--- title: "Day on water case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Day on water ($15.53) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.23% over 26 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/day-on-water rendered: 2026-11-13T06:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Day on water](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/day-on-water) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Day on water A box on Cases.gg, first seen 13 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/day-on-water?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/day-on-water?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/day-on-water) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/day-on-water?window=all) Price · $15.53 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 81.23% · 26 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 26 openings · below min 7 days · 26 openings · below min 30 days · 26 openings · below min since tracking started · 26 openings · below min 44.5% 81.3% 118.0% **Small sample.** 26 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/day-on-water?window=24h) | 26 | 81.23% ±35.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/day-on-water?window=7d) | 26 | 81.23% ±35.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/day-on-water) | 26 | 81.23% ±35.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/day-on-water?window=all) | 26 | 81.23% ±35.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=day-on-water) [BOOYAH Boo Jig Bass Fishing Lure with Weed Guard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/booyah-boo-jig-bass-fishing-lure-with-weed-guard) Hidden $15.53 $1.00 0.06x 2026-11-13 04:18 UTC [BOOYAH Boo Jig Bass Fishing Lure with Weed Guard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/booyah-boo-jig-bass-fishing-lure-with-weed-guard) Hidden $15.53 $1.00 0.06x 2026-11-13 04:18 UTC [Rebel Lures Bumble Bug Topwater / Crankbait Fishing Lure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rebel-lures-bumble-bug-topwater-crankbait-fishing-lure) Hidden $15.53 $2.50 0.16x 2026-11-13 04:18 UTC [PLUSINNO Floating Fishing Net other](https://gambatracker.com/items/plusinno-floating-fishing-net) Hidden $15.53 $33.00 2.12x 2026-11-13 04:18 UTC [Rebel Lures Bumble Bug Topwater / Crankbait Fishing Lure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rebel-lures-bumble-bug-topwater-crankbait-fishing-lure) Hidden $15.53 $2.50 0.16x 2026-11-13 04:17 UTC [Fishing-Shirt Dont Be Dumb Bass other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fishing-shirt-dont-be-dumb-bass) Hidden $15.53 $24.00 1.55x 2026-11-13 04:17 UTC [BOOYAH Boo Jig Bass Fishing Lure with Weed Guard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/booyah-boo-jig-bass-fishing-lure-with-weed-guard) Hidden $15.53 $1.00 0.06x 2026-11-13 04:17 UTC [Rebel Lures Bumble Bug Topwater / Crankbait Fishing Lure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rebel-lures-bumble-bug-topwater-crankbait-fishing-lure) Hidden $15.53 $2.50 0.16x 2026-11-13 04:17 UTC [BOOYAH Boo Jig Bass Fishing Lure with Weed Guard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/booyah-boo-jig-bass-fishing-lure-with-weed-guard) Hidden $15.53 $1.00 0.06x 2026-11-13 04:15 UTC [PLUSINNO Floating Fishing Net other](https://gambatracker.com/items/plusinno-floating-fishing-net) Hidden $15.53 $33.00 2.12x 2026-11-13 04:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 81.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.23 on average: an expected loss of $18.77 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt