--- title: "Certified 20% case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Certified 20% ($19.35) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 175.02% over 15 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/certified-20percent rendered: 2026-11-12T16:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Certified 20%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/certified-20percent) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Certified 20% A box on Cases.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/certified-20percent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/certified-20percent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/certified-20percent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/certified-20percent?window=all) Price · $19.35 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 175.02% · 15 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 7 openings · below min 30 days · 15 openings · below min since tracking started · 15 openings · below min -0.5% 142.8% 286.0% **Small sample.** 15 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/certified-20percent?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/certified-20percent?window=7d) | 7 | 124.03% ±152.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/certified-20percent) | 15 | 175.02% ±110.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/certified-20percent?window=all) | 15 | 175.02% ±110.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=certified-20percent) [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $19.35 $1.00 0.05x 2026-11-08 03:29 UTC [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $19.35 $1.00 0.05x 2026-11-08 03:29 UTC [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $19.35 $1.00 0.05x 2026-11-08 03:29 UTC [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) [wolk08](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/wolk08) $19.35 $1.00 0.05x 2026-11-08 03:29 UTC [Nike Dunk Low Team Gold (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-team-gold-us-8) Hidden $19.35 $70.00 3.62x 2026-11-06 20:04 UTC [$1 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-voucher) Hidden $19.35 $1.00 0.05x 2026-11-06 20:04 UTC [Xbox Core Wireless Gaming Controller – Velocity Green other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-core-wireless-gaming-controller-velocity-green) [Rekack](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Rekack) $19.35 $93.00 4.81x 2026-11-06 20:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 175.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $175.02 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt