--- title: "Card Shop case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Card Shop ($110.18) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 126.87% over 496 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/card-shop rendered: 2026-11-11T22:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Card Shop](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/card-shop) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Card Shop A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/card-shop?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/card-shop?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/card-shop) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/card-shop?window=all) Price · $110.18 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $98.61 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 126.87% · 496 openings, odds method Variance · 40.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 302 openings · below min 30 days · 496 openings · below min since tracking started · 496 openings · below min -0.5% 198.3% 397.0% **Small sample.** 496 openings and 5.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/card-shop?window=24h) | 10 | 0.91% ±395.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/card-shop?window=7d) | 302 | 99.47% ±71.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/card-shop) | 496 | 126.87% ±56.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/card-shop?window=all) | 496 | 126.87% ±56.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 496 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [1999 Pokemon Base Set Shadowless 1st Edition Booster Pack Charizard PSA 10 GEM other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1999-pokemon-base-set-shadowless-1st-edition-booster-pack-charizard-psa-10-gem) | 1 in 1,000 | $10.7K | 10.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [2000 Pokemon Gym Challenge 1st Edition Holo Blaine's Charizard #2 PSA 10 GEM other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2000-pokemon-gym-challenge-1st-edition-holo-blaines-charizard-2-psa-10-gem) | 1 in 500 | $8,800 | 17.8% | 2 | 1.0 | — | | [2000 Pokemon Neo Genesis 1st Edition Holo Lugia #9 PSA 9 MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2000-pokemon-neo-genesis-1st-edition-holo-lugia-9-psa-9-mint) | 1 in 333 | $6,600 | 20.1% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [2001 Pokemon Neo Revelation 1st Edition Holo Ho-Oh #7 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2001-pokemon-neo-revelation-1st-edition-holo-ho-oh-7-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 250 | $3,960 | 16.1% | 4 | 2.0 | 2.02× | | [2009 Pokemon Platinum Holo Giratina #10 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2009-pokemon-platinum-holo-giratina-10-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 200 | $2,200 | 11.2% | 6 | 2.5 | 2.42× | | [1999 Pokemon Base Set Shadowless 1st Edition Squirtle #63 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1999-pokemon-base-set-shadowless-1st-edition-squirtle-63-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 200 | $1,350 | 6.8% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.81× | | [2023 Pokemon SWSH Crown Zenith Secret Rare Giratina VSTAR #GG69 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2023-pokemon-swsh-crown-zenith-secret-rare-giratina-vstar-gg69-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 200 | $855 | 4.3% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.21× | | [2016 Pokemon XY Generations Radiant Collection Full Art Pikachu #RC29 PSA 10 GEM other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2016-pokemon-xy-generations-radiant-collection-full-art-pikachu-rc29-psa-10-gem) | 1 in 200 | $576 | 2.9% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.21× | | [2020 Pokemon SWSH Champion's Path Hyper Rare Charizard VMAX #74 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2020-pokemon-swsh-champions-path-hyper-rare-charizard-vmax-74-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 200 | $360 | 1.8% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× | | [2021 Pokemon SWSH McDonald's Collection Holo Pikachu #25 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2021-pokemon-swsh-mcdonalds-collection-holo-pikachu-25-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 200 | $216 | 1.1% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.81× | | [Surfing Pikachu 2001 Pokemon TCG Promo Black Star #28 (PSA 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/surfing-pikachu-2001-pokemon-tcg-promo-black-star-28-psa-9) | 1 in 100 | $200 | 2.0% | 7 | 5.0 | 1.41× | | [2002 Pokemon Expedition Typhlosion #64 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2002-pokemon-expedition-typhlosion-64-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 200 | $165 | 0.8% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.21× | | [2021 Pokemon SWSH Chilling Reign Hyper Rare Blaziken VMAX #200 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2021-pokemon-swsh-chilling-reign-hyper-rare-blaziken-vmax-200-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 100 | $115 | 1.2% | 7 | 5.0 | 1.41× | | [2020 Pokemon Battle Academy Mewtwo GX #31 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2020-pokemon-battle-academy-mewtwo-gx-31-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 100 | $77.00 | 0.8% | 5 | 5.0 | 1.01× | | [2022 Pokemon Sword & Shield Brilliant Stars Pikachu V #157 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2022-pokemon-sword-and-shield-brilliant-stars-pikachu-v-157-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 100 | $61.00 | 0.6% | 6 | 5.0 | 1.21× | | [2023 Pokemon TCG Classic Collection Holo Dodrio #14 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2023-pokemon-tcg-classic-collection-holo-dodrio-14-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 100 | $33.00 | 0.3% | 5 | 5.0 | 1.01× | | [2023 Pokemon TCG Classic Collection Holo Suicune ex #10 PSA 9 MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2023-pokemon-tcg-classic-collection-holo-suicune-ex-10-psa-9-mint) | 1 in 67 | $19.00 | 0.3% | 7 | 7.4 | 0.94× | | [Ultra-Pro Solid Black Deckbox other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ultra-pro-solid-black-deckbox) | 89.0% | $1.00 | 0.9% | 432 | 441.4 | 0.98× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [1999 Pokemon Base Set Shadowless 1st Edition Booster Pack Charizard PSA 10 GEM other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1999-pokemon-base-set-shadowless-1st-edition-booster-pack-charizard-psa-10-gem) Hidden $110 $10.7K 97.34x 2026-11-03 01:32 UTC [2000 Pokemon Gym Challenge 1st Edition Holo Blaine's Charizard #2 PSA 10 GEM other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2000-pokemon-gym-challenge-1st-edition-holo-blaines-charizard-2-psa-10-gem) Hidden $110 $8,800 79.87x 2026-11-05 13:24 UTC [2000 Pokemon Gym Challenge 1st Edition Holo Blaine's Charizard #2 PSA 10 GEM other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2000-pokemon-gym-challenge-1st-edition-holo-blaines-charizard-2-psa-10-gem) Hidden $110 $8,800 79.87x 2026-11-03 01:29 UTC [2001 Pokemon Neo Revelation 1st Edition Holo Ho-Oh #7 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2001-pokemon-neo-revelation-1st-edition-holo-ho-oh-7-psa-10-gem-mint) Hidden $110 $3,960 35.94x 2026-11-09 19:42 UTC [2001 Pokemon Neo Revelation 1st Edition Holo Ho-Oh #7 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2001-pokemon-neo-revelation-1st-edition-holo-ho-oh-7-psa-10-gem-mint) Hidden $110 $3,960 35.94x 2026-11-08 07:14 UTC [2001 Pokemon Neo Revelation 1st Edition Holo Ho-Oh #7 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2001-pokemon-neo-revelation-1st-edition-holo-ho-oh-7-psa-10-gem-mint) Hidden $110 $3,960 35.94x 2026-11-03 01:35 UTC [2001 Pokemon Neo Revelation 1st Edition Holo Ho-Oh #7 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2001-pokemon-neo-revelation-1st-edition-holo-ho-oh-7-psa-10-gem-mint) Hidden $110 $3,960 35.94x 2026-11-03 01:33 UTC [2009 Pokemon Platinum Holo Giratina #10 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2009-pokemon-platinum-holo-giratina-10-psa-10-gem-mint) [Chode Muncher 🍆](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Chode%20Muncher%20%F0%9F%8D%86) $110 $2,200 19.97x 2026-11-10 03:43 UTC [2009 Pokemon Platinum Holo Giratina #10 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2009-pokemon-platinum-holo-giratina-10-psa-10-gem-mint) Hidden $110 $2,200 19.97x 2026-11-08 07:13 UTC [2009 Pokemon Platinum Holo Giratina #10 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2009-pokemon-platinum-holo-giratina-10-psa-10-gem-mint) Hidden $110 $2,200 19.97x 2026-11-05 13:42 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=card-shop) [Ultra-Pro Solid Black Deckbox other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ultra-pro-solid-black-deckbox) Hidden $110 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC [Ultra-Pro Solid Black Deckbox other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ultra-pro-solid-black-deckbox) Hidden $110 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC [Ultra-Pro Solid Black Deckbox other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ultra-pro-solid-black-deckbox) Hidden $110 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC [Ultra-Pro Solid Black Deckbox other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ultra-pro-solid-black-deckbox) [Camel No. 9](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Camel%20No.%209) $110 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC [Ultra-Pro Solid Black Deckbox other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ultra-pro-solid-black-deckbox) Hidden $110 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [Ultra-Pro Solid Black Deckbox other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ultra-pro-solid-black-deckbox) Hidden $110 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [Ultra-Pro Solid Black Deckbox other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ultra-pro-solid-black-deckbox) Hidden $110 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [Ultra-Pro Solid Black Deckbox other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ultra-pro-solid-black-deckbox) Hidden $110 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [Ultra-Pro Solid Black Deckbox other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ultra-pro-solid-black-deckbox) Hidden $110 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC [Ultra-Pro Solid Black Deckbox other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ultra-pro-solid-black-deckbox) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $110 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $110 | 89.50% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $10.7K (97.34x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt