--- title: "Comedians Closet case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Comedians Closet ($4.99) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 90.92% over 1,594 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/comedians-closet rendered: 2026-11-12T00:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Comedians Closet](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/comedians-closet) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Comedians Closet A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/comedians-closet?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/comedians-closet?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/comedians-closet) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/comedians-closet?window=all) Price · $4.99 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $4.47 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.92% · 1,594 openings, odds method Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 76.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 111.04% ±25.77 114 openings 7 days · 92.09% ±7.34 1,406 openings 30 days · 90.92% ±6.89 1,594 openings since tracking started · 90.92% ±6.89 1,594 openings 83.5% 110.5% 137.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/comedians-closet?window=24h) | 114 | 111.04% ±25.8 | +1.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/comedians-closet?window=7d) | 1,406 | 92.09% ±7.34 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/comedians-closet) | 1,594 | 90.92% ±6.89 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/comedians-closet?window=all) | 1,594 | 90.92% ±6.89 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,594 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Ain't No Party Like A Diddy Party T-Shirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/aint-no-party-like-a-diddy-party-t-shirt) | 1 in 100 | $50.00 | 11.2% | 15 | 15.9 | 0.94× | | [This Guy Needs a Beer Shorts other](https://gambatracker.com/items/this-guy-needs-a-beer-shorts) | 1 in 80 | $30.00 | 8.4% | 19 | 19.9 | 0.95× | | [Eat My Shorts other](https://gambatracker.com/items/eat-my-shorts) | 1 in 67 | $20.00 | 6.7% | 26 | 23.9 | 1.09× | | [Pizza Hoodie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pizza-hoodie) | 1 in 50 | $16.00 | 7.2% | 40 | 31.9 | 1.25× | | [Stance x The Simpsons Marge Black Crew Socks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stance-x-the-simpsons-marge-black-crew-socks) | 1 in 50 | $15.00 | 6.7% | 26 | 31.9 | 0.82× | | [Ramen Chicken Noodle Soup Beef Pants other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ramen-chicken-noodle-soup-beef-pants) | 1 in 44 | $12.80 | 6.4% | 36 | 35.9 | 1.00× | | [World’s Okayest Golfer hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/worlds-okayest-golfer-hat) | 1 in 44 | $12.33 | 6.2% | 39 | 35.9 | 1.09× | | [I Paused My Game to Be Here Shirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/i-paused-my-game-to-be-here-shirt) | 1 in 40 | $10.00 | 5.6% | 47 | 39.9 | 1.18× | | [Despicable Me Minions Banana Mens Adult T-Shirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/despicable-me-minions-banana-mens-adult-t-shirt) | 1 in 33 | $8.00 | 5.4% | 52 | 47.8 | 1.09× | | [I Rub My Meat Before I Stick It In Bowling Shirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/i-rub-my-meat-before-i-stick-it-in-bowling-shirt) | 1 in 33 | $7.20 | 4.8% | 47 | 47.8 | 0.98× | | [Taco Socks other](https://gambatracker.com/items/taco-socks) | 1 in 33 | $6.60 | 4.4% | 49 | 47.8 | 1.02× | | [Stripclub Veteran Trucker Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stripclub-veteran-trucker-hat) | 1 in 20 | $4.00 | 4.5% | 70 | 79.7 | 0.88× | | [Propeller Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/propeller-hat) | 1 in 20 | $3.25 | 3.6% | 69 | 79.7 | 0.87× | | [Master Baiter Shirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/master-baiter-shirt) | 1 in 20 | $3.00 | 3.4% | 90 | 79.7 | 1.13× | | [Hamburger Slippers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hamburger-slippers) | 1 in 13 | $2.20 | 3.7% | 111 | 119.5 | 0.93× | | [Bacon Tie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bacon-tie) | 13.8% | $1.50 | 4.6% | 245 | 219.2 | 1.12× | | [Bible Wallet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bible-wallet) | 15.0% | $1.20 | 4.0% | 230 | 239.1 | 0.96× | | [I’m Not a Regular Mom, I’m a Cool Mom Tote Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/im-not-a-regular-mom-im-a-cool-mom-tote-bag) | 25.0% | $0.55 | 3.1% | 383 | 398.5 | 0.96× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=comedians-closet) [I Rub My Meat Before I Stick It In Bowling Shirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/i-rub-my-meat-before-i-stick-it-in-bowling-shirt) Hidden $4.99 $7.20 1.44x 2026-11-11 22:07 UTC [Bacon Tie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bacon-tie) Hidden $4.99 $1.50 0.30x 2026-11-11 22:07 UTC [Master Baiter Shirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/master-baiter-shirt) Hidden $4.99 $3.00 0.60x 2026-11-11 22:07 UTC [Bible Wallet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bible-wallet) Hidden $4.99 $1.20 0.24x 2026-11-11 22:07 UTC [I Rub My Meat Before I Stick It In Bowling Shirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/i-rub-my-meat-before-i-stick-it-in-bowling-shirt) Hidden $4.99 $7.20 1.44x 2026-11-11 22:07 UTC [Bacon Tie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bacon-tie) [Kris\_tins](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Kris_tins) $4.99 $1.50 0.30x 2026-11-11 22:07 UTC [Hamburger Slippers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hamburger-slippers) Hidden $4.99 $2.20 0.44x 2026-11-11 21:13 UTC [I’m Not a Regular Mom, I’m a Cool Mom Tote Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/im-not-a-regular-mom-im-a-cool-mom-tote-bag) Hidden $4.99 $0.55 0.11x 2026-11-11 21:13 UTC [Stripclub Veteran Trucker Hat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stripclub-veteran-trucker-hat) Hidden $4.99 $4.00 0.80x 2026-11-11 21:13 UTC [Bible Wallet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bible-wallet) Hidden $4.99 $1.20 0.24x 2026-11-11 21:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $4.99 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt