---
title: "Coked Up case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Coked Up ($153.86) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 14 items with odds, observed 134.50% over 48 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/coked-up
rendered: 2026-11-12T09:41Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Coked Up](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/coked-up)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Coked Up

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/coked-up?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/coked-up?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/coked-up) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/coked-up?window=all)

Price · $153.86

Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $137.70 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 134.50% · 48 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 30 openings · below min

30 days · 48 openings · below min

since tracking started · 48 openings · below min

84.5% 155.2% 226.0%

**Small sample.** 48 openings and 5.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/coked-up?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/coked-up?window=7d) | 30 | 163.04% ±62.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/coked-up) | 48 | 134.50% ±49.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/coked-up?window=all) | 48 | 134.50% ±49.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 48 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [BAPE x Coca-Cola Varsity Jacket US XL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-x-coca-cola-varsity-jacket-us-xl) | 1 in 400 | $3,240 | 5.9% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Pop Mart Mega Space Molly Coca-Cola 1000% other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-mega-space-molly-coca-cola-1000) | 1 in 400 | $2,760 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Converse Chuck Taylor All Star 70 HiKith Coca-Cola White US M 9.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/converse-chuck-taylor-all-star-70-hikith-coca-cola-white-us-m-9-5) | 1 in 200 | $1,352 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [BAPE x Coca-Cola Classic Type 2 BAPEX Watch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-x-coca-cola-classic-type-2-bapex-watch) | 1 in 200 | $1,240 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Bearbrick x atmos x Coca-Cola Type-6 1000% other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bearbrick-x-atmos-x-coca-cola-type-6-1000) | 1 in 100 | $828 | 6.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Pop Mart Mega Space Molly Coca-Cola Classic 400% other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-mega-space-molly-coca-cola-classic-400) | 1 in 80 | $619 | 5.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [A Bathing Ape Skull Sta Coca Cola US M 8.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/a-bathing-ape-skull-sta-coca-cola-us-m-8-5) | 1 in 50 | $426 | 6.2% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [Kith x Coca-Cola Hoodie Multi XS other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kith-x-coca-cola-hoodie-multi-xs) | 1 in 33 | $356 | 7.8% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.08× |
| [Casio G-Shock x Coca-Cola DW5600CC23-4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-coca-cola-dw5600cc23-4) | 1 in 33 | $344 | 7.5% | 5 | 1.4 | 3.47× |
| [Converse Chuck Taylor All Star 70 Ox Kith x Coca Cola Blue US M 8.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/converse-chuck-taylor-all-star-70-ox-kith-x-coca-cola-blue-us-m-8-5) | 1 in 33 | $185 | 4.0% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [Crocs Classic Clog Coca-Cola US M 9 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-coca-cola-us-m-9) | 10.0% | $130 | 9.4% | 4 | 4.8 | 0.83× |
| [Pop Mart Labubu The Monsters Coca Cola Series Mysterious Guest Vinyl Face Blind Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-labubu-the-monsters-coca-cola-series-mysterious-guest-vinyl-face-blind-box) | 1 in 13 | $115 | 6.3% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.83× |
| [Crocs Classic Clog Coca Cola Polar Bear other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-coca-cola-polar-bear) | 25.0% | $83.00 | 15.1% | 10 | 12.0 | 0.83× |
| [Pop Mart Labubu The Monsters Coca-Cola Series Figure Single Blind Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-labubu-the-monsters-coca-cola-series-figure-single-blind-box) | 42.8% | $38.00 | 11.8% | 20 | 20.5 | 0.97× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 09:09 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[BAPE x Coca-Cola Varsity Jacket US XL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-x-coca-cola-varsity-jacket-us-xl) Hidden $154 $3,240 21.06x 2026-11-07 13:01 UTC

[Bearbrick x atmos x Coca-Cola Type-6 1000% other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bearbrick-x-atmos-x-coca-cola-type-6-1000) Hidden $154 $828 5.38x 2026-11-08 00:38 UTC

[Pop Mart Mega Space Molly Coca-Cola Classic 400% other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-mega-space-molly-coca-cola-classic-400) Hidden $154 $619 4.02x 2026-11-04 18:56 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=coked-up)

[Pop Mart Labubu The Monsters Coca-Cola Series Figure Single Blind Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-labubu-the-monsters-coca-cola-series-figure-single-blind-box) Hidden $154 $38.00 0.25x 2026-11-10 07:03 UTC

[Crocs Classic Clog Coca-Cola US M 9 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-coca-cola-us-m-9) Hidden $154 $130 0.84x 2026-11-10 07:03 UTC

[Kith x Coca-Cola Hoodie Multi XS other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kith-x-coca-cola-hoodie-multi-xs) Hidden $154 $356 2.32x 2026-11-10 07:03 UTC

[Pop Mart Labubu The Monsters Coca Cola Series Mysterious Guest Vinyl Face Blind Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-labubu-the-monsters-coca-cola-series-mysterious-guest-vinyl-face-blind-box) Hidden $154 $115 0.75x 2026-11-10 07:03 UTC

[Pop Mart Labubu The Monsters Coca-Cola Series Figure Single Blind Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-labubu-the-monsters-coca-cola-series-figure-single-blind-box) Hidden $154 $38.00 0.25x 2026-11-10 07:03 UTC

[Crocs Classic Clog Coca Cola Polar Bear other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-coca-cola-polar-bear) [Nie](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Nie) $154 $83.00 0.54x 2026-11-10 07:03 UTC

[Pop Mart Labubu The Monsters Coca-Cola Series Figure Single Blind Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-labubu-the-monsters-coca-cola-series-figure-single-blind-box) Hidden $154 $38.00 0.25x 2026-11-08 00:38 UTC

[Casio G-Shock x Coca-Cola DW5600CC23-4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-coca-cola-dw5600cc23-4) Hidden $154 $344 2.24x 2026-11-08 00:38 UTC

[Bearbrick x atmos x Coca-Cola Type-6 1000% other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bearbrick-x-atmos-x-coca-cola-type-6-1000) Hidden $154 $828 5.38x 2026-11-08 00:38 UTC

[Pop Mart Labubu The Monsters Coca-Cola Series Figure Single Blind Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-labubu-the-monsters-coca-cola-series-figure-single-blind-box) Hidden $154 $38.00 0.25x 2026-11-08 00:38 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $154 | 89.49% | 14 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $3,240 (21.06x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt