--- title: "Chrome Hearts case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Chrome Hearts ($726.27) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 138.97% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/chrome-hearts rendered: 2026-11-13T09:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Chrome Hearts](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/chrome-hearts) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Chrome Hearts A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/chrome-hearts?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/chrome-hearts?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/chrome-hearts) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/chrome-hearts?window=all) Price · $726.27 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $650.00 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 138.97% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 6.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 171.8% 344.0% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/chrome-hearts?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/chrome-hearts?window=7d) | 6 | 138.97% ±204.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/chrome-hearts) | 6 | 138.97% ±204.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/chrome-hearts?window=all) | 6 | 138.97% ±204.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Chrome Hearts Green & Leopard Cross Patch Jeans US 32 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-green-and-leopard-cross-patch-jeans-us-32) | 1 in 400 | $27.2K | 10.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Chrome Hearts x Drake Certified Lover Boy Hoodie (Friends and Family) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-x-drake-certified-lover-boy-hoodie-friends-and-family) | 1 in 200 | $9,171 | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Chrome Hearts Smoke Show Eyeglasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-smoke-show-eyeglasses) | 1 in 167 | $7,346 | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Chrome Hearts x Drake Certified Chrome Hand Dyed Hoodie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-x-drake-certified-chrome-hand-dyed-hoodie) | 1 in 167 | $7,128 | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Chrome Hearts Snow Goggles other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-snow-goggles) | 1 in 80 | $5,160 | 9.9% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [Chrome Hearts Horse Shoe Floral Hoodie US XXL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-horse-shoe-floral-hoodie-us-xxl) | 1 in 80 | $3,840 | 7.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Chrome Hearts Leather Slides EU 45 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-leather-slides-eu-45) | 1 in 100 | $3,700 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Chrome Hearts Matty Boy Sadistic Lipstick Hoodie US XL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-matty-boy-sadistic-lipstick-hoodie-us-xl) | 1 in 80 | $3,120 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Chrome Hearts Horseshoe Floral Cross Sleeve Zip Up Hoodie US M other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-horseshoe-floral-cross-sleeve-zip-up-hoodie-us-m) | 1 in 100 | $2,400 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Chrome Hearts Trucker Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-trucker-hat) | 1 in 50 | $1,260 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Chrome Hearts Silk Bandana other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-silk-bandana) | 1 in 50 | $1,224 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Chrome Hearts CH Hollywood Trucker Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-ch-hollywood-trucker-hat) | 1 in 33 | $875 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Chrome Hearts Short Sleeve Pocket Crew T-shirt US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-short-sleeve-pocket-crew-t-shirt-us-l) | 1 in 33 | $828 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Chrome Hearts Boxer Brief Shorts US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-boxer-brief-shorts-us-l) | 10.0% | $300 | 4.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Chrome Hearts Long Boxer Brief US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-long-boxer-brief-us-l) | 10.0% | $285 | 4.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Chrome Hearts Motif Facemask other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-motif-facemask) | 20.0% | $175 | 5.4% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [Chrome Hearts Plus Cross Facemask other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-plus-cross-facemask) | 10.0% | $125 | 1.9% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Chrome Hearts Polishing Cloth other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-polishing-cloth) | 32.3% | $93.00 | 4.6% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.03× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 13 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Chrome Hearts Snow Goggles other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-snow-goggles) Hidden $726 $5,160 7.10x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=chrome-hearts) [Chrome Hearts Polishing Cloth other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-polishing-cloth) Hidden $726 $93.00 0.13x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [Chrome Hearts Boxer Brief Shorts US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-boxer-brief-shorts-us-l) Hidden $726 $300 0.41x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [Chrome Hearts Snow Goggles other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-snow-goggles) Hidden $726 $5,160 7.10x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [Chrome Hearts Plus Cross Facemask other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-plus-cross-facemask) Hidden $726 $125 0.17x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [Chrome Hearts Polishing Cloth other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-polishing-cloth) Hidden $726 $93.00 0.13x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [Chrome Hearts Long Boxer Brief US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chrome-hearts-long-boxer-brief-us-l) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $726 $285 0.39x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $726 | 89.50% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $5,160 (7.10x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt