---
title: "Budget HypeBeast case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Budget HypeBeast ($3.32) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.39% from 17 items with odds, observed 136.75% over 4,588 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-hypebeast
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Budget HypeBeast](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-hypebeast)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Budget HypeBeast

A box on Cases.gg (Budget), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-hypebeast?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-hypebeast?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-hypebeast) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-hypebeast?window=all)

Price · $3.32

Advertised RTP · 89.39% · EV $2.97 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 136.75% · 4,588 openings, odds method

Variance · 1534.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 3,333 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 98.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 530 openings · below min

7 days · 3,774 openings · below min

30 days · 4,588 openings · below min

since tracking started · 4,588 openings · below min

-0.5% 212.5% 425.5%

**Small sample.** 4,588 openings and 1.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-hypebeast?window=24h) | 530 | 91.23% ±333.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-hypebeast?window=7d) | 3,774 | 156.26% ±125.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-hypebeast) | 4,588 | 136.75% ±113.4 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-hypebeast?window=all) | 4,588 | 136.75% ±113.4 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,588 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Red (US XL) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-red-us-xl) | 1 in 10,000 | $12.3K | 41.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Nike Air Force 1 Low Off-White MCA University Blue (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-off-white-mca-university-blue-us-10) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,490 | 8.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [OFF-WHITE Rimowa See Through 47L Case - White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/off-white-rimowa-see-through-47l-case-white) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,453 | 8.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton Pocket Organizer LV BlasonBlack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-pocket-organizer-lv-blasonblack) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,300 | 4.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Supreme Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Camo (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-camo-us-s) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,243 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton by Tyler, the Creator Multiple Wallet Chocolate Craggy Monogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-by-tyler-the-creator-multiple-wallet-chocolate-craggy-monogram) | 1 in 10,000 | $800 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Supreme Logo Backpack Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-logo-backpack-blue) | 1 in 10,000 | $700 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Nike Dunk Low Off-White University Red (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-off-white-university-red-us-11) | 1 in 10,000 | $625 | 2.1% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [Gucci Card CaseGG Supreme Kingsnake Print Black/Grey other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-card-casegg-supreme-kingsnake-print-black-grey) | 1 in 10,000 | $610 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Gucci x Adidas T-Shirt White/Red (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-adidas-t-shirt-white-red-us-m) | 1 in 10,000 | $570 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [adidas Yeezy Boost 350 V2Black Red (2017/2020) (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-yeezy-boost-350-v2black-red-2017-2020-us-8) | 1 in 10,000 | $468 | 1.6% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [Supreme Box Logo L/S Tee White (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-box-logo-l-s-tee-white-us-s) | 1 in 10,000 | $390 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Supreme San Francisco Box Logo Tee Black (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-san-francisco-box-logo-tee-black-us-m) | 1 in 10,000 | $275 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [OFF-WHITE Industrial Belt Yellow/Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/off-white-industrial-belt-yellow-black) | 1 in 10,000 | $190 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [adidas Yeezy Boost 350 V2Carbon Beluga (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-yeezy-boost-350-v2carbon-beluga-us-7) | 1 in 10,000 | $185 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Supreme Red Box Logo 100x Sticker Lot other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-red-box-logo-100x-sticker-lot) | 1 in 100 | $50.00 | 16.8% | 38 | 45.9 | 0.83× |
| [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) | 98.9% | $0.01 | 0.3% | 4,541 | 4535.2 | 1.00× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Supreme x Louis Vuitton Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Red (US XL) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-red-us-xl) Hidden $3.32 $12.3K 3,699x 2026-11-06 17:10 UTC

[OFF-WHITE Rimowa See Through 47L Case - White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/off-white-rimowa-see-through-47l-case-white) Hidden $3.32 $2,453 738.9x 2026-11-08 20:02 UTC

[Louis Vuitton Pocket Organizer LV BlasonBlack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-pocket-organizer-lv-blasonblack) Hidden $3.32 $1,300 391.6x 2026-11-11 10:28 UTC

[Nike Dunk Low Off-White University Red (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-off-white-university-red-us-11) Hidden $3.32 $625 188.3x 2026-11-08 20:40 UTC

[Nike Dunk Low Off-White University Red (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-off-white-university-red-us-11) Hidden $3.32 $625 188.3x 2026-11-03 06:45 UTC

[adidas Yeezy Boost 350 V2Black Red (2017/2020) (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-yeezy-boost-350-v2black-red-2017-2020-us-8) Hidden $3.32 $468 141.0x 2026-11-06 19:13 UTC

[adidas Yeezy Boost 350 V2Black Red (2017/2020) (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-yeezy-boost-350-v2black-red-2017-2020-us-8) Hidden $3.32 $468 141.0x 2026-11-04 21:36 UTC

[Supreme Box Logo L/S Tee White (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-box-logo-l-s-tee-white-us-s) Hidden $3.32 $390 117.5x 2026-11-10 11:13 UTC

[Supreme San Francisco Box Logo Tee Black (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-san-francisco-box-logo-tee-black-us-m) Hidden $3.32 $275 82.83x 2026-11-05 16:06 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=budget-hypebeast)

[$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $3.32 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC

[$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $3.32 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC

[$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $3.32 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC

[$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $3.32 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC

[$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $3.32 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC

[$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) [SickWhit95\_CodeDGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SickWhit95_CodeDGN) $3.32 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC

[$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $3.32 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC

[$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $3.32 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC

[$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $3.32 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC

[$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $3.32 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3.32 | 89.39% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $12.3K (3,699x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.39 on average: an expected loss of $10.61 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt