--- title: "Console War case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Console War ($17.81) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.46% from 12 items with odds, observed 115.74% over 526 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/console-war rendered: 2026-11-11T15:15Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Console War](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/console-war) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Console War A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/console-war?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/console-war?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/console-war) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/console-war?window=all) Price · $17.81 Advertised RTP · 89.46% · EV $15.93 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 115.74% · 526 openings, odds method Variance · 10.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 44 openings · below min 7 days · 132.56% ±30.57 423 openings 30 days · 115.74% ±27.42 526 openings since tracking started · 115.74% ±27.42 526 openings -0.5% 94.8% 190.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/console-war?window=24h) | 44 | 94.66% ±94.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/console-war?window=7d) | 423 | 132.56% ±30.6 | +2.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/console-war) | 526 | 115.74% ±27.4 | +1.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/console-war?window=all) | 526 | 115.74% ±27.4 | +1.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 526 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [PlayStation®5 Console other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-5-console) | 1 in 333 | $730 | 13.7% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.27× | | [Xbox Series S 1TB, Carbon Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-series-s-1tb-carbon-black) | 1 in 500 | $650 | 8.2% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.85× | | [Xbox 360 250GB Slim Console - (Renewed) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-360-250gb-slim-console-renewed) | 1 in 200 | $225 | 7.1% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.14× | | [Sony Playstation Portable (PSP) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-playstation-portable-psp) | 1 in 100 | $180 | 11.3% | 7 | 5.3 | 1.33× | | [PlayStation DualSense® Wireless Controller - White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-dualsense-wireless-controller-white) | 1 in 50 | $89.00 | 11.2% | 12 | 10.5 | 1.14× | | [Xbox Core Wireless Gaming Controller – Carbon Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-core-wireless-gaming-controller-carbon-black) | 1 in 50 | $75.00 | 9.4% | 10 | 10.5 | 0.95× | | [Gran Turismo 7 (PS5) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gran-turismo-7-ps5) | 1 in 33 | $59.00 | 11.1% | 17 | 15.8 | 1.08× | | [Elden Ring - Xbox Series X other](https://gambatracker.com/items/elden-ring-xbox-series-x) | 1 in 33 | $55.00 | 10.4% | 22 | 15.8 | 1.39× | | [Sonic Frontiers - PlayStation 5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sonic-frontiers-playstation-5) | 1 in 20 | $19.99 | 6.3% | 25 | 26.3 | 0.95× | | [Xbox Socks Gaming Console Logo Adult Crew Socks 1 Pair other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-socks-gaming-console-logo-adult-crew-socks-1-pair) | 1 in 20 | $13.95 | 4.4% | 30 | 26.3 | 1.14× | | [Thumb Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-grips) | 34.0% | $2.00 | 4.3% | 153 | 178.8 | 0.86× | | [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) | 44.0% | $1.00 | 2.8% | 242 | 231.4 | 1.05× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [PlayStation®5 Console other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-5-console) Hidden $17.81 $730 40.99x 2026-11-10 12:11 UTC [PlayStation®5 Console other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-5-console) Hidden $17.81 $730 40.99x 2026-11-06 00:34 UTC [Xbox Series S 1TB, Carbon Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-series-s-1tb-carbon-black) Hidden $17.81 $650 36.50x 2026-11-09 03:44 UTC [Xbox Series S 1TB, Carbon Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-series-s-1tb-carbon-black) Hidden $17.81 $650 36.50x 2026-11-07 18:47 UTC [Xbox Series S 1TB, Carbon Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-series-s-1tb-carbon-black) [Mischievous Turtle](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Mischievous%20Turtle) $17.81 $650 36.50x 2026-11-06 00:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=console-war) [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) Hidden $17.81 $1.00 0.06x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) Hidden $17.81 $1.00 0.06x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) Hidden $17.81 $1.00 0.06x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [Elden Ring - Xbox Series X other](https://gambatracker.com/items/elden-ring-xbox-series-x) Hidden $17.81 $55.00 3.09x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [Xbox Socks Gaming Console Logo Adult Crew Socks 1 Pair other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-socks-gaming-console-logo-adult-crew-socks-1-pair) Hidden $17.81 $13.95 0.78x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $17.81 $1.00 0.06x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) Hidden $17.81 $1.00 0.06x 2026-11-11 05:51 UTC [Thumb Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-grips) Hidden $17.81 $2.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 05:51 UTC [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) Hidden $17.81 $1.00 0.06x 2026-11-11 05:51 UTC [Thumb Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-grips) [KAMOTE](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/KAMOTE) $17.81 $2.00 0.11x 2026-11-11 05:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $17.81 | 89.46% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $730 (40.99x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.46 on average: an expected loss of $10.54 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt