--- title: "Collectibles case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Collectibles ($146.03) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 16 items with odds, observed 90.39% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/collectibles rendered: 2026-11-11T23:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Collectibles](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/collectibles) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Collectibles A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/collectibles?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/collectibles?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/collectibles) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/collectibles?window=all) Price · $146.03 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $130.69 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.39% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 11.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 178.5% 357.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/collectibles?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/collectibles?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/collectibles) | 6 | 90.39% ±266.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/collectibles?window=all) | 6 | 90.39% ±266.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [OFF-WHITE "Don't Walk Here" Rug Deep Blue/Yellow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/off-white-dont-walk-here-rug-deep-blue-yellow) | 1 in 1,000 | $12.1K | 9.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Supreme Ducati Arai Corsair-X Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-ducati-arai-corsair-x-helmet) | 1 in 400 | $5,280 | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Kith x Batman Poker Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kith-x-batman-poker-set) | 1 in 200 | $1,650 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [LEGO Star Wars Ultimate Collector Series AT-AT Set 75313 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-star-wars-ultimate-collector-series-at-at-set-75313) | 1 in 200 | $1,360 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Kith x Batman Batarang Letter Opener other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kith-x-batman-batarang-letter-opener) | 1 in 100 | $560 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [LEGO Ideas Typewriter Set 21327 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lego-ideas-typewriter-set-21327) | 1 in 50 | $380 | 5.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Supreme 3-Foot Grinch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-3-foot-grinch) | 1 in 50 | $230 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Bratz x Karol G Doll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bratz-x-karol-g-doll) | 1 in 33 | $225 | 5.2% | 2 | 0.2 | — | | [Pop Mart Labubu The Monsters Coca Cola Series Vinyl Face Sealed Case (6 Blind Box) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-labubu-the-monsters-coca-cola-series-vinyl-face-sealed-case-6-blind-box) | 1 in 50 | $135 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Kith x Batman for The Noble Collection Batpod other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kith-x-batman-for-the-noble-collection-batpod) | 1 in 33 | $120 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Travis Scott Cactus Jack Fortnite 12" Action Figure Duo Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-cactus-jack-fortnite-12-action-figure-duo-set) | 1 in 20 | $120 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Tesla Bot Action Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tesla-bot-action-figure) | 1 in 13 | $100 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Taylor Swift The Eras Tour Hardcover Book other](https://gambatracker.com/items/taylor-swift-the-eras-tour-hardcover-book) | 13.2% | $93.00 | 9.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [MSCHF x Hot Wheels "Not Wheels™"other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mschf-x-hot-wheels-not-wheels) | 15.0% | $83.00 | 9.5% | 3 | 0.9 | — | | [Uniqlo x CPFM Spongebob Squarepants & Patrick Star Plush Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/uniqlo-x-cpfm-spongebob-squarepants-and-patrick-star-plush-set) | 15.0% | $64.00 | 7.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [Pop Mart Labubu The Monsters Tasty Macarons Vinyl Plush Pendant Single Blind Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pop-mart-labubu-the-monsters-tasty-macarons-vinyl-plush-pendant-single-blind-box) | 30.0% | $39.00 | 9.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=collectibles) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $146 | 89.50% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt