--- title: "Crypto case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Crypto ($840.35) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 12 items with odds, observed 14.46% over 30 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/crypto rendered: 2026-11-11T16:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Crypto](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/crypto) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Crypto A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/crypto?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/crypto?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/crypto) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/crypto?window=all) Price · $840.35 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $752.11 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 14.46% · 30 openings, odds method Variance · 83.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 133 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 30 openings · below min 30 days · 30 openings · below min since tracking started · 30 openings · below min -0.5% 170.8% 342.0% **Small sample.** 30 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/crypto?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/crypto?window=7d) | 30 | 14.46% ±326.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/crypto) | 30 | 14.46% ±326.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/crypto?window=all) | 30 | 14.46% ±326.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 30 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [1 Bitcoin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-bitcoin) | 1 in 133 | $88.9K | 88.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [1 Ethereum other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-ethereum) | 1 in 44 | $2,358 | 7.1% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Dell S3222HN Curved Monitor - 31.5-inch FHD (1920x1080) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dell-s3222hn-curved-monitor-31-5-inch-fhd-1920x1080) | 1 in 33 | $285 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [1 SOL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-sol) | 1 in 33 | $163 | 0.7% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [Trezor Model T - Crypto Hardware Wallet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/trezor-model-t-crypto-hardware-wallet) | 1 in 33 | $160 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [Ledger Nano X (Onyx Black) Crypto Hardware Wallet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ledger-nano-x-onyx-black-crypto-hardware-wallet) | 1 in 33 | $130 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [Ledger Nano S Plus (Gold) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ledger-nano-s-plus-gold) | 1 in 20 | $79.00 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× | | [Cryptocurrency All-in-One For Dummies other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cryptocurrency-all-in-one-for-dummies) | 1 in 13 | $36.00 | 0.4% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.33× | | [Embroidered Round XRP Crypto Pillow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/embroidered-round-xrp-crypto-pillow) | 10.0% | $20.00 | 0.3% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× | | [Crypto Millionaire Loading... Ceramic Coffee Mug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crypto-millionaire-loading-ceramic-coffee-mug) | 15.0% | $8.00 | 0.2% | 1 | 4.5 | 0.22× | | [1 USDT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-usdt) | 22.5% | $1.00 | 0.0% | 8 | 6.8 | 1.19× | | [1 Doge other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-doge) | 25.0% | $0.22 | 0.0% | 9 | 7.5 | 1.20× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [1 Ethereum other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-ethereum) Hidden $840 $2,358 2.81x 2026-11-06 10:37 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=crypto) [1 USDT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-usdt) Hidden $840 $1.00 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:56 UTC [1 USDT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-usdt) Hidden $840 $1.00 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:56 UTC [1 Doge other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-doge) Hidden $840 $0.22 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:56 UTC [1 Doge other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-doge) Hidden $840 $0.22 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:56 UTC [Ledger Nano X (Onyx Black) Crypto Hardware Wallet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ledger-nano-x-onyx-black-crypto-hardware-wallet) Hidden $840 $130 0.15x 2026-11-09 17:56 UTC [1 USDT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-usdt) [Jaydendown](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Jaydendown) $840 $1.00 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:56 UTC [1 Doge other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-doge) Hidden $840 $0.22 0.00x 2026-11-09 16:21 UTC [1 USDT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-usdt) Hidden $840 $1.00 0.00x 2026-11-09 16:21 UTC [1 Doge other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-doge) Hidden $840 $0.22 0.00x 2026-11-09 16:21 UTC [1 Doge other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-doge) Hidden $840 $0.22 0.00x 2026-11-09 16:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $840 | 89.50% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,358 (2.81x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt