---
title: "Boros Bundle case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Boros Bundle ($3.29) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.35% from 18 items with odds, observed 94.23% over 1,990 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/boros-bundle
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:25Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Boros Bundle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/boros-bundle)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Boros Bundle

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/boros-bundle?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/boros-bundle?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/boros-bundle) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/boros-bundle?window=all)

Price · $3.29

Advertised RTP · 89.35% · EV $2.94 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 94.23% · 1,990 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 71.61% ±35.12 226 openings

7 days · 94.93% ±12.14 1,890 openings

30 days · 94.23% ±11.84 1,990 openings

since tracking started · 94.23% ±11.84 1,990 openings

36.0% 71.8% 107.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/boros-bundle?window=24h) | 226 | 71.61% ±35.1 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/boros-bundle?window=7d) | 1,890 | 94.93% ±12.1 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/boros-bundle) | 1,990 | 94.23% ±11.8 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/boros-bundle?window=all) | 1,990 | 94.23% ±11.8 | +0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,990 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Grand Prix Denver 2018 "Boros Challenger" Playmat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/grand-prix-denver-2018-boros-challenger-playmat) | 1 in 100 | $55.00 | 18.7% | 16 | 19.9 | 0.80× |
| [Ravnica: Charge of the Boros Theme Deck other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ravnica-charge-of-the-boros-theme-deck) | 1 in 100 | $44.00 | 15.0% | 21 | 19.9 | 1.06× |
| [Guilds of Ravnica: Boros Guild Kit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/guilds-of-ravnica-boros-guild-kit) | 1 in 100 | $40.00 | 13.6% | 23 | 19.9 | 1.16× |
| [Guilds of Ravnica: Prerelease Pack (Boros) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/guilds-of-ravnica-prerelease-pack-boros) | 1 in 100 | $30.00 | 10.2% | 25 | 19.9 | 1.26× |
| [Ultra Pro: Alcove Flip Box (Boros) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ultra-pro-alcove-flip-box-boros) | 1 in 100 | $28.00 | 9.5% | 25 | 19.9 | 1.26× |
| [Guilds of Ravnica: Boros Legion Sleeves (UP) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/guilds-of-ravnica-boros-legion-sleeves-up) | 1 in 50 | $11.95 | 8.1% | 41 | 39.8 | 1.03× |
| [Guilds of Ravnica: Boros Legion Deck Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/guilds-of-ravnica-boros-legion-deck-box) | 1 in 33 | $4.80 | 4.9% | 69 | 59.7 | 1.16× |
| [Guilds of Ravnica Theme Booster (Boros) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/guilds-of-ravnica-theme-booster-boros) | 1 in 20 | $3.49 | 5.9% | 106 | 99.5 | 1.07× |
| [Return to Ravnica: Boros Guild Badge other](https://gambatracker.com/items/return-to-ravnica-boros-guild-badge) | 1 in 20 | $2.49 | 4.2% | 103 | 99.5 | 1.04× |
| [Boros Charm other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-charm) | 1 in 13 | $1.50 | 3.8% | 134 | 149.3 | 0.90× |
| [Gatecrash: Boros Pin pin](https://gambatracker.com/items/gatecrash-boros-pin) | 1 in 13 | $0.80 | 2.0% | 154 | 149.3 | 1.03× |
| [Guilds of Ravnica: D20 Die (Boros) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/guilds-of-ravnica-d20-die-boros) | 1 in 13 | $0.75 | 1.9% | 148 | 149.3 | 0.99× |
| [Evil Boros Charm (V.1) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/evil-boros-charm-v-1) | 1 in 13 | $0.33 | 0.8% | 137 | 149.3 | 0.92× |
| [Boros Signet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-signet) | 10.0% | $0.20 | 0.7% | 197 | 199.0 | 0.99× |
| [Boros Reckoner other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-reckoner) | 10.0% | $0.06 | 0.2% | 205 | 199.0 | 1.03× |
| [Boros Garrison other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-garrison) | 10.0% | $0.05 | 0.2% | 192 | 199.0 | 0.96× |
| [Boros Locket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-locket) | 10.0% | $0.02 | 0.1% | 205 | 199.0 | 1.03× |
| [Boros Guildgate (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-guildgate-v-2) | 10.0% | $0.01 | 0.0% | 189 | 199.0 | 0.95× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=boros-bundle)

[Boros Locket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-locket) Hidden $3.29 $0.02 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC

[Evil Boros Charm (V.1) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/evil-boros-charm-v-1) Hidden $3.29 $0.33 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC

[Boros Signet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-signet) Hidden $3.29 $0.20 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC

[Boros Charm other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-charm) Hidden $3.29 $1.50 0.46x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC

[Boros Guildgate (V.2) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-guildgate-v-2) Hidden $3.29 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC

[Boros Garrison other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-garrison) [MILIKE11](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/MILIKE11) $3.29 $0.05 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC

[Boros Locket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-locket) Hidden $3.29 $0.02 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC

[Guilds of Ravnica: D20 Die (Boros) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/guilds-of-ravnica-d20-die-boros) Hidden $3.29 $0.75 0.23x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC

[Boros Signet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/boros-signet) Hidden $3.29 $0.20 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC

[Return to Ravnica: Boros Guild Badge other](https://gambatracker.com/items/return-to-ravnica-boros-guild-badge) [rwang300@gmail.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/rwang300%40gmail.com) $3.29 $2.49 0.76x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3.29 | 89.35% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.35 on average: an expected loss of $10.65 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
