--- title: "Cars vs Cards case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cars vs Cards ($1,703.27) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 2.96% over 22 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cars-vs-cards rendered: 2026-11-12T09:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Cars vs Cards](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cars-vs-cards) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Cars vs Cards A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cars-vs-cards?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cars-vs-cards?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cars-vs-cards) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cars-vs-cards?window=all) Price · $1,703.27 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $1,524.42 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 2.96% · 22 openings, odds method Variance · 70.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 250 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 98.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 22 openings · below min 30 days · 22 openings · below min since tracking started · 22 openings · below min -0.5% 177.0% 354.5% **Small sample.** 22 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cars-vs-cards?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cars-vs-cards?window=7d) | 22 | 2.96% ±350.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cars-vs-cards) | 22 | 2.96% ±350.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cars-vs-cards?window=all) | 22 | 2.96% ±350.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 22 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [1999 Pokemon Base Set Shadowless 1st Edition Holo Charizard #4 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1999-pokemon-base-set-shadowless-1st-edition-holo-charizard-4-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 500 | $253K | 33.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2017 Acura NSX other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2017-acura-nsx) | 1 in 500 | $151K | 19.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tesla Cybertruck All-wheel drive other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tesla-cybertruck-all-wheel-drive) | 1 in 500 | $76.4K | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2024 Jeep Wrangler Sahara other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-jeep-wrangler-sahara) | 1 in 500 | $62.7K | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2002 Yu-Gi-Oh! Starter Kaiba 1st Edition Blue-Eyes White Dragon #SDK001 PSA 10 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2002-yu-gi-oh-starter-kaiba-1st-edition-blue-eyes-white-dragon-sdk001-psa-10) | 1 in 500 | $42K | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2024 Polestar 2 Long Range Dual Motor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-polestar-2-long-range-dual-motor) | 1 in 500 | $40.5K | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [1999 Pokemon Base Set Shadowless 1st Edition Holo Blastoise #2 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1999-pokemon-base-set-shadowless-1st-edition-holo-blastoise-2-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 500 | $36.5K | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2002 Yu-Gi-Oh! Metal Raiders 1st Edition Gate Guardian #MRD-000 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2002-yu-gi-oh-metal-raiders-1st-edition-gate-guardian-mrd-000-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 500 | $28.8K | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2017 Audi A6 2.0T Quattro Premium Plus other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2017-audi-a6-2-0t-quattro-premium-plus) | 1 in 500 | $25.5K | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [1993 Magic The Gathering MTG Arabian Nights Bazaar Of Baghdad U3 L PSA 10 GEM other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1993-magic-the-gathering-mtg-arabian-nights-bazaar-of-baghdad-u3-l-psa-10-gem) | 1 in 500 | $24K | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2002 Yu-Gi-Oh! Metal Raiders 1st Edition Baby Dragon #MRD-061 PSA 9 MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2002-yu-gi-oh-metal-raiders-1st-edition-baby-dragon-mrd-061-psa-9-mint) | 12.3% | $102 | 0.8% | 6 | 2.7 | 2.23× | | [2018 Magic The Gathering MTG Ultimate Masters Box Topper Vengevine PSA 10 GEM other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2018-magic-the-gathering-mtg-ultimate-masters-box-topper-vengevine-psa-10-gem) | 12.3% | $72.00 | 0.6% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× | | [Volkswagen T1 Alloy Toy Car other](https://gambatracker.com/items/volkswagen-t1-alloy-toy-car) | 12.3% | $59.00 | 0.5% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.74× | | [2023 Pokemon TCG Classic Collection Holo Dodrio #14 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2023-pokemon-tcg-classic-collection-holo-dodrio-14-psa-10-gem-mint) | 12.3% | $33.00 | 0.3% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× | | [Red Lamborghini Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/red-lamborghini-toy) | 12.3% | $29.00 | 0.2% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.11× | | [Rolls Royce Phantom Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolls-royce-phantom-toy) | 12.3% | $23.00 | 0.2% | 5 | 2.7 | 1.86× | | [2023 Pokemon TCG Classic Collection Holo Suicune ex #10 PSA 9 MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2023-pokemon-tcg-classic-collection-holo-suicune-ex-10-psa-9-mint) | 12.3% | $19.00 | 0.2% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.11× | | [Audi Sport Quattro 1980 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-sport-quattro-1980) | 12.3% | $14.99 | 0.1% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 09:09 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=cars-vs-cards) [2002 Yu-Gi-Oh! Metal Raiders 1st Edition Baby Dragon #MRD-061 PSA 9 MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2002-yu-gi-oh-metal-raiders-1st-edition-baby-dragon-mrd-061-psa-9-mint) Hidden $1,703 $102 0.06x 2026-11-06 16:57 UTC [2002 Yu-Gi-Oh! Metal Raiders 1st Edition Baby Dragon #MRD-061 PSA 9 MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2002-yu-gi-oh-metal-raiders-1st-edition-baby-dragon-mrd-061-psa-9-mint) Hidden $1,703 $102 0.06x 2026-11-06 16:57 UTC [2002 Yu-Gi-Oh! Metal Raiders 1st Edition Baby Dragon #MRD-061 PSA 9 MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2002-yu-gi-oh-metal-raiders-1st-edition-baby-dragon-mrd-061-psa-9-mint) Hidden $1,703 $102 0.06x 2026-11-06 16:57 UTC [Rolls Royce Phantom Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolls-royce-phantom-toy) [Oliveira16](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Oliveira16) $1,703 $23.00 0.01x 2026-11-06 16:57 UTC [2002 Yu-Gi-Oh! Metal Raiders 1st Edition Baby Dragon #MRD-061 PSA 9 MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2002-yu-gi-oh-metal-raiders-1st-edition-baby-dragon-mrd-061-psa-9-mint) Hidden $1,703 $102 0.06x 2026-11-06 06:33 UTC [Rolls Royce Phantom Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolls-royce-phantom-toy) Hidden $1,703 $23.00 0.01x 2026-11-06 06:33 UTC [Red Lamborghini Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/red-lamborghini-toy) Hidden $1,703 $29.00 0.02x 2026-11-06 06:33 UTC [Volkswagen T1 Alloy Toy Car other](https://gambatracker.com/items/volkswagen-t1-alloy-toy-car) Hidden $1,703 $59.00 0.03x 2026-11-06 06:33 UTC [Volkswagen T1 Alloy Toy Car other](https://gambatracker.com/items/volkswagen-t1-alloy-toy-car) Hidden $1,703 $59.00 0.03x 2026-11-06 06:33 UTC [2023 Pokemon TCG Classic Collection Holo Suicune ex #10 PSA 9 MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2023-pokemon-tcg-classic-collection-holo-suicune-ex-10-psa-9-mint) [Zmann777](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Zmann777) $1,703 $19.00 0.01x 2026-11-06 06:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,703 | 89.50% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt