--- title: "db-40percent-profit-x-doug on Cases.gg: odds & RTP" description: "db-40percent-profit-x-doug ($121.05) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 76.75% over 192 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/db-40percent-profit-x-doug rendered: 2026-11-12T17:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [db-40percent-profit-x-doug](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/db-40percent-profit-x-doug) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · db-40percent-profit-x-doug A box on Cases.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/db-40percent-profit-x-doug?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/db-40percent-profit-x-doug?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/db-40percent-profit-x-doug) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/db-40percent-profit-x-doug?window=all) Price · $121.05 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 76.75% · 192 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 192 openings · below min 30 days · 192 openings · below min since tracking started · 192 openings · below min 59.0% 76.8% 94.5% **Small sample.** 192 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/db-40percent-profit-x-doug?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/db-40percent-profit-x-doug?window=7d) | 192 | 76.75% ±17.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/db-40percent-profit-x-doug) | 192 | 76.75% ±17.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/db-40percent-profit-x-doug?window=all) | 192 | 76.75% ±17.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [2024 Niue 10 oz Silver $20 Star Wars: Mandalorian Beskar Bar other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-niue-10-oz-silver-20-star-wars-mandalorian-beskar-bar) [✪ DB™](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/%E2%9C%AA%20DB%E2%84%A2) $121 $630 5.20x 2026-11-08 15:50 UTC [2024 Niue 10 oz Silver $20 Star Wars: Mandalorian Beskar Bar other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-niue-10-oz-silver-20-star-wars-mandalorian-beskar-bar) Hidden $121 $630 5.20x 2026-11-06 04:26 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=db-40percent-profit-x-doug) [Elgato Wave DX - Dynamic XLR Microphone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/elgato-wave-dx-dynamic-xlr-microphone) Hidden $121 $150 1.24x 2026-11-08 15:56 UTC [Retro Off White Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/retro-off-white-sticker) Hidden $121 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-08 15:56 UTC [Elgato Wave DX - Dynamic XLR Microphone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/elgato-wave-dx-dynamic-xlr-microphone) Hidden $121 $150 1.24x 2026-11-08 15:56 UTC [Retro Off White Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/retro-off-white-sticker) Hidden $121 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-08 15:56 UTC [Retro Off White Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/retro-off-white-sticker) Hidden $121 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-08 15:56 UTC [Retro Off White Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/retro-off-white-sticker) [✪ DB™](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/%E2%9C%AA%20DB%E2%84%A2) $121 $0.05 0.00x 2026-11-08 15:56 UTC [Elgato Wave DX - Dynamic XLR Microphone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/elgato-wave-dx-dynamic-xlr-microphone) Hidden $121 $150 1.24x 2026-11-08 15:54 UTC [adidas Yeezy Boost 350 V2Carbon Beluga (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-yeezy-boost-350-v2carbon-beluga-us-7) Hidden $121 $185 1.53x 2026-11-08 15:54 UTC [Elgato Stream Deck +, White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/elgato-stream-deck-white) Hidden $121 $269 2.22x 2026-11-08 15:54 UTC [Pokémon TCG 25th Anniversary Celebrations - Elite Trainer Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pokemon-tcg-25th-anniversary-celebrations-elite-trainer-box) Hidden $121 $445 3.68x 2026-11-08 15:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $630 (5.20x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.75 on average: an expected loss of $23.25 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt