--- title: "cheekzs-says-good-luck case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "cheekzs-says-good-luck ($98.99) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 99.81% over 101 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cheekzs-says-good-luck rendered: 2026-11-12T12:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [cheekzs-says-good-luck](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cheekzs-says-good-luck) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · cheekzs-says-good-luck A box on Cases.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cheekzs-says-good-luck?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cheekzs-says-good-luck?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cheekzs-says-good-luck) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cheekzs-says-good-luck?window=all) Price · $98.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 99.81% · 101 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 89 openings · below min 30 days · 101 openings · below min since tracking started · 101 openings · below min 41.0% 95.7% 150.5% **Small sample.** 101 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cheekzs-says-good-luck?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cheekzs-says-good-luck?window=7d) | 89 | 89.06% ±47.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cheekzs-says-good-luck) | 101 | 99.81% ±50.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/cheekzs-says-good-luck?window=all) | 101 | 99.81% ±50.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [SAMSUNG Galaxy S24+ Plus Cell Phone, 512GB, Cobalt Violet (Refurbished) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-galaxy-s24-plus-cell-phone-512gb-cobalt-violet-refurbished) Hidden $98.99 $1,066 10.77x 2026-11-05 01:27 UTC [SAMSUNG Galaxy S24+ Plus Cell Phone, 512GB, Cobalt Violet (Refurbished) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-galaxy-s24-plus-cell-phone-512gb-cobalt-violet-refurbished) Hidden $98.99 $1,066 10.77x 2026-11-05 01:27 UTC [$1000 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1000-voucher) Hidden $98.99 $1,000 10.10x 2026-11-11 02:17 UTC [$1000 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1000-voucher) Hidden $98.99 $1,000 10.10x 2026-11-08 02:14 UTC [$1000 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1000-voucher) Hidden $98.99 $1,000 10.10x 2026-11-06 23:34 UTC [$500 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/500-voucher) Hidden $98.99 $500 5.05x 2026-11-11 02:20 UTC [$500 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/500-voucher) Hidden $98.99 $500 5.05x 2026-11-11 02:20 UTC [adidas Yeezy Boost 350 V2Dazzling Blue (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-yeezy-boost-350-v2dazzling-blue-us-11) Hidden $98.99 $500 5.05x 2026-11-11 02:20 UTC [$500 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/500-voucher) Hidden $98.99 $500 5.05x 2026-11-11 02:19 UTC [adidas Yeezy Boost 350 V2Dazzling Blue (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-yeezy-boost-350-v2dazzling-blue-us-11) Hidden $98.99 $500 5.05x 2026-11-11 02:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=cheekzs-says-good-luck) [$500 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/500-voucher) Hidden $98.99 $500 5.05x 2026-11-11 02:20 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $98.99 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:20 UTC [$0.05 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-05-voucher) [GetDGN.com/CODE: DGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/GetDGN.com%2FCODE%3A%20DGN) $98.99 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:20 UTC [Jordan 3 Retro Pure Money (2025) (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-3-retro-pure-money-2025-us-10) Hidden $98.99 $210 2.12x 2026-11-11 02:20 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $98.99 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:20 UTC [Jordan 3 Retro Pure Money (2025) (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-3-retro-pure-money-2025-us-10) [GetDGN.com/CODE: DGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/GetDGN.com%2FCODE%3A%20DGN) $98.99 $210 2.12x 2026-11-11 02:20 UTC [adidas Yeezy Boost 350 V2Dazzling Blue (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-yeezy-boost-350-v2dazzling-blue-us-11) Hidden $98.99 $500 5.05x 2026-11-11 02:20 UTC [$500 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/500-voucher) Hidden $98.99 $500 5.05x 2026-11-11 02:20 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) [GetDGN.com/CODE: DGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/GetDGN.com%2FCODE%3A%20DGN) $98.99 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:20 UTC [$0.01 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-01-voucher) Hidden $98.99 $0.01 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,066 (10.77x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 99.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $99.81 on average: an expected loss of $0.19 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt