--- title: "Creased case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Creased ($167.95) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 14 items with odds, observed 45.23% over 36 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/creased rendered: 2026-11-12T01:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Creased](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/creased) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Creased A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/creased?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/creased?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/creased) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/creased?window=all) Price · $167.95 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $150.31 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 45.23% · 36 openings, odds method Variance · 9.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 36 openings · below min since tracking started · 36 openings · below min -0.5% 111.8% 224.0% **Small sample.** 36 openings and 2.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/creased?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/creased?window=7d) | 12 | 45.50% ±178.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/creased) | 36 | 45.23% ±102.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/creased?window=all) | 36 | 45.23% ±102.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 36 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Louis Vuitton Nike Air Force 1 Low By Virgil Abloh White Royal (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-nike-air-force-1-low-by-virgil-abloh-white-royal-us-7) | 1 in 667 | $7,624 | 7.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Louis Vuitton Nike Air Force 1 Low By Virgil Abloh White Green (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-nike-air-force-1-low-by-virgil-abloh-white-green-us-8) | 1 in 667 | $7,333 | 7.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Louis Vuitton Nike Air Force 1 Low By Virgil Abloh White Red (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-nike-air-force-1-low-by-virgil-abloh-white-red-us-7) | 1 in 667 | $7,245 | 7.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Nike Blazer Mid Off-White (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-blazer-mid-off-white-us-9) | 1 in 200 | $2,240 | 7.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Nike Dunk Low Off-White Lot 28 (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-off-white-lot-28-us-11) | 1 in 200 | $1,241 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Nike SB Dunk LowSupreme Stars Black (2021) (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-lowsupreme-stars-black-2021-us-10) | 1 in 100 | $887 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Nike SB Dunk Low Instant Skateboards (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-low-instant-skateboards-us-9) | 1 in 50 | $490 | 6.5% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Nike Air Force 1 Low Supreme Baroque Brown (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-supreme-baroque-brown-us-7) | 1 in 33 | $380 | 7.6% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [Nike Air Force 1 Low '07 Black White Pebbled Leather (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-07-black-white-pebbled-leather-us-11) | 15.0% | $90.00 | 9.0% | 7 | 5.4 | 1.30× | | [Nike Dunk Low Retro White Black Panda US M 9 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-retro-white-black-panda-us-m-9) | 15.0% | $77.00 | 7.7% | 4 | 5.4 | 0.74× | | [Nike Air Force 1 Low '07 Black White Pebbled Leather (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-07-black-white-pebbled-leather-us-9) | 15.0% | $74.00 | 7.4% | 8 | 5.4 | 1.48× | | [Nike Dunk Low Rose Whisper (Women's) US W 8 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-rose-whisper-womens-us-w-8) | 15.0% | $73.00 | 7.3% | 9 | 5.4 | 1.67× | | [Nike Dunk Low Team Gold (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-team-gold-us-8) | 15.0% | $70.00 | 7.0% | 2 | 5.4 | 0.37× | | [Nike Dunk Low Cacao Wow (Women's) US W 11.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-cacao-wow-womens-us-w-11-5) | 17.5% | $68.00 | 7.9% | 6 | 6.3 | 0.95× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=creased) [Nike Dunk Low Rose Whisper (Women's) US W 8 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-rose-whisper-womens-us-w-8) Hidden $168 $73.00 0.43x 2026-11-10 06:47 UTC [Nike Dunk Low Retro White Black Panda US M 9 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-retro-white-black-panda-us-m-9) Hidden $168 $77.00 0.46x 2026-11-10 06:47 UTC [Nike Air Force 1 Low '07 Black White Pebbled Leather (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-07-black-white-pebbled-leather-us-9) Hidden $168 $74.00 0.44x 2026-11-10 06:47 UTC [Nike Dunk Low Rose Whisper (Women's) US W 8 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-rose-whisper-womens-us-w-8) Hidden $168 $73.00 0.43x 2026-11-10 06:47 UTC [Nike Air Force 1 Low '07 Black White Pebbled Leather (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-07-black-white-pebbled-leather-us-11) Hidden $168 $90.00 0.54x 2026-11-10 06:47 UTC [Nike Air Force 1 Low '07 Black White Pebbled Leather (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-07-black-white-pebbled-leather-us-9) [Nie](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Nie) $168 $74.00 0.44x 2026-11-10 06:47 UTC [Nike Dunk Low Rose Whisper (Women's) US W 8 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-rose-whisper-womens-us-w-8) Hidden $168 $73.00 0.43x 2026-11-10 06:33 UTC [Nike Air Force 1 Low '07 Black White Pebbled Leather (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-07-black-white-pebbled-leather-us-9) Hidden $168 $74.00 0.44x 2026-11-10 06:33 UTC [Nike Air Force 1 Low '07 Black White Pebbled Leather (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-07-black-white-pebbled-leather-us-9) Hidden $168 $74.00 0.44x 2026-11-10 06:33 UTC [Nike Dunk Low Retro White Black Panda US M 9 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-retro-white-black-panda-us-m-9) Hidden $168 $77.00 0.46x 2026-11-10 06:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $168 | 89.50% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt