--- title: "Dream Car case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Dream Car ($6,394.62) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 0.45% over 1 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dream-car rendered: 2026-11-11T20:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Dream Car](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dream-car) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Dream Car A box on Cases.gg (Cars), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dream-car?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dream-car?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dream-car) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dream-car?window=all) Price · $6,394.62 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $5,723.18 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 0.45% · 1 openings, odds method Variance · 5.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 1 openings · below min 30 days · 1 openings · below min since tracking started · 1 openings · below min -0.5% 232.5% 465.5% **Small sample.** 1 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dream-car?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dream-car?window=7d) | 1 | 0.45% ±464.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dream-car) | 1 | 0.45% ±464.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/dream-car?window=all) | 1 | 0.45% ±464.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [2012 Lamborghini Aventador LP700-4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2012-lamborghini-aventador-lp700-4) | 1 in 10,000 | $314K | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2016 Ferrari 488 GTB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2016-ferrari-488-gtb) | 1 in 10,000 | $256K | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Mercedes AMG GT 63 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mercedes-amg-gt-63) | 1 in 10,000 | $248K | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Mercedes Benz G Class other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mercedes-benz-g-class) | 1 in 10,000 | $237K | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2019 Rolls-Royce Wraith other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2019-rolls-royce-wraith) | 1 in 10,000 | $218K | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2017 Acura NSX other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2017-acura-nsx) | 1 in 5,000 | $151K | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Audi RS4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-rs4) | 1 in 5,000 | $131K | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2016 Porsche Cayman GT4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2016-porsche-cayman-gt4) | 1 in 2,000 | $128K | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tesla Model S Plaid other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tesla-model-s-plaid) | 1 in 2,000 | $101K | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2006 Bentley CONTINENTAL GT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2006-bentley-continental-gt) | 1 in 667 | $84.2K | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Audi RS3 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-rs3) | 1 in 400 | $77.5K | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Mercedes A45 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mercedes-a45) | 1 in 200 | $74.8K | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2024 Ford Mustang Ecoboost other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-ford-mustang-ecoboost) | 1 in 20 | $40.7K | 35.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [2024 Kia Soul other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-kia-soul) | 10.0% | $26.8K | 46.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Red Lamborghini Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/red-lamborghini-toy) | 20.0% | $29.00 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Rolls Royce Phantom Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolls-royce-phantom-toy) | 20.0% | $23.00 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Mercedes G63 Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mercedes-g63-toy) | 20.0% | $19.00 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Hellcat Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hellcat-toy) | 23.9% | $8.99 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=dream-car) [Red Lamborghini Toy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/red-lamborghini-toy) [Lul\*\*\*mon](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Lul***mon-5896822) $6,395 $29.00 0.00x 2026-11-04 23:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $6,395 | 89.50% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt