---
title: "Class 1-A case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Class 1-A ($9.55) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.48% from 18 items with odds, observed 90.92% over 557 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/class-1-a
rendered: 2026-11-12T00:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Class 1-A](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/class-1-a)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Class 1-A

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/class-1-a?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/class-1-a?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/class-1-a) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/class-1-a?window=all)

Price · $9.55

Advertised RTP · 89.48% · EV $8.55 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.92% · 557 openings, odds method

Variance · 6.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 92.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 46 openings · below min

7 days · 92.01% ±24.52 443 openings

30 days · 90.92% ±21.87 557 openings

since tracking started · 90.92% ±21.87 557 openings

2.5% 79.3% 156.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/class-1-a?window=24h) | 46 | 79.01% ±76.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/class-1-a?window=7d) | 443 | 92.01% ±24.5 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/class-1-a) | 557 | 90.92% ±21.9 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/class-1-a?window=all) | 557 | 90.92% ±21.9 | +0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 557 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [My Hero Academia - Himiko Toga 1/7 Scale Spiritale Figure (Duffle Coat Ver.) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-himiko-toga-1-7-scale-spiritale-figure-duffle-coat-ver) | 1 in 1,000 | $352 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [My Hero Academia x Hyperfly x NBA - All Might Chicago Bulls Satin Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-x-hyperfly-x-nba-all-might-chicago-bulls-satin-jacket) | 1 in 667 | $280 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [My Hero Academia - Mirko 1/8 Scale Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-mirko-1-8-scale-figure) | 1 in 500 | $200 | 4.7% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.90× |
| [My Hero Academia Box Set 1: Includes volumes 1-20 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-box-set-1-includes-volumes-1-20) | 1 in 333 | $140 | 4.9% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× |
| [My Hero Academia - Collectible Card Game Booster Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-collectible-card-game-booster-box) | 1 in 333 | $130 | 4.6% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.20× |
| [Midoriya Izuku Cosplay Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/midoriya-izuku-cosplay-set) | 1 in 200 | $120 | 7.0% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.80× |
| [Replica Izuku Midoriya's Gloves Full Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/replica-izuku-midoriyas-gloves-full-set) | 1 in 200 | $94.70 | 5.5% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.44× |
| [Funko Pop! Animation My Hero Academia Dabi Fall Convention Figure #637 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-my-hero-academia-dabi-fall-convention-figure-637) | 1 in 200 | $90.00 | 5.3% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.72× |
| [My Hero Academia - Season 6 Part 2 - Blu-ray + DVD other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-season-6-part-2-blu-ray-dvd) | 1 in 154 | $70.00 | 5.3% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.83× |
| [My Hero Academia - Izuku Midoriya Nendoroid other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-izuku-midoriya-nendoroid) | 1 in 125 | $65.00 | 6.1% | 5 | 4.5 | 1.12× |
| [My Hero Academia World Heroes Mission Vinyl Soundtrack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-world-heroes-mission-vinyl-soundtrack) | 1 in 57 | $32.00 | 6.6% | 14 | 9.7 | 1.44× |
| [My Hero Academia - Figural Bag Clip Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-figural-bag-clip-set) | 1 in 57 | $30.00 | 6.1% | 16 | 9.7 | 1.64× |
| [My Hero Academia - Shigaraki Open Arms T-Shirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-shigaraki-open-arms-t-shirt) | 10.0% | $8.20 | 9.6% | 52 | 55.7 | 0.93× |
| [My Hero Academia - Eri Funko Pop! other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-eri-funko-pop) | 10.0% | $8.00 | 9.4% | 48 | 55.7 | 0.86× |
| [My Hero Academia - All Might Mochibi Laydown 6 Inch Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-all-might-mochibi-laydown-6-inch-plush) | 12.5% | $5.00 | 7.3% | 76 | 69.6 | 1.09× |
| [My Hero Academia - Pochacco Deku FiGPiN other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-pochacco-deku-figpin) | 15.0% | $2.50 | 4.4% | 87 | 83.5 | 1.04× |
| [Izuku Midoriya Costume Gamma My Hero Academia PVC Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/izuku-midoriya-costume-gamma-my-hero-academia-pvc-keychain) | 15.0% | $2.00 | 3.5% | 88 | 83.5 | 1.05× |
| [My Hero Academia- Ochaco #1 Button other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-ochaco-1-button) | 30.0% | $0.20 | 0.7% | 153 | 167.1 | 0.92× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=class-1-a)

[Izuku Midoriya Costume Gamma My Hero Academia PVC Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/izuku-midoriya-costume-gamma-my-hero-academia-pvc-keychain) Hidden $9.55 $2.00 0.21x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC

[My Hero Academia - Eri Funko Pop! other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-eri-funko-pop) Hidden $9.55 $8.00 0.84x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC

[My Hero Academia - Pochacco Deku FiGPiN other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-pochacco-deku-figpin) Hidden $9.55 $2.50 0.26x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC

[My Hero Academia - Figural Bag Clip Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-figural-bag-clip-set) Hidden $9.55 $30.00 3.14x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC

[My Hero Academia World Heroes Mission Vinyl Soundtrack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-world-heroes-mission-vinyl-soundtrack) Hidden $9.55 $32.00 3.35x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC

[My Hero Academia - All Might Mochibi Laydown 6 Inch Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-all-might-mochibi-laydown-6-inch-plush) [StickeyTVGames](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/StickeyTVGames) $9.55 $5.00 0.52x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC

[My Hero Academia- Ochaco #1 Button other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-ochaco-1-button) Hidden $9.55 $0.20 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:20 UTC

[Izuku Midoriya Costume Gamma My Hero Academia PVC Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/izuku-midoriya-costume-gamma-my-hero-academia-pvc-keychain) Hidden $9.55 $2.00 0.21x 2026-11-11 19:20 UTC

[My Hero Academia - All Might Mochibi Laydown 6 Inch Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-all-might-mochibi-laydown-6-inch-plush) Hidden $9.55 $5.00 0.52x 2026-11-11 19:20 UTC

[My Hero Academia - All Might Mochibi Laydown 6 Inch Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/my-hero-academia-all-might-mochibi-laydown-6-inch-plush) Hidden $9.55 $5.00 0.52x 2026-11-11 19:20 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $9.55 | 89.48% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.48 on average: an expected loss of $10.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt