--- title: "Camo case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Camo ($183.02) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 12 items with odds, observed 42.18% over 37 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/camo rendered: 2026-11-12T08:01Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Camo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/camo) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Camo A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/camo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/camo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/camo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/camo?window=all) Price · $183.02 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $163.80 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 42.18% · 37 openings, odds method Variance · 13.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 19 openings · below min 30 days · 37 openings · below min since tracking started · 37 openings · below min -0.5% 97.3% 195.0% **Small sample.** 37 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/camo?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/camo?window=7d) | 19 | 31.58% ±162.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/camo) | 37 | 42.18% ±116.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/camo?window=all) | 37 | 42.18% ±116.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 37 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [BAPE x Canada Goose x Concepts Expedition Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-x-canada-goose-x-concepts-expedition-jacket) | 1 in 100 | $5,040 | 30.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Bearbrick x BAPE Camo Shark 1000% Set of 2 Gold/Silver other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bearbrick-x-bape-camo-shark-1000-set-of-2-gold-silver) | 1 in 200 | $4,895 | 14.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [adidas NMD R1 Bape Olive Camo (US Men's 10.5) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-nmd-r1-bape-olive-camo-us-mens-10-5) | 1 in 100 | $2,180 | 13.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Supreme Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Camo (US XL) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-camo-us-xl) | 1 in 133 | $2,000 | 9.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [BAPE 1st Camo Shark Full Zip Hoodie ( L ) Green other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-1st-camo-shark-full-zip-hoodie-l-green) | 1 in 50 | $600 | 7.3% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [BAPE 1st Camo Beach Shorts (SS24) Green other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-1st-camo-beach-shorts-ss24-green) | 1 in 50 | $530 | 6.5% | 2 | 0.7 | — | | [Full Send Camo Duffle Bag Camo other](https://gambatracker.com/items/full-send-camo-duffle-bag-camo) | 1 in 33 | $180 | 3.3% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.80× | | [BAPE 1st Camo Cordura Multi Pouch Yellow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-1st-camo-cordura-multi-pouch-yellow) | 1 in 13 | $69.00 | 3.2% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.72× | | [Supreme Hanes Bones Thermal Crew Woodland Camo US M other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-hanes-bones-thermal-crew-woodland-camo-us-m) | 12.5% | $55.00 | 4.2% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.86× | | [AUSCAMOTEK Ghillie Suit Poncho for Hunting other](https://gambatracker.com/items/auscamotek-ghillie-suit-poncho-for-hunting) | 15.0% | $36.00 | 3.3% | 8 | 5.5 | 1.44× | | [NuCamper Tactical Sling Bag Pack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nucamper-tactical-sling-bag-pack) | 25.0% | $16.00 | 2.4% | 4 | 9.3 | 0.43× | | [Levi's All Season Comfy Leather Beanie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/levis-all-season-comfy-leather-beanie) | 29.8% | $9.00 | 1.6% | 14 | 11.0 | 1.27× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [BAPE 1st Camo Shark Full Zip Hoodie ( L ) Green other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-1st-camo-shark-full-zip-hoodie-l-green) Hidden $183 $600 3.28x 2026-11-03 11:41 UTC [BAPE 1st Camo Beach Shorts (SS24) Green other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-1st-camo-beach-shorts-ss24-green) [Chode Muncher 🍆](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Chode%20Muncher%20%F0%9F%8D%86) $183 $530 2.90x 2026-11-10 03:36 UTC [BAPE 1st Camo Beach Shorts (SS24) Green other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-1st-camo-beach-shorts-ss24-green) Hidden $183 $530 2.90x 2026-11-03 11:41 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=camo) [Supreme Hanes Bones Thermal Crew Woodland Camo US M other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-hanes-bones-thermal-crew-woodland-camo-us-m) Hidden $183 $55.00 0.30x 2026-11-10 03:44 UTC [Levi's All Season Comfy Leather Beanie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/levis-all-season-comfy-leather-beanie) [Chode Muncher 🍆](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Chode%20Muncher%20%F0%9F%8D%86) $183 $9.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 03:44 UTC [AUSCAMOTEK Ghillie Suit Poncho for Hunting other](https://gambatracker.com/items/auscamotek-ghillie-suit-poncho-for-hunting) Hidden $183 $36.00 0.20x 2026-11-10 03:40 UTC [Levi's All Season Comfy Leather Beanie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/levis-all-season-comfy-leather-beanie) [Chode Muncher 🍆](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Chode%20Muncher%20%F0%9F%8D%86) $183 $9.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 03:40 UTC [Levi's All Season Comfy Leather Beanie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/levis-all-season-comfy-leather-beanie) Hidden $183 $9.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 03:36 UTC [BAPE 1st Camo Cordura Multi Pouch Yellow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-1st-camo-cordura-multi-pouch-yellow) Hidden $183 $69.00 0.38x 2026-11-10 03:36 UTC [BAPE 1st Camo Beach Shorts (SS24) Green other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-1st-camo-beach-shorts-ss24-green) [Chode Muncher 🍆](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Chode%20Muncher%20%F0%9F%8D%86) $183 $530 2.90x 2026-11-10 03:36 UTC [AUSCAMOTEK Ghillie Suit Poncho for Hunting other](https://gambatracker.com/items/auscamotek-ghillie-suit-poncho-for-hunting) Hidden $183 $36.00 0.20x 2026-11-10 03:32 UTC [Levi's All Season Comfy Leather Beanie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/levis-all-season-comfy-leather-beanie) Hidden $183 $9.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 03:32 UTC [NuCamper Tactical Sling Bag Pack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nucamper-tactical-sling-bag-pack) Hidden $183 $16.00 0.09x 2026-11-10 03:32 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $183 | 89.50% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $600 (3.28x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt