% 75.0% 150.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bk?window=24h) | 60 | 27.19% ±120.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bk?window=7d) | 263 | 68.78% ±57.6 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bk) | 312 | 96.72% ±52.9 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bk?window=all) | 312 | 96.72% ±52.9 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 312 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Vandy The Pink Giant Burger Plush Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vandy-the-pink-giant-burger-plush-toy) | 1 in 400 | $2,188 | 22.2% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Human Made Burger Cushion other](https://gambatracker.com/items/human-made-burger-cushion) | 1 in 133 | $617 | 18.8% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× | | [Timex Episode #4 40mm Stainless Steel Bracelet Watch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/timex-episode-4-40mm-stainless-steel-bracelet-watch) | 1 in 100 | $360 | 14.6% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.96× | | [Plane Ticket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/plane-ticket) | 1 in 67 | $250 | 15.2% | 12 | 4.7 | 2.56× | | [Vans Burger King x Sneaker Mechanic Shoes M 8.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vans-burger-king-x-sneaker-mechanic-shoes-m-8-5) | 1 in 50 | $200 | 16.2% | 6 | 6.2 | 0.96× | | [Burger King Toy Story Alien 3-Inch Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burger-king-toy-story-alien-3-inch-figure) | 1 in 13 | $20.00 | 6.1% | 20 | 23.4 | 0.85× | | [Burger Socks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burger-socks) | 10.0% | $8.00 | 3.2% | 19 | 31.2 | 0.61× | | [Burger King Whopper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burger-king-whopper) | 10.0% | $4.00 | 1.6% | 32 | 31.2 | 1.03× | | [Burger King Tray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burger-king-tray) | 10.0% | $2.00 | 0.8% | 27 | 31.2 | 0.87× | | [Burger King Fries other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burger-king-fries) | 17.0% | $1.50 | 1.0% | 63 | 53.0 | 1.19× | | [Burger King Crown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burger-king-crown) | 20.0% | $0.25 | 0.2% | 70 | 62.4 | 1.12× | | [Plastic Water Bottle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/plastic-water-bottle) | 20.0% | $0.10 | 0.1% | 59 | 62.4 | 0.95× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Vandy The Pink Giant Burger Plush Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vandy-the-pink-giant-burger-plush-toy) Hidden $27.57 $2,188 79.36x 2026-11-03 00:02 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=bk) [Burger King Toy Story Alien 3-Inch Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burger-king-toy-story-alien-3-inch-figure) Hidden $27.57 $20.00 0.73x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC [Burger King Tray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burger-king-tray) Hidden $27.57 $2.00 0.07x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC [Plastic Water Bottle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/plastic-water-bottle) Hidden $27.57 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC [Burger King Crown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burger-king-crown) Hidden $27.57 $0.25 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC [Burger King Fries other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burger-king-fries) Hidden $27.57 $1.50 0.05x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC [Burger King Fries other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burger-king-fries) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $27.57 $1.50 0.05x 2026-11-11 08:18 UTC [Burger King Crown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burger-king-crown) Hidden $27.57 $0.25 0.01x 2026-11-11 03:32 UTC [Plastic Water Bottle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/plastic-water-bottle) Hidden $27.57 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:32 UTC [Burger King Whopper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burger-king-whopper) Hidden $27.57 $4.00 0.15x 2026-11-11 03:32 UTC [Burger King Tray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burger-king-tray) [Friendly Chipmunk](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Friendly%20Chipmunk) $27.57 $2.00 0.07x 2026-11-11 03:32 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $27.57 | 89.48% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,188 (79.36x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.48 on average: an expected loss of $10.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt