--- title: "Budget Adventurer case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Budget Adventurer ($19.19) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.47% from 18 items with odds, observed 86.39% over 490 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-adventurer rendered: 2026-11-12T03:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Budget Adventurer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-adventurer) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Budget Adventurer A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-adventurer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-adventurer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-adventurer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-adventurer?window=all) Price · $19.19 Advertised RTP · 89.47% · EV $17.17 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.39% · 490 openings, odds method Variance · 11.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 36 openings · below min 7 days · 91.64% ±31.86 452 openings 30 days · 86.39% ±30.60 490 openings since tracking started · 86.39% ±30.60 490 openings 5.5% 119.0% 232.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-adventurer?window=24h) | 36 | 119.11% ±112.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-adventurer?window=7d) | 452 | 91.64% ±31.9 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-adventurer) | 490 | 86.39% ±30.6 | −0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-adventurer?window=all) | 490 | 86.39% ±30.6 | −0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 490 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Pokemon TCG: Crown Zenith Elite Trainer Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-tcg-crown-zenith-elite-trainer-box) | 1 in 50 | $470 | 54.7% | 10 | 9.8 | 1.02× | | [Pokémon TCG Champions Path Elite Trainer Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-tcg-champions-path-elite-trainer-box) | 1 in 67 | $83.00 | 7.3% | 7 | 7.4 | 0.95× | | [Pokémon Card 151 Booster Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-card-151-booster-box) | 1 in 40 | $45.00 | 6.6% | 11 | 12.3 | 0.90× | | [Stellar Miracle Booster Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stellar-miracle-booster-box) | 1 in 40 | $40.00 | 5.8% | 6 | 12.3 | 0.49× | | [Surging Sparks Elite Trainer Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/surging-sparks-elite-trainer-box) | 1 in 33 | $34.99 | 6.1% | 14 | 14.7 | 0.95× | | [YU NAGABA × Pokémon Card Game Eeveelution Promo Pack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yu-nagaba-pokemon-card-game-eeveelution-promo-pack) | 1 in 20 | $20.00 | 5.8% | 22 | 24.5 | 0.90× | | [Chilling Reign: Eevee 3-Pack Blister other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chilling-reign-eevee-3-pack-blister) | 1 in 20 | $16.00 | 4.7% | 28 | 24.5 | 1.14× | | [Cosmic Eclipse Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cosmic-eclipse-booster) | 1 in 20 | $11.92 | 3.5% | 21 | 24.5 | 0.86× | | [Celebrations Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/celebrations-booster) | 1 in 20 | $7.50 | 2.2% | 23 | 24.5 | 0.94× | | [Twilight Masquerade Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/twilight-masquerade-booster) | 1 in 15 | $2.25 | 0.9% | 40 | 31.9 | 1.26× | | [Play! Pokémon Prize Pack Series Four Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/play-pokemon-prize-pack-series-four-booster) | 1 in 15 | $2.20 | 0.8% | 36 | 31.9 | 1.13× | | [Shrouded Fable Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/shrouded-fable-booster) | 1 in 15 | $2.00 | 0.8% | 28 | 31.9 | 0.88× | | [Gold Gigantamax Charizard Coin (Ultra-Premium Collection - Charizard) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gold-gigantamax-charizard-coin-ultra-premium-collection-charizard) | 1 in 13 | $0.85 | 0.4% | 47 | 36.8 | 1.28× | | [Paldea Evolved Fun Pack (3 Cards) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/paldea-evolved-fun-pack-3-cards) | 1 in 13 | $0.60 | 0.3% | 33 | 36.8 | 0.90× | | [Trick or Trade 2024 BOOster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/trick-or-trade-2024-booster) | 1 in 13 | $0.37 | 0.2% | 24 | 36.8 | 0.65× | | [Trick or Trade 2023 BOOster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/trick-or-trade-2023-booster) | 1 in 13 | $0.25 | 0.1% | 42 | 36.8 | 1.14× | | [Evolving Skies: Silver Suicune Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/evolving-skies-silver-suicune-coin) | 1 in 11 | $0.03 | 0.0% | 47 | 44.1 | 1.07× | | [2022 Stacking Tins Gold Pikachu Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2022-stacking-tins-gold-pikachu-coin) | 10.0% | $0.02 | 0.0% | 51 | 49.0 | 1.04× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=budget-adventurer) [YU NAGABA × Pokémon Card Game Eeveelution Promo Pack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yu-nagaba-pokemon-card-game-eeveelution-promo-pack) Hidden $19.19 $20.00 1.04x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [Cosmic Eclipse Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cosmic-eclipse-booster) Hidden $19.19 $11.92 0.62x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [Cosmic Eclipse Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cosmic-eclipse-booster) Hidden $19.19 $11.92 0.62x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [Evolving Skies: Silver Suicune Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/evolving-skies-silver-suicune-coin) Hidden $19.19 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [Play! Pokémon Prize Pack Series Four Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/play-pokemon-prize-pack-series-four-booster) Hidden $19.19 $2.20 0.11x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [Surging Sparks Elite Trainer Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/surging-sparks-elite-trainer-box) [FamiChiki](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/FamiChiki) $19.19 $34.99 1.82x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [Celebrations Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/celebrations-booster) [Sti\*\*\*mes](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Sti***mes-68093) $19.19 $7.50 0.39x 2026-11-11 19:38 UTC [Pokémon Card 151 Booster Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-card-151-booster-box) [Sti\*\*\*mes](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Sti***mes-68093) $19.19 $45.00 2.34x 2026-11-11 19:38 UTC [Surging Sparks Elite Trainer Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/surging-sparks-elite-trainer-box) Hidden $19.19 $34.99 1.82x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [Twilight Masquerade Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/twilight-masquerade-booster) Hidden $19.19 $2.25 0.12x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $19.19 | 89.47% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.47 on average: an expected loss of $10.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt