---
title: "Drag Strip case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Drag Strip ($2,032.17) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 6.27% over 12 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/drag-strip
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:45Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Drag Strip](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/drag-strip)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Drag Strip

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/drag-strip?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/drag-strip?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/drag-strip) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/drag-strip?window=all)

Price · $2,032.17

Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $1,818.79 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 6.27% · 12 openings, odds method

Variance · 26.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 81 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 12 openings · below min

30 days · 12 openings · below min

since tracking started · 12 openings · below min

-0.5% 149.5% 299.5%

**Small sample.** 12 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/drag-strip?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/drag-strip?window=7d) | 12 | 6.27% ±292.4 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/drag-strip) | 12 | 6.27% ±292.4 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/drag-strip?window=all) | 12 | 6.27% ±292.4 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Audi RS6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-rs6) | 1 in 1,250 | $198K | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [2025 BMW M3 - Base other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2025-bmw-m3-base) | 1 in 667 | $99.2K | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [2022 Dodge Charger SRT Hellcat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2022-dodge-charger-srt-hellcat) | 1 in 400 | $88.2K | 12.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [2024 Ford Mustang GT Premium other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-ford-mustang-gt-premium) | 1 in 400 | $63.8K | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Audi TT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-tt) | 1 in 400 | $61K | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [2025 Lexus UX F SPORT Handling other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2025-lexus-ux-f-sport-handling) | 1 in 400 | $60K | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tesla Model Y other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tesla-model-y) | 1 in 400 | $54.5K | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [2022 Toyota GR86 Base other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2022-toyota-gr86-base) | 1 in 200 | $32.4K | 8.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [2017 Audi A6 2.0T Quattro Premium Plus other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2017-audi-a6-2-0t-quattro-premium-plus) | 1 in 200 | $25.5K | 7.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [2016 Mercedes-Benz C-Class C 300 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2016-mercedes-benz-c-class-c-300) | 1 in 200 | $17.9K | 4.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Ford Fusion other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ford-fusion) | 1 in 50 | $10K | 11.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Hot Wheels Nissan Skyline GT-R (R34) Spectraflame other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-nissan-skyline-gt-r-r34-spectraflame) | 10.0% | $420 | 2.3% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× |
| [ARRMA RC Car Typhon GROM 4x4 Smart Small Scale Buggy RTR other](https://gambatracker.com/items/arrma-rc-car-typhon-grom-4x4-smart-small-scale-buggy-rtr) | 10.0% | $185 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Hot Wheels x Tesla Cybertruck 1:10 Scale RC Car (2021 Version w/ Cyberquad) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-x-tesla-cybertruck-1-10-scale-rc-car-2021-version-w-cyberquad) | 12.5% | $165 | 1.1% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.00× |
| [All Terrain RC Car 18859, 36 KPH High Speed 4WD Electric Vehicle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/all-terrain-rc-car-18859-36-kph-high-speed-4wd-electric-vehicle) | 12.5% | $99.00 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× |
| [Hot Wheels 1995 Honda Integra Type R other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-1995-honda-integra-type-r) | 15.0% | $84.65 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [Mercedes G63 Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mercedes-g63-toy) | 15.0% | $19.00 | 0.2% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× |
| [Lightning McQueen RC Car other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lightning-mcqueen-rc-car) | 20.0% | $14.49 | 0.2% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.67× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=drag-strip)

[Lightning McQueen RC Car other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lightning-mcqueen-rc-car) Hidden $2,032 $14.49 0.01x 2026-11-10 00:38 UTC

[Mercedes G63 Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mercedes-g63-toy) Hidden $2,032 $19.00 0.01x 2026-11-10 00:38 UTC

[Lightning McQueen RC Car other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lightning-mcqueen-rc-car) Hidden $2,032 $14.49 0.01x 2026-11-10 00:38 UTC

[Hot Wheels x Tesla Cybertruck 1:10 Scale RC Car (2021 Version w/ Cyberquad) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-x-tesla-cybertruck-1-10-scale-rc-car-2021-version-w-cyberquad) Hidden $2,032 $165 0.08x 2026-11-10 00:38 UTC

[Lightning McQueen RC Car other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lightning-mcqueen-rc-car) Hidden $2,032 $14.49 0.01x 2026-11-10 00:38 UTC

[All Terrain RC Car 18859, 36 KPH High Speed 4WD Electric Vehicle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/all-terrain-rc-car-18859-36-kph-high-speed-4wd-electric-vehicle) [Oliveira16](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Oliveira16) $2,032 $99.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 00:38 UTC

[Hot Wheels x Tesla Cybertruck 1:10 Scale RC Car (2021 Version w/ Cyberquad) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-x-tesla-cybertruck-1-10-scale-rc-car-2021-version-w-cyberquad) Hidden $2,032 $165 0.08x 2026-11-09 17:57 UTC

[Mercedes G63 Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mercedes-g63-toy) Hidden $2,032 $19.00 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:57 UTC

[Hot Wheels x Tesla Cybertruck 1:10 Scale RC Car (2021 Version w/ Cyberquad) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hot-wheels-x-tesla-cybertruck-1-10-scale-rc-car-2021-version-w-cyberquad) Hidden $2,032 $165 0.08x 2026-11-09 17:57 UTC

[Lightning McQueen RC Car other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lightning-mcqueen-rc-car) Hidden $2,032 $14.49 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:57 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $2,032 | 89.50% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
