--- title: "Designer Wars case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Designer Wars ($453.00) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 14 items with odds, observed 42.90% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/designer-wars rendered: 2026-11-11T22:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Designer Wars](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/designer-wars) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Designer Wars A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/designer-wars?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/designer-wars?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/designer-wars) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/designer-wars?window=all) Price · $453.00 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $405.43 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 42.90% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 23.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min -0.5% 211.0% 422.5% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/designer-wars?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/designer-wars?window=7d) | 6 | 36.07% ±385.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/designer-wars) | 12 | 42.90% ±272.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/designer-wars?window=all) | 12 | 42.90% ±272.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Louis Vuitton Nike Air Force 1 Low By Virgil Abloh Black Metallic Silver (US Men's 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-nike-air-force-1-low-by-virgil-abloh-black-metallic-silver-us-mens-10) | 1 in 500 | $36.8K | 18.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Hermès Birkin 30 Nata Swift and Jaune Poussin Toile Palladium Hardware other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hermes-birkin-30-nata-swift-and-jaune-poussin-toile-palladium-hardware) | 1 in 500 | $28.1K | 13.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Gucci x Balenciaga The Hacker Project Jumbo GG Jacket Beige/Ebony (EU 46) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-balenciaga-the-hacker-project-jumbo-gg-jacket-beige-ebony-eu-46) | 1 in 500 | $12.4K | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Van Cleef & Arpels Vintage Alhambra 5 Motif Bracelet 18k Rose Gold & Carnelian other](https://gambatracker.com/items/van-cleef-and-arpels-vintage-alhambra-5-motif-bracelet-18k-rose-gold-and-carnelian) | 1 in 500 | $8,700 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Saint Laurent Denim-Style Lambskin Leather Jacket Black (EU 48) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/saint-laurent-denim-style-lambskin-leather-jacket-black-eu-48) | 1 in 500 | $6,599 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Prada Re-Edition 2005 Shoulder Bag Saffiano Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/prada-re-edition-2005-shoulder-bag-saffiano-black) | 1 in 200 | $2,400 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Goyard Victoire Wallet Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/goyard-victoire-wallet-black) | 1 in 200 | $1,720 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [OFF-WHITE Arrow Pattern Silk Robe White/Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/off-white-arrow-pattern-silk-robe-white-black) | 1 in 200 | $1,350 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Palm Angels Bear In Love Hoodie US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/palm-angels-bear-in-love-hoodie-us-l) | 1 in 133 | $960 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Burberry Zip Up Hoodie With Check Hood Black Archive Beige (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burberry-zip-up-hoodie-with-check-hood-black-archive-beige-us-s) | 1 in 80 | $783 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Gucci Rhyton Vintage Logo (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-rhyton-vintage-logo-us-10) | 1 in 67 | $660 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Supreme Michael Jackson Dangerous Zip Up Hooded Sweatshirt Black (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-michael-jackson-dangerous-zip-up-hooded-sweatshirt-black-us-l) | 1 in 50 | $535 | 2.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Balenciaga Malibu Round Sunglasses Black (794297 T00491000) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/balenciaga-malibu-round-sunglasses-black-794297-t00491000) | 1 in 50 | $421 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [1 SOL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-sol) | 90.0% | $163 | 36.3% | 11 | 10.8 | 1.02× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Supreme Michael Jackson Dangerous Zip Up Hooded Sweatshirt Black (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-michael-jackson-dangerous-zip-up-hooded-sweatshirt-black-us-l) Hidden $453 $535 1.18x 2026-11-04 18:51 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=designer-wars) [1 SOL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-sol) Hidden $453 $163 0.36x 2026-11-10 08:34 UTC [1 SOL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-sol) Hidden $453 $163 0.36x 2026-11-10 08:34 UTC [1 SOL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-sol) Hidden $453 $163 0.36x 2026-11-10 08:34 UTC [1 SOL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-sol) Hidden $453 $163 0.36x 2026-11-10 08:34 UTC [1 SOL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-sol) Hidden $453 $163 0.36x 2026-11-10 08:34 UTC [1 SOL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-sol) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $453 $163 0.36x 2026-11-10 08:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $453 | 89.50% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $535 (1.18x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt