--- title: "Buckets case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Buckets ($67.05) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 16 items with odds, observed 93.20% over 194 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/buckets rendered: 2026-11-11T20:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Buckets](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/buckets) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Buckets A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/buckets?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/buckets?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/buckets) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/buckets?window=all) Price · $67.05 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $60.01 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.20% · 194 openings, odds method Variance · 10.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 26 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 95.01% ±45.96 190 openings 30 days · 93.20% ±45.49 194 openings since tracking started · 93.20% ±45.49 194 openings -0.5% 137.5% 275.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/buckets?window=24h) | 12 | 91.95% ±182.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/buckets?window=7d) | 190 | 95.01% ±46.0 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/buckets) | 194 | 93.20% ±45.5 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/buckets?window=all) | 194 | 93.20% ±45.5 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 194 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Louis Vuitton Illusion Monogram Bucket Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-illusion-monogram-bucket-hat) | 1 in 500 | $2,880 | 9.6% | 2 | 0.4 | — | | [Louis Vuitton Since 1854 Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-since-1854-hat) | 1 in 500 | $2,520 | 8.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Dior x CACTUS JACK Bucket Hat Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-x-cactus-jack-bucket-hat-black) | 1 in 200 | $1,020 | 8.5% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [Dior And Shawn Bucket Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-and-shawn-bucket-hat) | 1 in 500 | $800 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Gucci GG Canvas Bucket Hat with Double G other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-gg-canvas-bucket-hat-with-double-g) | 1 in 125 | $646 | 8.6% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [Supreme Denim Crusher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-denim-crusher) | 1 in 100 | $541 | 9.0% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.52× | | [Gucci x adidas Bucket Hat Red/Blue US XS other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-adidas-bucket-hat-red-blue-us-xs) | 1 in 100 | $516 | 8.6% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.03× | | [Supreme Pins Crusher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-pins-crusher) | 1 in 100 | $490 | 8.2% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.03× | | [Kith x Roommate Studio Dawson Bucket Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kith-x-roommate-studio-dawson-bucket-hat) | 1 in 67 | $390 | 9.7% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.69× | | [Supreme Champion Mesh Crusher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-champion-mesh-crusher) | 1 in 50 | $125 | 4.2% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.03× | | [Supreme Nike Dazzle Crusher US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-nike-dazzle-crusher-us-l) | 1 in 50 | $113 | 3.8% | 6 | 3.9 | 1.55× | | [BAPE Stroke Camo Pocket Bucket Hat Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-stroke-camo-pocket-bucket-hat-red) | 1 in 50 | $100 | 3.3% | 2 | 3.9 | 0.52× | | [Nike x Stussy Bucket Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-x-stussy-bucket-hat) | 1 in 38 | $92.40 | 4.0% | 3 | 5.0 | 0.59× | | [Supreme Leaktite 5-Gallon Bucket White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-leaktite-5-gallon-bucket-white) | 1 in 20 | $61.00 | 5.1% | 10 | 9.7 | 1.03× | | [Blue Metal Bucket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/blue-metal-bucket) | 25.0% | $6.00 | 2.5% | 52 | 48.5 | 1.07× | | [Home Depot Bucket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/home-depot-bucket) | 55.0% | $4.20 | 3.8% | 108 | 106.7 | 1.01× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Louis Vuitton Illusion Monogram Bucket Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-illusion-monogram-bucket-hat) Hidden $67.05 $2,880 42.95x 2026-11-05 22:44 UTC [Louis Vuitton Illusion Monogram Bucket Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-illusion-monogram-bucket-hat) Hidden $67.05 $2,880 42.95x 2026-11-05 19:56 UTC [Supreme Denim Crusher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-denim-crusher) Hidden $67.05 $541 8.07x 2026-11-05 22:44 UTC [Gucci x adidas Bucket Hat Red/Blue US XS other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-adidas-bucket-hat-red-blue-us-xs) [FamiChiki](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/FamiChiki) $67.05 $516 7.70x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [Gucci x adidas Bucket Hat Red/Blue US XS other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-adidas-bucket-hat-red-blue-us-xs) [✪ DubbleuJB](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/%E2%9C%AA%20DubbleuJB) $67.05 $516 7.70x 2026-11-06 08:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=buckets) [Home Depot Bucket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/home-depot-bucket) Hidden $67.05 $4.20 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [Home Depot Bucket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/home-depot-bucket) Hidden $67.05 $4.20 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [Home Depot Bucket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/home-depot-bucket) Hidden $67.05 $4.20 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [Supreme Champion Mesh Crusher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-champion-mesh-crusher) Hidden $67.05 $125 1.86x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [Home Depot Bucket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/home-depot-bucket) Hidden $67.05 $4.20 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [Gucci x adidas Bucket Hat Red/Blue US XS other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-adidas-bucket-hat-red-blue-us-xs) [FamiChiki](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/FamiChiki) $67.05 $516 7.70x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [Home Depot Bucket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/home-depot-bucket) Hidden $67.05 $4.20 0.06x 2026-11-11 08:53 UTC [Home Depot Bucket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/home-depot-bucket) Hidden $67.05 $4.20 0.06x 2026-11-11 08:53 UTC [Home Depot Bucket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/home-depot-bucket) Hidden $67.05 $4.20 0.06x 2026-11-11 08:53 UTC [Home Depot Bucket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/home-depot-bucket) Hidden $67.05 $4.20 0.06x 2026-11-11 08:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $67.05 | 89.50% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,880 (42.95x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt