---
title: "Crocoholic case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Crocoholic ($499.94) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 51.81% over 12 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/crocoholic
rendered: 2026-11-12T01:42Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Crocoholic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/crocoholic)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Crocoholic

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/crocoholic?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/crocoholic?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/crocoholic) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/crocoholic?window=all)

Price · $499.94

Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $447.44 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 51.81% · 12 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 62.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 6 openings · below min

30 days · 12 openings · below min

since tracking started · 12 openings · below min

-0.5% 79.3% 159.0%

**Small sample.** 12 openings and 1.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/crocoholic?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/crocoholic?window=7d) | 6 | 65.31% ±93.1 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/crocoholic) | 12 | 51.81% ±65.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/crocoholic?window=all) | 12 | 51.81% ±65.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Crocs Classic Mega Crush Clog MCM Belt Bag White US M 6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-mega-crush-clog-mcm-belt-bag-white-us-m-6) | 1 in 100 | $3,190 | 7.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Balenciaga x Crocs Hardcrocs Sandal Black US M 7 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/balenciaga-x-crocs-hardcrocs-sandal-black-us-m-7) | 1 in 100 | $2,600 | 5.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Balenciaga x Crocs Boot Bright Pink (Women's) EU 36 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/balenciaga-x-crocs-boot-bright-pink-womens-eu-36) | 1 in 50 | $1,680 | 7.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Crocs Classic Mega Crush Clog MCM Belt Bag Black (US 6) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-mega-crush-clog-mcm-belt-bag-black-us-6) | 1 in 50 | $1,380 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Crocs Classic Clog MCM Visetos Belt Bag Black Cognac Gold US M 9 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-mcm-visetos-belt-bag-black-cognac-gold-us-m-9) | 1 in 50 | $1,370 | 6.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Balenciaga x Crocs Boot Grey US M 8 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/balenciaga-x-crocs-boot-grey-us-m-8) | 1 in 67 | $1,320 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Crocs Dimitri Clog Post Malone Barbed Wire US M 8 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-dimitri-clog-post-malone-barbed-wire-us-m-8) | 1 in 40 | $1,180 | 6.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Balenciaga Technoclog Black US M 10 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/balenciaga-technoclog-black-us-m-10) | 1 in 40 | $1,135 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Crocs Classic Clog MCM Camoflauge Print Neon Yellow US M 6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-mcm-camoflauge-print-neon-yellow-us-m-6) | 1 in 20 | $880 | 9.8% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Crocs Classic Clog Takashi Murakami x ComplexCon (US M 12) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-takashi-murakami-x-complexcon-us-m-12) | 1 in 33 | $839 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Crocs Classic Clog Hidden Valley Ranch (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-hidden-valley-ranch-us-10) | 1 in 20 | $794 | 8.9% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Crocs Quick Trail Simone Rocha Black US M 7 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-quick-trail-simone-rocha-black-us-m-7) | 1 in 20 | $684 | 7.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Crocs Siren Clog Simone Rocha Black US M 6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-siren-clog-simone-rocha-black-us-m-6) | 1 in 20 | $684 | 7.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Crocs Classic Clog Naruto Itachi (US 12) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-naruto-itachi-us-12) | 10.0% | $200 | 4.5% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× |
| [Crocs Classic Clog Lightning McQueen US M 10 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-lightning-mcqueen-us-m-10) | 10.0% | $95.00 | 2.1% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× |
| [Crocs Unisex-Adult Jujutsu Kaisen Classic Clogs other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-unisex-adult-jujutsu-kaisen-classic-clogs) | 12.5% | $90.00 | 2.5% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× |
| [Crocs Classic Clogs other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clogs) | 15.0% | $25.00 | 0.8% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× |
| [Crocs Replacement Straps other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-replacement-straps) | 15.0% | $10.00 | 0.3% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Crocs Classic Clog MCM Camoflauge Print Neon Yellow US M 6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-mcm-camoflauge-print-neon-yellow-us-m-6) Hidden $500 $880 1.76x 2026-11-10 08:35 UTC

[Crocs Classic Clog Hidden Valley Ranch (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-hidden-valley-ranch-us-10) Hidden $500 $794 1.59x 2026-11-04 14:32 UTC

[Crocs Siren Clog Simone Rocha Black US M 6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-siren-clog-simone-rocha-black-us-m-6) Hidden $500 $684 1.37x 2026-11-10 08:35 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=crocoholic)

[Crocs Replacement Straps other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-replacement-straps) Hidden $500 $10.00 0.02x 2026-11-10 08:35 UTC

[Crocs Classic Clog MCM Camoflauge Print Neon Yellow US M 6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-mcm-camoflauge-print-neon-yellow-us-m-6) Hidden $500 $880 1.76x 2026-11-10 08:35 UTC

[Crocs Classic Clog Lightning McQueen US M 10 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-lightning-mcqueen-us-m-10) Hidden $500 $95.00 0.19x 2026-11-10 08:35 UTC

[Crocs Classic Clog Naruto Itachi (US 12) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-naruto-itachi-us-12) Hidden $500 $200 0.40x 2026-11-10 08:35 UTC

[Crocs Siren Clog Simone Rocha Black US M 6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-siren-clog-simone-rocha-black-us-m-6) Hidden $500 $684 1.37x 2026-11-10 08:35 UTC

[Crocs Unisex-Adult Jujutsu Kaisen Classic Clogs other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-unisex-adult-jujutsu-kaisen-classic-clogs) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $500 $90.00 0.18x 2026-11-10 08:35 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $500 | 89.50% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $880 (1.76x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt