--- title: "Coin Pusher case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Coin Pusher ($0.89) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.72% from 18 items with odds, observed 88.33% over 4,280 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/coin-pusher rendered: 2026-11-11T19:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Coin Pusher](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/coin-pusher) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Coin Pusher A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/coin-pusher?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/coin-pusher?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/coin-pusher) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/coin-pusher?window=all) Price · $0.89 Advertised RTP · 88.72% · EV $0.79 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.33% · 4,280 openings, odds method Variance · 8.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 27 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 62.41% ±24.60 523 openings 7 days · 88.61% ±9.38 3,595 openings 30 days · 88.33% ±8.60 4,280 openings since tracking started · 88.33% ±8.60 4,280 openings 37.0% 67.8% 98.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/coin-pusher?window=24h) | 523 | 62.41% ±24.6 | −2.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/coin-pusher?window=7d) | 3,595 | 88.61% ±9.38 | −0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/coin-pusher) | 4,280 | 88.33% ±8.60 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/coin-pusher?window=all) | 4,280 | 88.33% ±8.60 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,281 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [$20 Dominos Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/20-dominos-gift-card) | 1 in 133 | $20.00 | 19.0% | 36 | 32.1 | 1.12× | | [Wired Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wired-headphones) | 1 in 111 | $12.99 | 14.8% | 37 | 38.5 | 0.96× | | [Squishmallows Pokemon other](https://gambatracker.com/items/squishmallows-pokemon) | 1 in 100 | $9.60 | 12.2% | 32 | 42.8 | 0.75× | | [Mini Skateboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mini-skateboard) | 1 in 100 | $8.00 | 10.1% | 46 | 42.8 | 1.07× | | [Thug Life Sunglasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thug-life-sunglasses) | 1 in 100 | $6.50 | 8.2% | 43 | 42.8 | 1.00× | | [Pack of Playing Cards other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pack-of-playing-cards) | 1 in 100 | $4.00 | 5.1% | 42 | 42.8 | 0.98× | | [Mini Led Flashlight other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mini-led-flashlight) | 1 in 100 | $3.29 | 4.2% | 43 | 42.8 | 1.00× | | [Fake Moustache other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fake-moustache) | 1 in 100 | $3.00 | 3.8% | 41 | 42.8 | 0.96× | | [Cork USB Flash Drive other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cork-usb-flash-drive) | 1 in 100 | $2.99 | 3.8% | 44 | 42.8 | 1.03× | | [Stress Ball other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stress-ball) | 1 in 100 | $2.30 | 2.9% | 55 | 42.8 | 1.28× | | [Pack of Glowsticks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pack-of-glowsticks) | 1 in 100 | $2.00 | 2.5% | 44 | 42.8 | 1.03× | | [Skull Carabiner other](https://gambatracker.com/items/skull-carabiner) | 1 in 80 | $1.75 | 2.8% | 49 | 53.5 | 0.92× | | [Fidget Cube other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fidget-cube) | 1 in 50 | $1.55 | 3.9% | 78 | 85.6 | 0.91× | | [Bass Bottle Opener other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bass-bottle-opener) | 1 in 40 | $0.75 | 2.4% | 113 | 107.0 | 1.06× | | [Coastal Surfer Beach Bracelet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coastal-surfer-beach-bracelet) | 1 in 33 | $0.35 | 1.3% | 113 | 128.4 | 0.88× | | [Ace Keychain other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ace-keychain) | 1 in 20 | $0.20 | 1.3% | 210 | 214.1 | 0.98× | | [Temporary Sun Tattoos other](https://gambatracker.com/items/temporary-sun-tattoos) | 15.6% | $0.05 | 1.0% | 632 | 667.8 | 0.95× | | [Coin Pusher Token other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coin-pusher-token) | 60.0% | $0.01 | 0.8% | 2,623 | 2568.6 | 1.02× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=coin-pusher) [Coin Pusher Token other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coin-pusher-token) Hidden $0.89 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [Coin Pusher Token other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coin-pusher-token) Hidden $0.89 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [Coin Pusher Token other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coin-pusher-token) Hidden $0.89 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [Coin Pusher Token other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coin-pusher-token) Hidden $0.89 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [Temporary Sun Tattoos other](https://gambatracker.com/items/temporary-sun-tattoos) Hidden $0.89 $0.05 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [Coin Pusher Token other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coin-pusher-token) [rwang300@gmail.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/rwang300%40gmail.com) $0.89 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [Temporary Sun Tattoos other](https://gambatracker.com/items/temporary-sun-tattoos) Hidden $0.89 $0.05 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [Coin Pusher Token other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coin-pusher-token) Hidden $0.89 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [Coin Pusher Token other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coin-pusher-token) Hidden $0.89 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC [Cork USB Flash Drive other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cork-usb-flash-drive) Hidden $0.89 $2.99 3.36x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.89 | 88.72% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.72 on average: an expected loss of $11.28 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt