--- title: "christmass or X ~ MAS case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "christmass or X ~ MAS ($0.65) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 67.36% over 42 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/christmass-or-x-mas rendered: 2026-11-12T08:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [christmass or X ~ MAS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/christmass-or-x-mas) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · christmass or X ~ MAS A box on Cases.gg, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/christmass-or-x-mas?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/christmass-or-x-mas?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/christmass-or-x-mas) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/christmass-or-x-mas?window=all) Price · $0.65 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 67.36% · 42 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 36 openings · below min 7 days · 42 openings · below min 30 days · 42 openings · below min since tracking started · 42 openings · below min -0.5% 70.0% 140.5% **Small sample.** 42 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/christmass-or-x-mas?window=24h) | 36 | 52.73% ±69.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/christmass-or-x-mas?window=7d) | 42 | 67.36% ±72.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/christmass-or-x-mas) | 42 | 67.36% ±72.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/christmass-or-x-mas?window=all) | 42 | 67.36% ±72.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=christmass-or-x-mas) [Playstation Cross Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-cross-sticker) Hidden $0.65 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:40 UTC [Reindeer Slippers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/reindeer-slippers) Hidden $0.65 $6.00 9.23x 2026-11-11 15:40 UTC [Playstation Cross Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-cross-sticker) Hidden $0.65 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:40 UTC [Playstation Cross Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-cross-sticker) Hidden $0.65 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:40 UTC [Playstation Cross Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-cross-sticker) Hidden $0.65 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:40 UTC [Playstation Cross Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-cross-sticker) [strunmercury45](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/strunmercury45) $0.65 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:40 UTC [Playstation Cross Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-cross-sticker) Hidden $0.65 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:40 UTC [Playstation Cross Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-cross-sticker) Hidden $0.65 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:40 UTC [Playstation Cross Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-cross-sticker) Hidden $0.65 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:40 UTC [Playstation Cross Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-cross-sticker) Hidden $0.65 $0.01 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 67.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $67.36 on average: an expected loss of $32.64 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt