---
title: "Black & Yellow case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Black & Yellow ($1,784.25) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 17 items with odds, observed 72.39% over 12 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/black-and-yellow
rendered: 2026-11-12T00:54Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Black & Yellow](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/black-and-yellow)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Black & Yellow

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/black-and-yellow?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/black-and-yellow?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/black-and-yellow) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/black-and-yellow?window=all)

Price · $1,784.25

Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $1,596.90 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 72.39% · 12 openings, odds method

Variance · 6.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 12 openings · below min

30 days · 12 openings · below min

since tracking started · 12 openings · below min

-0.5% 107.0% 214.5%

**Small sample.** 12 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/black-and-yellow?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/black-and-yellow?window=7d) | 12 | 72.39% ±141.4 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/black-and-yellow) | 12 | 72.39% ±141.4 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/black-and-yellow?window=all) | 12 | 72.39% ±141.4 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Hermès Kelly Pochette Lime Swift Gold Hardware other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hermes-kelly-pochette-lime-swift-gold-hardware) | 1 in 100 | $23.6K | 14.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Yamaha YZF-R1 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamaha-yzf-r1) | 1 in 100 | $22.1K | 13.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock "Bruce Lee 80th"other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-bruce-lee-80th) | 1 in 100 | $16K | 10.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Rolex Submariner Date other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-submariner-date) | 1 in 100 | $15.7K | 9.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [1999 Pokemon Base Set Shadowless 1st Edition Holo Raichu #14 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1999-pokemon-base-set-shadowless-1st-edition-holo-raichu-14-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 100 | $14.4K | 9.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [ROLEX DATEJUST 36MM STEEL (16264) - 2.00CTW CUSTOM BEZEL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-datejust-36mm-steel-16264-2-00ctw-custom-bezel) | 1 in 100 | $13.2K | 8.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Jordan 1 Retro High Michigan PE US M 11.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-michigan-pe-us-m-11-5) | 1 in 100 | $12.6K | 7.9% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Omega Speedmaster Professional Moonwatch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/omega-speedmaster-professional-moonwatch) | 1 in 100 | $7,900 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Supreme The North Face Leather Nuptse Jacket Yellow (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-the-north-face-leather-nuptse-jacket-yellow-us-s) | 1 in 100 | $7,222 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Van Cleef & Arpels Vintage Alhambra Onyx Earrings 18K Gold other](https://gambatracker.com/items/van-cleef-and-arpels-vintage-alhambra-onyx-earrings-18k-gold) | 1 in 100 | $5,400 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [2019 Gold Sarcophagus Tin Display other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2019-gold-sarcophagus-tin-display) | 10.0% | $440 | 2.8% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| [Pikachu Gold Star (HP 104) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-gold-star-hp-104) | 10.0% | $425 | 2.7% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.50× |
| [Sony WH-1000XM4 Wireless Premium Noise Canceling Overhead Headphones - Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-wh-1000xm4-wireless-premium-noise-canceling-overhead-headphones-black) | 10.0% | $380 | 2.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| [Casio G-Shock Ed Sheeran other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ed-sheeran) | 10.0% | $330 | 2.1% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| [Nike Air Force 1 Low Supreme Black (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-supreme-black-us-10) | 10.0% | $235 | 1.5% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Stanley The Black Chroma Collection Flowstate Quencher 30oz Tumbler Black Chroma other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stanley-the-black-chroma-collection-flowstate-quencher-30oz-tumbler-black-chroma) | 20.0% | $93.15 | 1.2% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× |
| [Texas Roadhouse Gift Card - $75 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/texas-roadhouse-gift-card-75) | 20.0% | $75.00 | 0.9% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Jordan 1 Retro High Michigan PE US M 11.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-michigan-pe-us-m-11-5) Hidden $1,784 $12.6K 7.09x 2026-11-10 00:39 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=black-and-yellow)

[Jordan 1 Retro High Michigan PE US M 11.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-michigan-pe-us-m-11-5) Hidden $1,784 $12.6K 7.09x 2026-11-10 00:39 UTC

[Stanley The Black Chroma Collection Flowstate Quencher 30oz Tumbler Black Chroma other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stanley-the-black-chroma-collection-flowstate-quencher-30oz-tumbler-black-chroma) Hidden $1,784 $93.15 0.05x 2026-11-10 00:39 UTC

[Stanley The Black Chroma Collection Flowstate Quencher 30oz Tumbler Black Chroma other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stanley-the-black-chroma-collection-flowstate-quencher-30oz-tumbler-black-chroma) Hidden $1,784 $93.15 0.05x 2026-11-10 00:39 UTC

[Pikachu Gold Star (HP 104) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-gold-star-hp-104) Hidden $1,784 $425 0.24x 2026-11-10 00:39 UTC

[Texas Roadhouse Gift Card - $75 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/texas-roadhouse-gift-card-75) Hidden $1,784 $75.00 0.04x 2026-11-10 00:39 UTC

[Casio G-Shock Ed Sheeran other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ed-sheeran) [Oliveira16](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Oliveira16) $1,784 $330 0.18x 2026-11-10 00:39 UTC

[Pikachu Gold Star (HP 104) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-gold-star-hp-104) Hidden $1,784 $425 0.24x 2026-11-10 00:38 UTC

[Sony WH-1000XM4 Wireless Premium Noise Canceling Overhead Headphones - Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-wh-1000xm4-wireless-premium-noise-canceling-overhead-headphones-black) Hidden $1,784 $380 0.21x 2026-11-10 00:38 UTC

[Pikachu Gold Star (HP 104) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pikachu-gold-star-hp-104) Hidden $1,784 $425 0.24x 2026-11-10 00:38 UTC

[Stanley The Black Chroma Collection Flowstate Quencher 30oz Tumbler Black Chroma other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stanley-the-black-chroma-collection-flowstate-quencher-30oz-tumbler-black-chroma) Hidden $1,784 $93.15 0.05x 2026-11-10 00:38 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,784 | 89.50% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $12.6K (7.09x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt