--- title: "Bottom of the Barrel case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Bottom of the Barrel ($0.15) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.06% from 18 items with odds, observed 88.12% over 37.1K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bottom-of-the-barrel rendered: 2026-11-13T02:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Bottom of the Barrel](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bottom-of-the-barrel) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Bottom of the Barrel A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bottom-of-the-barrel?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bottom-of-the-barrel?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bottom-of-the-barrel) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bottom-of-the-barrel?window=all) Price · $0.15 Advertised RTP · 88.06% · EV $0.13 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.12% · 37.1K openings, odds method Variance · 5.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 91.04% ±5.69 6,264 openings 7 days · 87.45% ±2.93 23.6K openings 30 days · 88.12% ±2.34 37.1K openings since tracking started · 88.12% ±2.34 37.1K openings 84.0% 90.8% 97.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bottom-of-the-barrel?window=24h) | 6,264 | 91.04% ±5.69 | +1.0σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bottom-of-the-barrel?window=7d) | 23.6K | 87.45% ±2.93 | −0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bottom-of-the-barrel) | 37.1K | 88.12% ±2.34 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bottom-of-the-barrel?window=all) | 37.1K | 88.12% ±2.34 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 37.1K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Propeller Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/propeller-hat) | 1 in 400 | $3.25 | 6.2% | 96 | 92.9 | 1.03× | | [Fake Moustache other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fake-moustache) | 1 in 286 | $3.00 | 7.9% | 130 | 130.0 | 1.00× | | [Chair Wheel other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chair-wheel) | 1 in 200 | $2.00 | 7.6% | 190 | 185.7 | 1.02× | | [Taco Holder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/taco-holder) | 1 in 200 | $2.00 | 7.6% | 167 | 185.7 | 0.90× | | [Bike Handlebar Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bike-handlebar-grips) | 1 in 100 | $0.95 | 7.2% | 372 | 371.5 | 1.00× | | [Allen Wrench other](https://gambatracker.com/items/allen-wrench) | 1 in 100 | $0.80 | 6.1% | 371 | 371.5 | 1.00× | | [Bass Bottle Opener other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bass-bottle-opener) | 1 in 80 | $0.75 | 7.1% | 482 | 464.3 | 1.04× | | [Zipper Slider other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zipper-slider) | 1 in 74 | $0.63 | 6.4% | 517 | 501.5 | 1.03× | | [CD other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cd) | 1 in 67 | $0.50 | 5.7% | 571 | 557.2 | 1.02× | | [Bandaid other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bandaid) | 1 in 61 | $0.35 | 4.4% | 609 | 612.9 | 0.99× | | [Google Play $0.29 Giftcard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/google-play-0-29-giftcard) | 1 in 57 | $0.29 | 3.8% | 682 | 650.1 | 1.05× | | [Golf Tee other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golf-tee) | 1 in 50 | $0.25 | 3.8% | 685 | 742.9 | 0.92× | | [40-Pin IDE Drive Ribbon Cables other](https://gambatracker.com/items/40-pin-ide-drive-ribbon-cables) | 1 in 50 | $0.20 | 3.0% | 748 | 742.9 | 1.01× | | [Hose Clamp other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hose-clamp) | 10.0% | $0.06 | 4.5% | 3,727 | 3714.7 | 1.00× | | [Hot Wheels Track other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-track) | 12.5% | $0.05 | 4.7% | 4,553 | 4643.4 | 0.98× | | [Anti-Dust Plugs for Headphone Jacks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/anti-dust-plugs-for-headphone-jacks) | 20.0% | $0.04 | 6.1% | 7,500 | 7429.4 | 1.01× | | [Sour Cherry Candy Cane other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sour-cherry-candy-cane) | 20.0% | $0.03 | 4.5% | 7,280 | 7429.4 | 0.98× | | [Singular Heavy Duty Zip Tie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/singular-heavy-duty-zip-tie) | 22.4% | $0.02 | 3.4% | 8,467 | 8320.9 | 1.02× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 13 Nov, 02:20 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=bottom-of-the-barrel) [Anti-Dust Plugs for Headphone Jacks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/anti-dust-plugs-for-headphone-jacks) Hidden $0.15 $0.04 0.27x 2026-11-13 02:40 UTC [40-Pin IDE Drive Ribbon Cables other](https://gambatracker.com/items/40-pin-ide-drive-ribbon-cables) Hidden $0.15 $0.20 1.33x 2026-11-13 02:40 UTC [Anti-Dust Plugs for Headphone Jacks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/anti-dust-plugs-for-headphone-jacks) Hidden $0.15 $0.04 0.27x 2026-11-13 02:40 UTC [Hot Wheels Track other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-track) Hidden $0.15 $0.05 0.33x 2026-11-13 02:40 UTC [Singular Heavy Duty Zip Tie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/singular-heavy-duty-zip-tie) Hidden $0.15 $0.02 0.13x 2026-11-13 02:40 UTC [Hot Wheels Track other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-track) [Extra Sauce CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Extra%20Sauce%20CSBattle) $0.15 $0.05 0.33x 2026-11-13 02:40 UTC [Sour Cherry Candy Cane other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sour-cherry-candy-cane) Hidden $0.15 $0.03 0.20x 2026-11-13 02:39 UTC [Golf Tee other](https://gambatracker.com/items/golf-tee) Hidden $0.15 $0.25 1.67x 2026-11-13 02:39 UTC [Bass Bottle Opener other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bass-bottle-opener) Hidden $0.15 $0.75 5.00x 2026-11-13 02:39 UTC [Anti-Dust Plugs for Headphone Jacks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/anti-dust-plugs-for-headphone-jacks) Hidden $0.15 $0.04 0.27x 2026-11-13 02:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.15 | 88.06% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.06 on average: an expected loss of $11.94 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt