--- title: "Budget Shoes case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Budget Shoes ($0.51) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.12% from 23 items with odds, observed 86.84% over 14.2K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-shoes rendered: 2026-11-11T21:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Budget Shoes](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-shoes) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Budget Shoes A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-shoes?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-shoes?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-shoes) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-shoes?window=all) Price · $0.51 Advertised RTP · 88.12% · EV $0.45 from 23 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.84% · 14.2K openings, odds method Variance · 209.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 38 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 131.30% ±64.09 1,961 openings 7 days · 87.53% ±26.93 11.1K openings 30 days · 86.84% ±23.79 14.2K openings since tracking started · 86.84% ±23.79 14.2K openings 60.0% 128.0% 196.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-shoes?window=24h) | 1,961 | 131.30% ±64.1 | +1.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-shoes?window=7d) | 11.1K | 87.53% ±26.9 | −0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-shoes) | 14.2K | 86.84% ±23.8 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-shoes?window=all) | 14.2K | 86.84% ±23.8 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14.2K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Jordan 1 Retro Low OG SP Travis Scott Reverse Mocha (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-sp-travis-scott-reverse-mocha-us-7) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,500 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Jordan 4 RetroUnion Off Noir (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-4-retrounion-off-noir-us-9) | 1 in 100,000 | $947 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Jordan Jumpman Jack TR Travis Scott Sail (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-jumpman-jack-tr-travis-scott-sail-us-11) | 1 in 100,000 | $940 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Nike Dunk Low Off-White University Red (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-off-white-university-red-us-8) | 1 in 100,000 | $641 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Jordan 11 Retro Concord (2018) (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-11-retro-concord-2018-us-8) | 1 in 100,000 | $584 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Jordan 11 Retro Cool Grey (2021) (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-11-retro-cool-grey-2021-us-11) | 1 in 100,000 | $460 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [Nike Dunk Low Black Dusty Cactus (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-black-dusty-cactus-us-9) | 1 in 100,000 | $320 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro High OG Palomino (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-palomino-us-10) | 1 in 100,000 | $180 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [adidas Yeezy Boost 350 V2Carbon Beluga (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-yeezy-boost-350-v2carbon-beluga-us-8) | 1 in 100,000 | $180 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Nike Air Force 1 Low '07 White Black Pebbled Leather (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-07-white-black-pebbled-leather-us-8) | 1 in 100,000 | $120 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Crocs Unisex-Adult Jujutsu Kaisen Classic Clogs other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-unisex-adult-jujutsu-kaisen-classic-clogs) | 1 in 20,000 | $90.00 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Nike Air Force 1 Low '07 Patent Platinum Tint Stadium Green (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-07-patent-platinum-tint-stadium-green-us-9) | 1 in 33,333 | $77.00 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Nike Dunk Low Team Gold (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-team-gold-us-8) | 1 in 33,333 | $70.00 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Crocs Classic Clog Minecraft Grass Block (US Men's 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-minecraft-grass-block-us-mens-9) | 1 in 20,000 | $67.00 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Crocs Classic Clog Minecraft Grass Block (US Men's 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-minecraft-grass-block-us-mens-10) | 1 in 20,000 | $57.00 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Xbox Socks Gaming Console Logo Adult Crew Socks 1 Pair other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-socks-gaming-console-logo-adult-crew-socks-1-pair) | 1 in 1,000 | $13.95 | 3.1% | 24 | 14.2 | 1.69× | | [Mini Basketball Sneaker Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mini-basketball-sneaker-keychain) | 1 in 200 | $10.00 | 11.1% | 75 | 71.2 | 1.05× | | [Yeezy Box Airpod Case Cover other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yeezy-box-airpod-case-cover) | 1 in 200 | $8.99 | 10.0% | 74 | 71.2 | 1.04× | | [3 Pair Flat Shoe laces other](https://gambatracker.com/items/3-pair-flat-shoe-laces) | 1 in 200 | $7.00 | 7.8% | 58 | 71.2 | 0.81× | | [Jordan Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-keychain) | 1 in 100 | $5.00 | 11.1% | 167 | 142.4 | 1.17× | | [Nike Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sticker) | 1 in 20 | $1.99 | 22.1% | 754 | 712.0 | 1.06× | | [Yeezy 350 Boost Zebra Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yeezy-350-boost-zebra-sticker) | 1 in 14 | $1.00 | 16.4% | 1,087 | 1049.3 | 1.04× | | [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) | 85.0% | $0.01 | 1.9% | 11,998 | 12104.0 | 0.99× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Jordan 11 Retro Cool Grey (2021) (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-11-retro-cool-grey-2021-us-11) Hidden $0.51 $460 902.0x 2026-11-11 16:02 UTC [Crocs Unisex-Adult Jujutsu Kaisen Classic Clogs other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-unisex-adult-jujutsu-kaisen-classic-clogs) Hidden $0.51 $90.00 176.5x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC [Crocs Classic Clog Minecraft Grass Block (US Men's 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-minecraft-grass-block-us-mens-10) Hidden $0.51 $57.00 111.8x 2026-11-03 14:16 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=budget-shoes) [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $0.51 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $0.51 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $0.51 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $0.51 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $0.51 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [Nike Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sticker) Hidden $0.51 $1.99 3.90x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $0.51 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $0.51 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $0.51 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [Nike Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sticker) Hidden $0.51 $1.99 3.90x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.51 | 88.12% | 23 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $460 (902.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.12 on average: an expected loss of $11.88 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt