--- title: "Budget Tech case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Budget Tech ($4.85) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.35% from 18 items with odds, observed 88.66% over 2,825 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-tech rendered: 2026-11-11T16:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Budget Tech](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-tech) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Budget Tech A box on Cases.gg (Budget), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-tech?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-tech?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-tech) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-tech?window=all) Price · $4.85 Advertised RTP · 89.35% · EV $4.33 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.66% · 2,825 openings, odds method Variance · 22.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 67 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 321 openings · below min 7 days · 86.25% ±18.56 2,495 openings 30 days · 88.66% ±17.44 2,825 openings since tracking started · 88.66% ±17.44 2,825 openings 60.5% 112.8% 165.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-tech?window=24h) | 321 | 112.72% ±51.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-tech?window=7d) | 2,495 | 86.25% ±18.6 | −0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-tech) | 2,825 | 88.66% ±17.4 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/budget-tech?window=all) | 2,825 | 88.66% ±17.4 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,825 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Corsair TC100 RELAXED Gaming Chair other](https://gambatracker.com/items/corsair-tc100-relaxed-gaming-chair) | 1 in 1,000 | $325 | 7.5% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.35× | | [Amazon Fire TV 32" 2-Series HD smart TV other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-fire-tv-32-2-series-hd-smart-tv) | 1 in 1,000 | $250 | 5.8% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.42× | | [HP Stream 14-inch Laptop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hp-stream-14-inch-laptop) | 1 in 1,000 | $245 | 5.7% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× | | [Homall Gaming Chair other](https://gambatracker.com/items/homall-gaming-chair) | 1 in 500 | $199 | 9.2% | 3 | 5.7 | 0.53× | | [ILIFE V3s Pro Robot Vacuum Cleaner other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ilife-v3s-pro-robot-vacuum-cleaner) | 1 in 500 | $192 | 8.9% | 11 | 5.7 | 1.95× | | [Apple AirPods (2nd Generation) Wireless Ear Buds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-airpods-2nd-generation-wireless-ear-buds) | 1 in 1,000 | $175 | 4.0% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.06× | | [Samsung Galaxy Tab A 8.4", 32GB, Mocha (LTE Verizon & WIFI) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-galaxy-tab-a-8-4-32gb-mocha-lte-verizon-and-wifi) | 1 in 1,000 | $135 | 3.1% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.35× | | [SKG Smart Watch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/skg-smart-watch) | 1 in 1,000 | $125 | 2.9% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× | | [PHILIPS 22 inch Class Thin Full HD (1920 x 1080) Monitor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/philips-22-inch-class-thin-full-hd-1920-x-1080-monitor) | 1 in 200 | $98.00 | 11.3% | 21 | 14.1 | 1.49× | | [Logitech G213 Prodigy Gaming Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g213-prodigy-gaming-keyboard) | 1 in 200 | $75.00 | 8.7% | 9 | 14.1 | 0.64× | | [PowerA Advantage Wired Controller for Xbox Series X\|S with Lumectra other](https://gambatracker.com/items/powera-advantage-wired-controller-for-xbox-series-x-s-with-lumectra) | 1 in 200 | $37.28 | 4.3% | 15 | 14.1 | 1.06× | | [Logitech G305 LIGHTSPEED Wireless Gaming Mouse other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g305-lightspeed-wireless-gaming-mouse) | 1 in 200 | $32.99 | 3.8% | 18 | 14.1 | 1.27× | | [Redragon GS520 RGB Desktop Speakers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/redragon-gs520-rgb-desktop-speakers) | 1 in 133 | $26.39 | 4.6% | 15 | 21.2 | 0.71× | | [HP 230 Wireless Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hp-230-wireless-keyboard) | 1 in 133 | $18.99 | 3.3% | 23 | 21.2 | 1.09× | | [Logitech M317 Wireless Mouse other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-m317-wireless-mouse) | 1 in 133 | $12.99 | 2.2% | 18 | 21.2 | 0.85× | | [Logitech Mouse Pad - Studio Series other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-mouse-pad-studio-series) | 1 in 133 | $9.66 | 1.7% | 21 | 21.2 | 0.99× | | [Micro USB Cables other](https://gambatracker.com/items/micro-usb-cables) | 1 in 50 | $5.49 | 2.5% | 46 | 56.5 | 0.81× | | [$0.50 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-50-voucher) | 92.0% | $0.50 | 10.6% | 2,612 | 2599.0 | 1.01× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Corsair TC100 RELAXED Gaming Chair other](https://gambatracker.com/items/corsair-tc100-relaxed-gaming-chair) Hidden $4.85 $325 67.01x 2026-11-11 05:45 UTC [Amazon Fire TV 32" 2-Series HD smart TV other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-fire-tv-32-2-series-hd-smart-tv) Hidden $4.85 $250 51.55x 2026-11-10 18:26 UTC [Amazon Fire TV 32" 2-Series HD smart TV other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-fire-tv-32-2-series-hd-smart-tv) Hidden $4.85 $250 51.55x 2026-11-09 18:26 UTC [Amazon Fire TV 32" 2-Series HD smart TV other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-fire-tv-32-2-series-hd-smart-tv) Hidden $4.85 $250 51.55x 2026-11-05 03:44 UTC [Amazon Fire TV 32" 2-Series HD smart TV other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-fire-tv-32-2-series-hd-smart-tv) Hidden $4.85 $250 51.55x 2026-11-03 00:56 UTC [HP Stream 14-inch Laptop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hp-stream-14-inch-laptop) Hidden $4.85 $245 50.52x 2026-11-08 18:39 UTC [HP Stream 14-inch Laptop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hp-stream-14-inch-laptop) Hidden $4.85 $245 50.52x 2026-11-07 12:21 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=budget-tech) [$0.50 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-50-voucher) Hidden $4.85 $0.50 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC [Logitech M317 Wireless Mouse other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-m317-wireless-mouse) Hidden $4.85 $12.99 2.68x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC [$0.50 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-50-voucher) Hidden $4.85 $0.50 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC [$0.50 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-50-voucher) Hidden $4.85 $0.50 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC [$0.50 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-50-voucher) Hidden $4.85 $0.50 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC [$0.50 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-50-voucher) [lust](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/lust) $4.85 $0.50 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC [Logitech G213 Prodigy Gaming Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g213-prodigy-gaming-keyboard) Hidden $4.85 $75.00 15.46x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC [$0.50 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-50-voucher) Hidden $4.85 $0.50 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC [Micro USB Cables other](https://gambatracker.com/items/micro-usb-cables) Hidden $4.85 $5.49 1.13x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC [$0.50 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-50-voucher) Hidden $4.85 $0.50 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $4.85 | 89.35% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $325 (67.01x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.35 on average: an expected loss of $10.65 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt