--- title: "Chocolate Cashout case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Chocolate Cashout ($129.45) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 9 items with odds, observed 133.84% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/chocolate-cashout rendered: 2026-11-13T01:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Chocolate Cashout](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/chocolate-cashout) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Chocolate Cashout A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/chocolate-cashout?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/chocolate-cashout?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/chocolate-cashout) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/chocolate-cashout?window=all) Price · $129.45 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $115.85 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 133.84% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 2.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min -0.5% 120.5% 241.5% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 1.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/chocolate-cashout?window=24h) | 6 | 110.60% ±130.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/chocolate-cashout?window=7d) | 6 | 110.60% ±130.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/chocolate-cashout) | 12 | 133.84% ±92.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/chocolate-cashout?window=all) | 12 | 133.84% ±92.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Louis Vuitton by Tyler, the Creator Multiple Wallet Chocolate Craggy Monogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-by-tyler-the-creator-multiple-wallet-chocolate-craggy-monogram) | 1 in 20 | $800 | 34.5% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [Rubie's Costume Co Super Deluxe Plush Rabbit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rubies-costume-co-super-deluxe-plush-rabbit) | 1 in 20 | $560 | 24.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Jordan 5 Retro Easter (2022) US M 8.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-5-retro-easter-2022-us-m-8-5) | 1 in 20 | $385 | 16.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Squishmallow Easter Exclusive Axolotl Set 5 Inch (Set Of 3) Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/squishmallow-easter-exclusive-axolotl-set-5-inch-set-of-3-plush) | 1 in 20 | $180 | 7.8% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [RockLove Star Guardian Ina Stacker Rings other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rocklove-star-guardian-ina-stacker-rings) | 10.0% | $90.00 | 7.8% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× | | [Lindt Easter Basket with GOLD BUNNY other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lindt-easter-basket-with-gold-bunny) | 10.0% | $40.00 | 3.5% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× | | [LEGO Creator 3 in 1 Cute Bunny Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-creator-3-in-1-cute-bunny-toy) | 20.0% | $20.00 | 3.5% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× | | [MBL Easter Basket Essentials Stuffers Duck other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mbl-easter-basket-essentials-stuffers-duck) | 20.0% | $10.00 | 1.7% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× | | [Colorful Easter Egg Pattern PopSocket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/colorful-easter-egg-pattern-popsocket) | 20.0% | $3.00 | 0.5% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 23:42 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Louis Vuitton by Tyler, the Creator Multiple Wallet Chocolate Craggy Monogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-by-tyler-the-creator-multiple-wallet-chocolate-craggy-monogram) [Rr1CSI](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Rr1CSI) $129 $800 6.18x 2026-11-12 19:19 UTC [Louis Vuitton by Tyler, the Creator Multiple Wallet Chocolate Craggy Monogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-by-tyler-the-creator-multiple-wallet-chocolate-craggy-monogram) Hidden $129 $800 6.18x 2026-11-03 19:46 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=chocolate-cashout) [Lindt Easter Basket with GOLD BUNNY other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lindt-easter-basket-with-gold-bunny) Hidden $129 $40.00 0.31x 2026-11-12 19:19 UTC [Colorful Easter Egg Pattern PopSocket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/colorful-easter-egg-pattern-popsocket) Hidden $129 $3.00 0.02x 2026-11-12 19:19 UTC [Colorful Easter Egg Pattern PopSocket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/colorful-easter-egg-pattern-popsocket) Hidden $129 $3.00 0.02x 2026-11-12 19:19 UTC [Colorful Easter Egg Pattern PopSocket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/colorful-easter-egg-pattern-popsocket) Hidden $129 $3.00 0.02x 2026-11-12 19:19 UTC [MBL Easter Basket Essentials Stuffers Duck other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mbl-easter-basket-essentials-stuffers-duck) Hidden $129 $10.00 0.08x 2026-11-12 19:19 UTC [Louis Vuitton by Tyler, the Creator Multiple Wallet Chocolate Craggy Monogram other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-by-tyler-the-creator-multiple-wallet-chocolate-craggy-monogram) [Rr1CSI](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Rr1CSI) $129 $800 6.18x 2026-11-12 19:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $129 | 89.49% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $800 (6.18x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt