--- title: "Borrowed Time case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Borrowed Time ($200.74) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 30.06% over 172 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/borrowed-time rendered: 2026-11-11T17:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Borrowed Time](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/borrowed-time) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Borrowed Time A box on Cases.gg (Luxury), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/borrowed-time?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/borrowed-time?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/borrowed-time) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/borrowed-time?window=all) Price · $200.74 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $179.66 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 30.06% · 172 openings, odds method Variance · 86.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 200 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 145 openings · below min 30 days · 172 openings · below min since tracking started · 172 openings · below min -0.5% 91.0% 182.5% **Small sample.** 172 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/borrowed-time?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/borrowed-time?window=7d) | 145 | 30.65% ±151.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/borrowed-time) | 172 | 30.06% ±138.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/borrowed-time?window=all) | 172 | 30.06% ±138.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 172 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Rolex Submariner Date other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-submariner-date) | 1 in 1,000 | $40K | 22.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Rolex Submariner Date other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-submariner-date) | 1 in 1,000 | $32K | 17.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Rolex Submariner Date other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-submariner-date) | 1 in 333 | $17K | 28.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Apple Watch Series 9 \[GPS + Cellular 41mm\] other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-watch-series-9-gps-cellular-41mm) | 1 in 200 | $800 | 2.2% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [SAMSUNG Galaxy Watch Ultra 47mm, Titanium Silver other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-galaxy-watch-ultra-47mm-titanium-silver) | 1 in 100 | $650 | 3.6% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [Casio Men's Pro Trek PRW-3500T-7CR Tough Solar Triple Sensor Digital Sport Watch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-mens-pro-trek-prw-3500t-7cr-tough-solar-triple-sensor-digital-sport-watch) | 1 in 100 | $600 | 3.3% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [Apple Watch Series 9 \[GPS 45mm\] Smartwatch, Midnight Aluminum Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-watch-series-9-gps-45mm-smartwatch-midnight-aluminum-case) | 1 in 100 | $400 | 2.2% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [SAMSUNG Galaxy Watch 7 40mm, Green other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-galaxy-watch-7-40mm-green) | 1 in 100 | $360 | 2.0% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.16× | | [Casio Men's G-Shock Move DW-H5600 Series, Multisport (Run, Walking, Gym Workout), Heart Rate Watch, Quartz Solar Assisted Watch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-mens-g-shock-move-dw-h5600-series-multisport-run-walking-gym-workout-heart-rate-watch-quartz-solar-assisted-watch) | 1 in 50 | $360 | 4.0% | 10 | 3.4 | 2.91× | | [Casio G-Shock DW-D5600TD-3 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-dw-d5600td-3) | 1 in 50 | $250 | 2.8% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.16× | | [Apple Watch SE (2nd Gen) \[GPS 44mm\] Smartwatch with Silver Aluminum Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-watch-se-2nd-gen-gps-44mm-smartwatch-with-silver-aluminum-case) | 1 in 50 | $240 | 2.7% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.58× | | [Apple Watch SE (2nd Gen) \[GPS 40mm\], Midnight Aluminum other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-watch-se-2nd-gen-gps-40mm-midnight-aluminum) | 1 in 50 | $235 | 2.6% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.58× | | [Casio G Shock Men's GD-120CM-8CR G-Shock Digital Display Quartz Grey Watch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mens-gd-120cm-8cr-g-shock-digital-display-quartz-grey-watch) | 1 in 50 | $149 | 1.7% | 8 | 3.4 | 2.33× | | [Amazon Echo Spot (2024 release), Smart alarm clock other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-echo-spot-2024-release-smart-alarm-clock) | 1 in 20 | $98.00 | 2.7% | 8 | 8.6 | 0.93× | | [Amazon Essentials Men's Easy to Read Strap Watch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-essentials-mens-easy-to-read-strap-watch) | 1 in 20 | $23.00 | 0.6% | 6 | 8.6 | 0.70× | | [Casio Men's Vintage F91W-1 Resin Strap Digital Sport Watch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-mens-vintage-f91w-1-resin-strap-digital-sport-watch) | 1 in 20 | $16.00 | 0.4% | 9 | 8.6 | 1.05× | | [La Crosse Technology Digital Wall Clock, Silver, Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/la-crosse-technology-digital-wall-clock-silver-black) | 1 in 20 | $14.07 | 0.4% | 14 | 8.6 | 1.63× | | [$0.50 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-50-voucher) | 65.0% | $0.50 | 0.2% | 105 | 111.8 | 0.94× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Apple Watch Series 9 \[GPS + Cellular 41mm\] other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-watch-series-9-gps-cellular-41mm) Hidden $201 $800 3.99x 2026-11-06 14:08 UTC [Apple Watch Series 9 \[GPS + Cellular 41mm\] other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-watch-series-9-gps-cellular-41mm) [Zmann777](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Zmann777) $201 $800 3.99x 2026-11-06 06:52 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=borrowed-time) [$0.50 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-50-voucher) Hidden $201 $0.50 0.00x 2026-11-10 03:43 UTC [$0.50 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-50-voucher) [Chode Muncher 🍆](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Chode%20Muncher%20%F0%9F%8D%86) $201 $0.50 0.00x 2026-11-10 03:43 UTC [Casio Men's G-Shock Move DW-H5600 Series, Multisport (Run, Walking, Gym Workout), Heart Rate Watch, Quartz Solar Assisted Watch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-mens-g-shock-move-dw-h5600-series-multisport-run-walking-gym-workout-heart-rate-watch-quartz-solar-assisted-watch) Hidden $201 $360 1.79x 2026-11-10 03:40 UTC [$0.50 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-50-voucher) [Chode Muncher 🍆](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Chode%20Muncher%20%F0%9F%8D%86) $201 $0.50 0.00x 2026-11-10 03:40 UTC [Amazon Essentials Men's Easy to Read Strap Watch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-essentials-mens-easy-to-read-strap-watch) Hidden $201 $23.00 0.11x 2026-11-10 03:37 UTC [La Crosse Technology Digital Wall Clock, Silver, Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/la-crosse-technology-digital-wall-clock-silver-black) Hidden $201 $14.07 0.07x 2026-11-10 03:37 UTC [$0.50 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-50-voucher) [Chode Muncher 🍆](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Chode%20Muncher%20%F0%9F%8D%86) $201 $0.50 0.00x 2026-11-10 03:37 UTC [Amazon Echo Spot (2024 release), Smart alarm clock other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-echo-spot-2024-release-smart-alarm-clock) Hidden $201 $98.00 0.49x 2026-11-10 03:31 UTC [$0.50 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-50-voucher) Hidden $201 $0.50 0.00x 2026-11-10 03:31 UTC [Amazon Essentials Men's Easy to Read Strap Watch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-essentials-mens-easy-to-read-strap-watch) Hidden $201 $23.00 0.11x 2026-11-10 03:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $201 | 89.50% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $800 (3.99x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt