--- title: "Couch Gamer case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Couch Gamer ($72.38) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 69.37% over 136 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/couch-gamer rendered: 2026-11-11T19:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Couch Gamer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/couch-gamer) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Couch Gamer A box on Cases.gg (Consoles), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/couch-gamer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/couch-gamer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/couch-gamer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/couch-gamer?window=all) Price · $72.38 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $64.77 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 69.37% · 136 openings, odds method Variance · 8.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 72.11% ±51.50 126 openings 30 days · 69.37% ±49.57 136 openings since tracking started · 69.37% ±49.57 136 openings -0.5% 153.3% 307.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/couch-gamer?window=24h) | 6 | 70.34% ±236.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/couch-gamer?window=7d) | 126 | 72.11% ±51.5 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/couch-gamer) | 136 | 69.37% ±49.6 | −0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/couch-gamer?window=all) | 136 | 69.37% ±49.6 | −0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 136 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Microsoft Xbox Series X 1TB Halo Infinite Limited Edition Console Bundle (US Plug) C8Y-00023 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microsoft-xbox-series-x-1tb-halo-infinite-limited-edition-console-bundle-us-plug-c8y-00023) | 1 in 100 | $1,890 | 29.2% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× | | [PlayStation®5 Console other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-5-console) | 1 in 100 | $730 | 11.3% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× | | [Xbox Series S 512GB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-series-s-512gb) | 1 in 100 | $488 | 7.5% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× | | [Nintendo Switch (OLED model) with White Joy-Con other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-switch-oled-model-with-white-joy-con) | 1 in 100 | $450 | 6.9% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [Nintendo Switch Lite - Gray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-switch-lite-gray) | 1 in 100 | $285 | 4.4% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [Gamecube System Console Indigo other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gamecube-system-console-indigo) | 1 in 100 | $264 | 4.1% | 4 | 1.4 | 2.94× | | [Futon Sofa Bed, 68″Fabric Futon Couch with Adjustable Backrest - Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/futon-sofa-bed-68-fabric-futon-couch-with-adjustable-backrest-blue) | 1 in 100 | $225 | 3.5% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× | | [Nintendo Wii Console with Wii Sports other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-wii-console-with-wii-sports) | 1 in 100 | $190 | 2.9% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [Sony S100F 2.0ch Soundbar with Bass Reflex Speaker (HTS100F) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-s100f-2-0ch-soundbar-with-bass-reflex-speaker-hts100f) | 1 in 50 | $190 | 5.9% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.10× | | [Nintendo Game Boy Advance SP - Onyx other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-game-boy-advance-sp-onyx) | 1 in 100 | $180 | 2.8% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× | | [Nintendo DS Lite Crimson / Black (refurbished) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nintendo-ds-lite-crimson-black-refurbished) | 1 in 50 | $140 | 4.3% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× | | [Game Boy Color - Atomic Purple other](https://gambatracker.com/items/game-boy-color-atomic-purple) | 1 in 100 | $126 | 1.9% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [Joy-Con (L)/(R) - Pastel Purple/Pastel Green other](https://gambatracker.com/items/joy-con-l-r-pastel-purple-pastel-green) | 1 in 50 | $87.99 | 2.7% | 5 | 2.7 | 1.84× | | [Entertainment Stand for TV Up to 55 Inch, Blackwood other](https://gambatracker.com/items/entertainment-stand-for-tv-up-to-55-inch-blackwood) | 1 in 50 | $55.00 | 1.7% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× | | [Logitech G432 Wired Gaming Headset, 7.1 Surround Sound other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g432-wired-gaming-headset-7-1-surround-sound) | 1 in 50 | $47.00 | 1.5% | 7 | 2.7 | 2.57× | | [Turtle Beach Recon 50 Wired Gaming Headset other](https://gambatracker.com/items/turtle-beach-recon-50-wired-gaming-headset) | 1 in 20 | $28.00 | 2.2% | 10 | 6.8 | 1.47× | | [KontrolFreek FPS Freek Inferno for Xbox Controller other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kontrolfreek-fps-freek-inferno-for-xbox-controller) | 1 in 20 | $17.00 | 1.3% | 7 | 6.8 | 1.03× | | [Micro USB Cables other](https://gambatracker.com/items/micro-usb-cables) | 70.0% | $5.49 | 5.9% | 95 | 95.2 | 1.00× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Microsoft Xbox Series X 1TB Halo Infinite Limited Edition Console Bundle (US Plug) C8Y-00023 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microsoft-xbox-series-x-1tb-halo-infinite-limited-edition-console-bundle-us-plug-c8y-00023) Hidden $72.38 $1,890 26.11x 2026-11-07 20:14 UTC [PlayStation®5 Console other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-5-console) Hidden $72.38 $730 10.09x 2026-11-07 20:11 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=couch-gamer) [Micro USB Cables other](https://gambatracker.com/items/micro-usb-cables) Hidden $72.38 $5.49 0.08x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC [Futon Sofa Bed, 68″Fabric Futon Couch with Adjustable Backrest - Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/futon-sofa-bed-68-fabric-futon-couch-with-adjustable-backrest-blue) Hidden $72.38 $225 3.11x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC [Logitech G432 Wired Gaming Headset, 7.1 Surround Sound other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g432-wired-gaming-headset-7-1-surround-sound) Hidden $72.38 $47.00 0.65x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC [Micro USB Cables other](https://gambatracker.com/items/micro-usb-cables) Hidden $72.38 $5.49 0.08x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC [Micro USB Cables other](https://gambatracker.com/items/micro-usb-cables) Hidden $72.38 $5.49 0.08x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC [KontrolFreek FPS Freek Inferno for Xbox Controller other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kontrolfreek-fps-freek-inferno-for-xbox-controller) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $72.38 $17.00 0.23x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC [Micro USB Cables other](https://gambatracker.com/items/micro-usb-cables) Hidden $72.38 $5.49 0.08x 2026-11-08 16:45 UTC [Micro USB Cables other](https://gambatracker.com/items/micro-usb-cables) Hidden $72.38 $5.49 0.08x 2026-11-08 16:45 UTC [Micro USB Cables other](https://gambatracker.com/items/micro-usb-cables) Hidden $72.38 $5.49 0.08x 2026-11-08 16:45 UTC [Micro USB Cables other](https://gambatracker.com/items/micro-usb-cables) Hidden $72.38 $5.49 0.08x 2026-11-08 16:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $72.38 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $1,890 (26.11x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt