--- title: "buga 15% case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "buga 15% ($1.54) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 46.35% over 42 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/buga-15percent rendered: 2026-11-11T20:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [buga 15%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/buga-15percent) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · buga 15% A box on Cases.gg, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/buga-15percent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/buga-15percent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/buga-15percent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/buga-15percent?window=all) Price · $1.54 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 46.35% · 42 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 42 openings · below min 30 days · 42 openings · below min since tracking started · 42 openings · below min -0.5% 54.3% 109.0% **Small sample.** 42 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/buga-15percent?window=24h) | 18 | 37.84% ±70.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/buga-15percent?window=7d) | 42 | 46.35% ±49.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/buga-15percent) | 42 | 46.35% ±49.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/buga-15percent?window=all) | 42 | 46.35% ±49.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=buga-15percent) [CaDA Technic Gear Rack 1\*4 | JM0055 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-technic-gear-rack-1-4-jm0055) Hidden $1.54 $0.05 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:13 UTC [Steam Gems other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steam-gems) Hidden $1.54 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:13 UTC [Steam Gems other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steam-gems) Hidden $1.54 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:13 UTC [CaDA Technic Gear Rack 1\*4 | JM0055 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-technic-gear-rack-1-4-jm0055) Hidden $1.54 $0.05 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:13 UTC [Steam Gems other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steam-gems) Hidden $1.54 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:13 UTC [CaDA Technic Gear Rack 1\*4 | JM0055 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-technic-gear-rack-1-4-jm0055) [Kuschman](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Kuschman) $1.54 $0.05 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:13 UTC [CaDA Technic Gear Rack 1\*4 | JM0055 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cada-technic-gear-rack-1-4-jm0055) Hidden $1.54 $0.05 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:12 UTC [Steam Gems other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steam-gems) Hidden $1.54 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:12 UTC [Steam Gems other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steam-gems) Hidden $1.54 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:12 UTC [Steam Gems other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steam-gems) Hidden $1.54 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 46.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $46.35 on average: an expected loss of $53.65 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt