--- title: "Caseseption case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Caseseption ($44.49) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.48% from 14 items with odds, observed 94.25% over 162 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/caseseption rendered: 2026-11-13T07:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Caseseption](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/caseseption) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Caseseption A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/caseseption?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/caseseption?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/caseseption) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/caseseption?window=all) Price · $44.49 Advertised RTP · 89.48% · EV $39.81 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.25% · 162 openings, odds method Variance · 2.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 48 openings · below min 30 days · 94.25% ±24.48 162 openings since tracking started · 94.25% ±24.48 162 openings -0.5% 97.8% 196.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/caseseption?window=24h) | 4 | 39.33% ±155.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/caseseption?window=7d) | 48 | 116.51% ±45.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/caseseption) | 162 | 94.25% ±24.5 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/caseseption?window=all) | 162 | 94.25% ±24.5 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 174 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AZZA Pyramid L ATX Mid Tower Gaming Computer Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/azza-pyramid-l-atx-mid-tower-gaming-computer-case) | 1 in 200 | $510 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [AZZA Regis 902 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/azza-regis-902) | 1 in 200 | $480 | 6.0% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [JONSBO N5 NAS PC Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/jonsbo-n5-nas-pc-case) | 1 in 133 | $335 | 6.3% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× | | [Lian Li Dynamic EVO XL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lian-li-dynamic-evo-xl) | 1 in 133 | $305 | 5.7% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.53× | | [HYTE Y60 Mid-Tower ATX Computer Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/hyte-y60-mid-tower-atx-computer-case) | 1 in 100 | $290 | 7.3% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.15× | | [Lian Li O11 Vision ATX Mid Tower Computer Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/lian-li-o11-vision-atx-mid-tower-computer-case) | 1 in 67 | $170 | 6.4% | 5 | 2.6 | 1.92× | | [KEDIERS C650 Mech PC Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/kediers-c650-mech-pc-case) | 1 in 67 | $156 | 5.9% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.15× | | [in Win B1 Mesh Mini-ITX Chassis other](https://gambatracker.com/items/in-win-b1-mesh-mini-itx-chassis) | 1 in 100 | $115 | 2.9% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.57× | | [ASUS Prime AP201 Computer Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-prime-ap201-computer-case) | 1 in 33 | $80.00 | 6.0% | 7 | 5.2 | 1.34× | | [Cooler Master N400 - Mid Tower Computer Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/cooler-master-n400-mid-tower-computer-case) | 1 in 33 | $74.00 | 5.6% | 8 | 5.2 | 1.53× | | [DARKROCK EC2 Black ATX Mid Tower PC Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/darkrock-ec2-black-atx-mid-tower-pc-case) | 1 in 20 | $57.00 | 7.2% | 12 | 8.7 | 1.38× | | [Cooler Master MasterBox Q300L Micro-ATX Tower other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cooler-master-masterbox-q300l-micro-atx-tower) | 10.0% | $40.00 | 10.0% | 16 | 17.4 | 0.92× | | [Dell Dimension 4600 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dell-dimension-4600) | 25.0% | $20.00 | 12.6% | 34 | 43.5 | 0.78× | | [HP Pavilion A1240N other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hp-pavilion-a1240n) | 46.5% | $10.00 | 11.7% | 82 | 80.9 | 1.01× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 13 Nov, 02:20 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=caseseption) [Dell Dimension 4600 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dell-dimension-4600) Hidden $44.49 $20.00 0.45x 2026-11-13 02:39 UTC [HP Pavilion A1240N other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hp-pavilion-a1240n) Hidden $44.49 $10.00 0.22x 2026-11-13 02:39 UTC [Dell Dimension 4600 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dell-dimension-4600) Hidden $44.49 $20.00 0.45x 2026-11-13 02:39 UTC [Dell Dimension 4600 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dell-dimension-4600) [787](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/787) $44.49 $20.00 0.45x 2026-11-13 02:39 UTC [ASUS Prime AP201 Computer Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-prime-ap201-computer-case) Hidden $44.49 $80.00 1.80x 2026-11-11 05:45 UTC [HP Pavilion A1240N other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hp-pavilion-a1240n) Hidden $44.49 $10.00 0.22x 2026-11-11 05:45 UTC [Cooler Master MasterBox Q300L Micro-ATX Tower other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cooler-master-masterbox-q300l-micro-atx-tower) Hidden $44.49 $40.00 0.90x 2026-11-11 05:45 UTC [Cooler Master MasterBox Q300L Micro-ATX Tower other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cooler-master-masterbox-q300l-micro-atx-tower) Hidden $44.49 $40.00 0.90x 2026-11-11 05:45 UTC [HP Pavilion A1240N other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hp-pavilion-a1240n) Hidden $44.49 $10.00 0.22x 2026-11-11 05:45 UTC [HP Pavilion A1240N other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hp-pavilion-a1240n) [KAMOTE](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/KAMOTE) $44.49 $10.00 0.22x 2026-11-11 05:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $44.49 | 89.48% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.48 on average: an expected loss of $10.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt