--- title: "$1 Dream case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "$1 Dream ($1.29) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.20% from 22 items with odds, observed 85.93% over 8,602 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dollar1-dream rendered: 2026-11-11T19:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [$1 Dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dollar1-dream) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · $1 Dream A box on Cases.gg (Cheap), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dollar1-dream?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dollar1-dream?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dollar1-dream) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dollar1-dream?window=all) Price · $1.29 Advertised RTP · 89.20% · EV $1.15 from 22 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.93% · 8,602 openings, odds method Variance · 1238.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 1,667 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 468 openings · below min 7 days · 7,189 openings · below min 30 days · 85.93% ±74.36 8,602 openings since tracking started · 85.93% ±74.36 8,602 openings -0.5% 187.5% 375.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dollar1-dream?window=24h) | 468 | 55.83% ±318.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dollar1-dream?window=7d) | 7,189 | 94.93% ±81.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dollar1-dream) | 8,602 | 85.93% ±74.4 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dollar1-dream?window=all) | 8,602 | 85.93% ±74.4 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,602 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Supreme The North Face Leather Nuptse Jacket Yellow (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-the-north-face-leather-nuptse-jacket-yellow-us-s) | 1 in 50,000 | $7,222 | 12.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [KAWS Astro Boy Vinyl Figure Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-astro-boy-vinyl-figure-red) | 1 in 33,333 | $4,235 | 11.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Monogram Bandana Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-monogram-bandana-red) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,300 | 11.3% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [Apple iPhone 15 Pro, 256GB, Natural Titanium other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-iphone-15-pro-256gb-natural-titanium) | 1 in 20,000 | $760 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Supreme Burberry Box Logo Tee White (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-burberry-box-logo-tee-white-us-l) | 1 in 2,500 | $630 | 21.9% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.16× | | [Supreme Berlin Box Logo Tee White (US XXL) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-berlin-box-logo-tee-white-us-xxl) | 1 in 5,000 | $526 | 9.1% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.74× | | [SAMSUNG Galaxy Watch 7 40mm, Cream other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-galaxy-watch-7-40mm-cream) | 1 in 2,000 | $345 | 15.0% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.70× | | [SAMSUNG Galaxy Buds 3, Silver other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-galaxy-buds-3-silver) | 1 in 10,000 | $235 | 2.0% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [KAWS x Uniqlo x Peanuts Snoopy Plush (Medium)Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-x-uniqlo-x-peanuts-snoopy-plush-medium-black) | 1 in 10,000 | $97.00 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [KAWS Sesame Street Uniqlo Elmo Plush ToyRed other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-sesame-street-uniqlo-elmo-plush-toyred) | 1 in 10,000 | $80.00 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [BAPE 1st Camo Cordura Multi Pouch Yellow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-1st-camo-cordura-multi-pouch-yellow) | 1 in 10,000 | $69.00 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [Logitech G432 Wired Gaming Headset, 7.1 Surround Sound other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g432-wired-gaming-headset-7-1-surround-sound) | 1 in 10,000 | $47.00 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [Supreme Hav-A-Hank Bandanas (3 Pack) Multicolor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-hav-a-hank-bandanas-3-pack-multicolor) | 1 in 10,000 | $44.55 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [JBL Vibe Buds - True Wireless Earbuds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jbl-vibe-buds-true-wireless-earbuds) | 1 in 10,000 | $31.00 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [Redragon GS520 RGB Desktop Speakers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/redragon-gs520-rgb-desktop-speakers) | 1 in 10,000 | $26.39 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [Amazon.com Gift Card in a Mini Envelope - $20 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-com-gift-card-in-a-mini-envelope-20) | 1 in 10,000 | $20.00 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [IPhone 14 Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/iphone-14-case) | 1 in 400 | $15.00 | 3.3% | 23 | 21.5 | 1.07× | | [Funko Pop! Animation: Attack on Titan - Armin Arlelt with Chase other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-attack-on-titan-armin-arlelt-with-chase) | 1 in 1,250 | $12.77 | 0.9% | 10 | 6.9 | 1.45× | | [Battlefield Hardline - PC other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battlefield-hardline-pc) | 1 in 909 | $8.99 | 0.9% | 17 | 9.5 | 1.80× | | [Microfiber Cleaning Cloths other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microfiber-cleaning-cloths) | 1 in 714 | $5.00 | 0.6% | 12 | 12.0 | 1.00× | | [Fallout 76 (PC) - Microsoft Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fallout-76-pc-microsoft-key-global) | 1 in 500 | $1.20 | 0.2% | 10 | 17.2 | 0.58× | | [$0.05 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-05-voucher) | 99.0% | $0.05 | 4.3% | 8,509 | 8516.0 | 1.00× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Monogram Bandana Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-monogram-bandana-red) [SarahwiththeDgn\_code](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SarahwiththeDgn_code) $1.29 $1,300 1,008x 2026-11-10 04:07 UTC [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Monogram Bandana Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-monogram-bandana-red) [Antwin](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Antwin) $1.29 $1,300 1,008x 2026-11-08 20:28 UTC [Supreme Burberry Box Logo Tee White (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-burberry-box-logo-tee-white-us-l) Hidden $1.29 $630 488.4x 2026-11-09 19:56 UTC [Supreme Burberry Box Logo Tee White (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-burberry-box-logo-tee-white-us-l) Hidden $1.29 $630 488.4x 2026-11-05 18:17 UTC [Supreme Burberry Box Logo Tee White (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-burberry-box-logo-tee-white-us-l) Hidden $1.29 $630 488.4x 2026-11-05 15:14 UTC [Supreme Burberry Box Logo Tee White (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-burberry-box-logo-tee-white-us-l) Hidden $1.29 $630 488.4x 2026-11-04 22:41 UTC [Supreme Berlin Box Logo Tee White (US XXL) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-berlin-box-logo-tee-white-us-xxl) Hidden $1.29 $526 407.8x 2026-11-08 08:30 UTC [Supreme Berlin Box Logo Tee White (US XXL) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-berlin-box-logo-tee-white-us-xxl) Hidden $1.29 $526 407.8x 2026-11-07 02:06 UTC [Supreme Berlin Box Logo Tee White (US XXL) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-berlin-box-logo-tee-white-us-xxl) Hidden $1.29 $526 407.8x 2026-11-05 21:56 UTC [SAMSUNG Galaxy Watch 7 40mm, Cream other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-galaxy-watch-7-40mm-cream) Hidden $1.29 $345 267.4x 2026-11-05 21:53 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=dollar1-dream) [$0.05 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-05-voucher) Hidden $1.29 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [$0.05 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-05-voucher) Hidden $1.29 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [$0.05 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-05-voucher) Hidden $1.29 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [$0.05 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-05-voucher) Hidden $1.29 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [$0.05 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-05-voucher) Hidden $1.29 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [$0.05 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-05-voucher) [MILIKE11](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/MILIKE11) $1.29 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [$0.05 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-05-voucher) Hidden $1.29 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-11 16:11 UTC [$0.05 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-05-voucher) Hidden $1.29 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-11 16:11 UTC [$0.05 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-05-voucher) Hidden $1.29 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-11 16:11 UTC [$0.05 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-05-voucher) Hidden $1.29 $0.05 0.04x 2026-11-11 16:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.29 | 89.20% | 22 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $1,300 (1,008x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.20 on average: an expected loss of $10.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt