--- title: "Brainrot case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Brainrot ($56.66) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 14 items with odds, observed 74.82% over 237 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/brainrot rendered: 2026-11-13T04:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Brainrot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/brainrot) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Brainrot A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/brainrot?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/brainrot?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/brainrot) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/brainrot?window=all) Price · $56.66 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $50.71 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 74.82% · 237 openings, odds method Variance · 38.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 43 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 148 openings · below min 30 days · 74.82% ±78.96 237 openings since tracking started · 74.82% ±78.96 237 openings -0.5% 252.5% 505.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/brainrot?window=24h) | 6 | 8.82% ±496.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/brainrot?window=7d) | 148 | 57.25% ±99.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/brainrot) | 237 | 74.82% ±79.0 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/brainrot?window=all) | 237 | 74.82% ±79.0 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 237 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Labubu The Monsters x Vans Oldskool Monsters Forever Vinyl Plush Doll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-x-vans-oldskool-monsters-forever-vinyl-plush-doll) | 1 in 1,000 | $9,493 | 18.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [The Monsters Labubu Best of Luck Vinyl Plush Doll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-monsters-labubu-best-of-luck-vinyl-plush-doll) | 1 in 500 | $2,760 | 10.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Labubu x Pronounce-Be Fancy Now Vinyl Plush Doll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-x-pronounce-be-fancy-now-vinyl-plush-doll) | 1 in 400 | $1,980 | 9.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Labubu The Monsters Catch Me If You Like Me Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-catch-me-if-you-like-me-figure) | 1 in 200 | $760 | 7.5% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [The Monsters Labubu Zimomo Angel in Clouds Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-monsters-labubu-zimomo-angel-in-clouds-figure) | 1 in 80 | $580 | 14.3% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.35× | | [Labubu The Monsters Big into Energy Series ID (Secret Version) Vinyl Plush Pendant other](https://gambatracker.com/items/labubu-the-monsters-big-into-energy-series-id-secret-version-vinyl-plush-pendant) | 1 in 36 | $360 | 19.5% | 7 | 6.5 | 1.07× | | [Skibidi Toilet Inflatable Costume for Kids other](https://gambatracker.com/items/skibidi-toilet-inflatable-costume-for-kids) | 1 in 20 | $56.00 | 5.5% | 13 | 11.9 | 1.10× | | [Dubai Chocolate Bar other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dubai-chocolate-bar) | 10.0% | $15.00 | 3.0% | 26 | 23.7 | 1.10× | | [Garry's Mod Steam Key GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/garrys-mod-steam-key-global) | 10.0% | $14.40 | 2.8% | 31 | 23.7 | 1.31× | | [Bombardino Crocodilo Italian Brainrot Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bombardino-crocodilo-italian-brainrot-plush) | 10.0% | $10.00 | 2.0% | 21 | 23.7 | 0.89× | | [Tralalero Tralala Italian Brainrot Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tralalero-tralala-italian-brainrot-plush) | 10.0% | $9.00 | 1.8% | 19 | 23.7 | 0.80× | | [Tung Tung Tung Sahur Italian Brainrot Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tung-tung-tung-sahur-italian-brainrot-plush) | 10.0% | $7.80 | 1.5% | 21 | 23.7 | 0.89× | | [Ballerina Cappuccina Italian Brainrot Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ballerina-cappuccina-italian-brainrot-plush) | 15.0% | $5.00 | 1.5% | 41 | 35.5 | 1.15× | | [Grimace Shake other](https://gambatracker.com/items/grimace-shake) | 24.9% | $2.50 | 1.2% | 53 | 59.1 | 0.90× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 13 Nov, 02:20 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [The Monsters Labubu Best of Luck Vinyl Plush Doll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-monsters-labubu-best-of-luck-vinyl-plush-doll) Hidden $56.66 $2,760 48.71x 2026-11-03 15:31 UTC [The Monsters Labubu Zimomo Angel in Clouds Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-monsters-labubu-zimomo-angel-in-clouds-figure) Hidden $56.66 $580 10.24x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC [The Monsters Labubu Zimomo Angel in Clouds Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-monsters-labubu-zimomo-angel-in-clouds-figure) Hidden $56.66 $580 10.24x 2026-11-06 18:29 UTC [The Monsters Labubu Zimomo Angel in Clouds Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-monsters-labubu-zimomo-angel-in-clouds-figure) Hidden $56.66 $580 10.24x 2026-11-06 18:29 UTC [The Monsters Labubu Zimomo Angel in Clouds Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-monsters-labubu-zimomo-angel-in-clouds-figure) Hidden $56.66 $580 10.24x 2026-11-06 08:17 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=brainrot) [Ballerina Cappuccina Italian Brainrot Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ballerina-cappuccina-italian-brainrot-plush) Hidden $56.66 $5.00 0.09x 2026-11-12 23:51 UTC [Grimace Shake other](https://gambatracker.com/items/grimace-shake) Hidden $56.66 $2.50 0.04x 2026-11-12 23:51 UTC [Bombardino Crocodilo Italian Brainrot Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bombardino-crocodilo-italian-brainrot-plush) Hidden $56.66 $10.00 0.18x 2026-11-12 23:51 UTC [Ballerina Cappuccina Italian Brainrot Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ballerina-cappuccina-italian-brainrot-plush) Hidden $56.66 $5.00 0.09x 2026-11-12 23:51 UTC [Ballerina Cappuccina Italian Brainrot Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ballerina-cappuccina-italian-brainrot-plush) Hidden $56.66 $5.00 0.09x 2026-11-12 23:51 UTC [Grimace Shake other](https://gambatracker.com/items/grimace-shake) [Swift Ibex](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Swift%20Ibex) $56.66 $2.50 0.04x 2026-11-12 23:51 UTC [The Monsters Labubu Zimomo Angel in Clouds Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-monsters-labubu-zimomo-angel-in-clouds-figure) Hidden $56.66 $580 10.24x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC [Grimace Shake other](https://gambatracker.com/items/grimace-shake) Hidden $56.66 $2.50 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC [Tung Tung Tung Sahur Italian Brainrot Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tung-tung-tung-sahur-italian-brainrot-plush) Hidden $56.66 $7.80 0.14x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC [Tralalero Tralala Italian Brainrot Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tralalero-tralala-italian-brainrot-plush) Hidden $56.66 $9.00 0.16x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $56.66 | 89.49% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,760 (48.71x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt