---
title: "Bvlgari case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Bvlgari ($5,072.34) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bvlgari
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:19Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Bvlgari](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bvlgari)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Bvlgari

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bvlgari?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bvlgari?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bvlgari) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bvlgari?window=all)

Price · $5,072.34

Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $4,539.74 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 8.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 30 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bvlgari?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bvlgari?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bvlgari) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/bvlgari?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Allegra Necklace other](https://gambatracker.com/items/allegra-necklace) | 1 in 667 | $163K | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Serpenti Tubogas Watch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/serpenti-tubogas-watch) | 1 in 400 | $104K | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Divas’ Dream Watch Blue Opal Dial other](https://gambatracker.com/items/divas-dream-watch-blue-opal-dial) | 1 in 400 | $101K | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Serpenti Bracelet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/serpenti-bracelet) | 1 in 250 | $98.4K | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Serpenti Ring other](https://gambatracker.com/items/serpenti-ring) | 1 in 167 | $74.4K | 9.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Divas’ Dream Watch Mother-of-Pearl Dial other](https://gambatracker.com/items/divas-dream-watch-mother-of-pearl-dial) | 1 in 133 | $50.9K | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Octo Finissimo Watch Skeleton 8 Days other](https://gambatracker.com/items/octo-finissimo-watch-skeleton-8-days) | 1 in 111 | $47K | 9.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Octo Finissimo Watch in Titanium other](https://gambatracker.com/items/octo-finissimo-watch-in-titanium) | 1 in 100 | $33K | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Fiorever Earrings other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fiorever-earrings) | 1 in 80 | $19.8K | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Serpenti Viper Ring other](https://gambatracker.com/items/serpenti-viper-ring) | 1 in 80 | $13.3K | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Serpentine Duo Top Handle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/serpentine-duo-top-handle) | 1 in 48 | $10.1K | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Serpenti Viper Earrings other](https://gambatracker.com/items/serpenti-viper-earrings) | 1 in 20 | $6,400 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Divas’ Dream Necklace other](https://gambatracker.com/items/divas-dream-necklace) | 1 in 13 | $5,000 | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Allegra Earrings other](https://gambatracker.com/items/allegra-earrings) | 1 in 100 | $3,200 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Serpenti Sunglasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/serpenti-sunglasses) | 12.6% | $1,188 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Save The Children Ring (Size 52) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/save-the-children-ring-size-52) | 15.0% | $696 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Bvlgari Man Business Card Holder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bvlgari-man-business-card-holder) | 20.0% | $492 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Serpenti Forever Bracelet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/serpenti-forever-bracelet) | 30.0% | $336 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=bvlgari)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $5,072 | 89.50% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt