--- title: "Cheap Hype case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cheap Hype ($10.25) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.42% from 13 items with odds, observed 41.54% over 2,268 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cheap-hype rendered: 2026-11-11T14:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Cheap Hype](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cheap-hype) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Cheap Hype A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cheap-hype?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cheap-hype?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cheap-hype) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cheap-hype?window=all) Price · $10.25 Advertised RTP · 89.42% · EV $9.17 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 41.54% · 2,268 openings, odds method Variance · 789.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 2,857 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 368 openings · below min 7 days · 2,134 openings · below min 30 days · 2,268 openings · below min since tracking started · 2,268 openings · below min -0.5% 151.0% 302.5% **Small sample.** 2,268 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cheap-hype?window=24h) | 368 | 14.71% ±287.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cheap-hype?window=7d) | 2,134 | 44.12% ±119.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cheap-hype) | 2,268 | 41.54% ±115.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cheap-hype?window=all) | 2,268 | 41.54% ±115.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,268 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Rolex Oyster Perpetual 36mm 126000 Turquoise Tiffany Blue Dial Stainless Steel other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-oyster-perpetual-36mm-126000-turquoise-tiffany-blue-dial-stainless-steel) | 1 in 10,000 | $17.5K | 19.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Audi TT RS 2010 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-tt-rs-2010) | 1 in 10,000 | $15K | 16.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x NBA Keepall 55 Bandouliere Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-nba-keepall-55-bandouliere-blue) | 1 in 6,667 | $10K | 16.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Nike Air Force 1 Low Off-White (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-off-white-us-7) | 1 in 5,000 | $7,400 | 16.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Cartier Wedding Band other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cartier-wedding-band) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,804 | 9.8% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [1 Kilo Silver Bar - PAMP Suisse (Serialized) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-kilo-silver-bar-pamp-suisse-serialized) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,600 | 8.7% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [Bearbrick x Marvel Iron Man Mark 85 1000% other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bearbrick-x-marvel-iron-man-mark-85-1000) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,240 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Apple Gift Card - $500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-gift-card-500) | 1 in 667 | $530 | 8.7% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.18× | | [1 Doge other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-doge) | 10.0% | $0.22 | 0.2% | 224 | 226.8 | 0.99× | | [Kith Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kith-sticker) | 15.0% | $0.10 | 0.2% | 351 | 340.2 | 1.03× | | [Perfume Testing Strip other](https://gambatracker.com/items/perfume-testing-strip) | 20.0% | $0.05 | 0.1% | 465 | 453.6 | 1.03× | | [Empty Pizza Hut Giftcard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/empty-pizza-hut-giftcard) | 20.0% | $0.05 | 0.1% | 447 | 453.6 | 0.99× | | [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) | 34.7% | $0.01 | 0.0% | 776 | 786.2 | 0.99× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Nike Air Force 1 Low Off-White (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-off-white-us-7) Hidden $10.25 $7,400 722.0x 2026-11-04 22:23 UTC [Apple Gift Card - $500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-gift-card-500) Hidden $10.25 $530 51.71x 2026-11-11 03:30 UTC [Apple Gift Card - $500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-gift-card-500) Hidden $10.25 $530 51.71x 2026-11-09 17:54 UTC [Apple Gift Card - $500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-gift-card-500) Hidden $10.25 $530 51.71x 2026-11-06 13:00 UTC [Apple Gift Card - $500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-gift-card-500) Hidden $10.25 $530 51.71x 2026-11-06 12:53 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=cheap-hype) [Kith Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kith-sticker) Hidden $10.25 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 06:56 UTC [Empty Pizza Hut Giftcard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/empty-pizza-hut-giftcard) Hidden $10.25 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:56 UTC [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $10.25 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:56 UTC [Kith Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kith-sticker) Hidden $10.25 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 06:56 UTC [1 Doge other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-doge) Hidden $10.25 $0.22 0.02x 2026-11-11 06:56 UTC [1 Doge other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-doge) [Friendly Chipmunk](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Friendly%20Chipmunk) $10.25 $0.22 0.02x 2026-11-11 06:56 UTC [Perfume Testing Strip other](https://gambatracker.com/items/perfume-testing-strip) Hidden $10.25 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:56 UTC [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $10.25 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:56 UTC [United States Penny other](https://gambatracker.com/items/united-states-penny) Hidden $10.25 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:56 UTC [Empty Pizza Hut Giftcard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/empty-pizza-hut-giftcard) Hidden $10.25 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.25 | 89.42% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $7,400 (722.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.42 on average: an expected loss of $10.58 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt